Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond Predictions
National League - South · England
Horsham
Full Time
2 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 0
Hampton & Richmond
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6/10Clinical Horsham See Off Hampton & Richmond with 2-0 Win at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium
Horsham made the most of their home advantage, dispatching Hampton & Richmond 2-0 in a composed performance at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium. The hosts struck first in the 33rd minute and doubled their lead on the hour mark, ensuring a comfortable evening for the home supporters. Hampton & Richmond struggled to break down a resolute Horsham side and failed to find a response, with the match seeing no bookings or dismissals. The result reflected Horsham's ability to convert key moments into goals, while the visitors lacked the cutting edge to mount a comeback.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
2 - 0
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
33' — Goal
Horsham open the scoring with a well-taken goal.
60' — Goal
Horsham double their lead, putting the result beyond doubt.
Horsham
Horsham delivered a confident display, capitalizing on their chances and maintaining control throughout. Their opening goal in the 33rd minute set the tone, and a second strike at the hour mark effectively put the game beyond doubt. The clean sheet was testament to their organization and discipline at the back, with no yellow or red cards issued to any player.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond were unable to find a way past Horsham's defense, failing to score and rarely threatening the home goal. Despite keeping their discipline and avoiding bookings, they lacked the attacking impetus needed to change the course of the match after falling behind. Their inability to respond to Horsham's goals ultimately proved costly.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With limited data on formations and lineups, Horsham's approach appeared to be one of discipline and capitalizing on key moments. Their ability to strike in both halves suggests a balanced side comfortable both in possession and on the break. The absence of cards for either team points to a controlled, perhaps cautious, tactical battle. Hampton & Richmond, meanwhile, seemed unable to shift gears after conceding, possibly lacking the creative spark or tactical flexibility to break down Horsham's defense.
Turning Point
Horsham's second goal in the 60th minute, which effectively ended Hampton & Richmond's hopes of a comeback.
Man of the Match
Unknown
Scored the decisive goals that secured all three points for Horsham.
Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond: Match Preview
Both sides arrive with limited competitive data, having played just one league fixture each. Horsham opened with a 1-1 draw away at Torquay, while Hampton & Richmond suffered a heavy 5-0 defeat at Salisbury, leaving them bottom of the early table. Horsham's pre-season featured mixed results, but their last five overall show a modest attacking output and a form string of DLLWW.
Statistically, the matchup points to a low-scoring environment. Horsham average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over the last five, but failed to score in two of those contests. Hampton & Richmond's recent numbers are more concerning: 0.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per match across their last five, with two clean sheets but also two games without scoring. The first half has produced more goals for both teams than the second, but neither side has shown consistent attacking threat. Set-piece and discipline data are unavailable, but neither side has drawn excessive cards in recent matches.
Given these rates, the model projects a tight contest, with Horsham's defensive baseline and home advantage tipping the balance. The most likely scenario is a 1-0 or 2-0 home win, with under 2.5 goals and BTTS 'No' both strongly favoured. The lack of attacking output from Hampton & Richmond, especially away from home, is the decisive factor.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 0.75
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS: Yes
37%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond that most previews miss.
- 1Hampton & Richmond have failed to score in three of their last five matches across all competitions.
- 2Only one of the last two head-to-heads produced more than one goal, with a 0-0 and a 2-0 result.
- 3Horsham's last five matches average just three total goals per game, skewed by friendlies.
Who do you think wins: Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Horsham Win
Horsham's defensive stability (1 goal conceded in the league opener) contrasts with Hampton & Richmond's five-goal collapse at Salisbury; the model rates home win probability at 45%.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have shown limited attacking output in competitive matches—Horsham averaging 1 goal per game, Hampton failing to score in their opener—so the model assigns 67% probability to under 2.5 goals.
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BTTS: No
With Hampton & Richmond blanking in their last two league games and Horsham failing to score in two of their last five overall, BTTS 'No' is favoured at 72%.
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More National League - South Predictions
The Case For This Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond Prediction
A low-scoring contest is projected, with Horsham's defensive structure and Hampton & Richmond's recent attacking struggles setting the tone. The underlying rates suggest a narrow home edge and limited goalmouth action.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Horsham have failed to score in two of their last five matches.
Defence
- →Hampton & Richmond conceded five goals in their last league away match.
Match Context
- →Only one of the last two H2H meetings produced more than one goal.
How Horsham and Hampton & Richmond Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Horshamlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hampton & Richmondlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Horsham's recent form is steady if unspectacular, with a draw in their league opener and two wins from five overall, though they've failed to score twice. Hampton & Richmond are struggling for momentum, coming off a 5-0 defeat and with only one win in their last five, scoring just three times in that span.
Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +66.67% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
What History Says: Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond
Head-to-head meetings have been tight, with a 0-0 draw and a 2-0 Horsham away win in the last two encounters. Neither side has managed more than two goals in a match, and both meetings have skewed towards low totals.
Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
1
Horsham wins
1
Draws
1
Hampton & Richmond wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond
No bookmaker odds are available, so value edges cannot be quantified. The model's strongest stance is against a high-scoring game, with under 2.5 goals and BTTS 'No' both rated significantly more likely than typical league averages.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond
- ⚠️Early-season data is limited to one competitive match for each side.
- ⚠️No current odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Pre-season friendlies may not reflect true competitive strength.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Horsham 1–0 Hampton & RichmondThe model projects a 1-0 win for Horsham, anchored by Hampton & Richmond's five-goal concession last time out and their persistent scoring issues. The main risk is the small sample size from early-season data, which could understate either side's attacking potential.
Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond: Common Questions
Who will win Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond?
Horsham are rated 45% likely to win, with the draw at 36% and Hampton & Richmond at 19%. This edge is driven by Hampton's defensive collapse in their opener and Horsham's steadier recent form.
Will both teams score in Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond?
The model gives a 28% probability to both teams scoring, with 72% for 'No'. Hampton & Richmond have failed to score in three of their last five, and Horsham have two blanks in the same span.
How many goals will be scored in Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 67%, with only a 33% chance of three or more goals. Both sides have struggled in attack recently and the last two head-to-heads have produced few goals.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 11 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.