SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
3. Liga3. Liga · Germany
high confidence
SSV Jahn Regensburg

SSV Jahn Regensburg

AI Predicted Score

2 - 1

Würzburger Kickers

Würzburger Kickers

🗓️ Saturday, 21 Nov 2026 at 14:00 CET (venue time) · 13:00 UTC (your time)📍 Jahnstadion Regensburg, Regensburg

Win Probability (1X2)

SSV Jahn Regensburg 42%Draw 31%Würzburger Kickers 27%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Recommended Bets: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
7/10
Match Result: SSV Jahn Regensburg Win
6/10

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers: Match Preview

Regensburg enter this clash 16th in the 3. Liga, having collected 13 points from 13 matches and posting a negative recent run (LWLDD). Würzburger Kickers sit just one point and one place above, but their own form is patchy (LLWLW) and they arrive off the back of two straight defeats, including a friendly loss. Both sides are hovering above the relegation zone, so the stakes are high for momentum and survival.

Statistically, the game profiles as high-scoring. Regensburg have seen 76.9% of their matches go over 2.5 goals, with an average of 1.77 scored and 1.77 conceded per match. Würzburger's away defence is among the league's worst, shipping 20 in 7 on the road (2.86 per game), while their attack averages just 1.31 per match overall. Both teams have managed only one clean sheet in their last five league games, and Regensburg's home attack (9 scored in 6) faces a defence that has failed repeatedly away from home.

The model expects an open contest, with Regensburg's superior home defensive numbers and Würzburger's away weakness tilting the balance slightly towards the hosts. The likeliest scenario is a match with multiple goals and both teams on the scoresheet, but Regensburg's more balanced goal difference and home advantage give them a narrow edge.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

SSV Jahn Regensburg1.70

Expected goals · model says 1.70

Würzburger Kickers1.40

Expected goals · model says 1.40

Win Probability
SSV Jahn Regensburg 45% Draw 24% Würzburger Kickers 32%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

BTTS: Yes

62%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
42%
31%
27%
SSV Jahn Regensburg 42%Draw 31%Würzburger Kickers 27%
Both Teams to Score
60%
40%
Yes 60%No 40%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
62%
38%
Over 2.5 62%Under 2.5 38%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
47%
53%
Over 9.5 47%Under 9.5 53%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers that most previews miss.

  • 1Würzburger Kickers have conceded at least two goals in five of their seven away league matches this season.
  • 2Regensburg's matches have featured both teams scoring in 61.5% of games (8 of 13).
  • 3The first half has produced just 4 of Regensburg's last 10 league goals, suggesting a stronger second-half goal trend.

Who do you think wins: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More 3. Liga Predictions

The Case For This SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers Prediction

This is a fixture between two sides with leaky defences and a statistical bias towards high-scoring outcomes. Regensburg's home attack and Würzburger's away frailties point to goals, while neither side has found enough consistency to justify a strong favourite.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Würzburger Kickers have conceded 20 goals in 7 away league matches (2.86 per game).
  • →Both teams have kept just one clean sheet in their last five league matches.

Match Context

  • →Regensburg's games average 3.54 goals per match, with 76.9% over 2.5 goals.

🚩 SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers Corners Prediction

low confidence
9.4expected total corners
Over 47%
Under 53%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for SSV Jahn Regensburg and 5 for Würzburger Kickers, for an expected total of 9.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% · Over 10.5: 34%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How SSV Jahn Regensburg and Würzburger Kickers Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburglast 5 matches
Lucas HermesXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

Benedikt BauerXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

O. Schonfeldersub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickerslast 5 matches
E. Mutebasub/out
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Tarsis Bongasub/out
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

X. KiefersauerXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Regensburg have struggled for consistency, with just one win in their last five league matches and a goal difference of -1 over that span. Würzburger Kickers, meanwhile, have lost three of their last five and conceded nine goals in those games, highlighting ongoing defensive issues.

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers — Last 10 Matches

SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn RegensburgLast 10 results
L1-2
W2-1
L0-1
D0-0
D2-2
W5-0
D3-3
L1-2
D2-2
L1-2
L@ SV Meppen1-2
Wvs Hansa Rostock2-1
L@ Rot-Weiß Essen0-1
Dvs SV Wehen0-0
D@ Verl2-2
Wvs Havelse5-0
D@ Stuttgart II3-3
Lvs Fortuna Düsseldorf1-2
D@ Alemannia Aachen2-2
Lvs MSV Duisburg1-2

Strengths

  • +Over 2.5 goals in 76.92% of games this season
Würzburger KickersWürzburger KickersLast 10 results
L0-1
W2-1
L0-4
W2-0
D2-2
L0-2
L1-2
W1-0
L2-6
L1-2
Lvs Hoffenheim II0-1
W@ Fortuna Köln2-1
L@ SV Meppen0-4
Wvs Waldhof Mannheim2-0
D@ Havelse2-2
Lvs Hansa Rostock0-2
L@ Verl1-2
Wvs Alemannia Aachen1-0
L@ Rot-Weiß Essen2-6
Lvs Stuttgart II1-2

Strengths

  • +Over 2.5 goals in 69.23% of games this season

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5

What History Says: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers

The recent head-to-head record is limited but favours Regensburg, who won the last home meeting 2-1 and drew 1-1 away in 2021. Both matches saw both teams score, but the small sample and time elapsed reduce its relevance for this fixture.

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers Head-to-Head History

Last 2 meetings between these sides

1

SSV Jahn Regensburg wins

1

Draws

0

Würzburger Kickers wins

50%50% draws0%
21 Mar 21FC Wurzburger Kickers vs Jahn Regensburg1-1
28 Nov 20Jahn Regensburg vs FC Wurzburger Kickers2-1

Things to Watch: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers

  • ⚠️Bookmaker odds are unavailable, so value calculations are limited.
  • ⚠️Both teams' recent form is inconsistent, increasing result volatility.
  • ⚠️Small sample size in head-to-head data (only two matches in the last six years).

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

SSV Jahn Regensburg 2–1 Würzburger Kickers

The model predicts a 2-1 win for Regensburg, anchored by Würzburger Kickers' poor away defensive record (20 conceded in 7). The main risk is Regensburg's inconsistent attack, which has failed to score in two of the last five, potentially limiting their ability to capitalise on Würzburger's weaknesses.

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers: Common Questions

Who will win SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers?

Regensburg are slight favourites with a 42% win probability, compared to 27% for Würzburger Kickers and 31% for the draw. This is driven by Regensburg's better home defensive record and Würzburger's away struggles.

Will both teams score in Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers?

There's a 60% probability that both teams will score, supported by both sides' low clean sheet rates and the fact that BTTS has landed in three of Regensburg's last five matches.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers?

Yes, the model gives a 62% probability for over 2.5 goals. Regensburg's matches have gone over 2.5 in 76.9% of games, and Würzburger Kickers' in 69.2%.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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