Braintree vs Walton & Hersham Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
National League - SouthNational League - South · England
high confidence
Braintree

Braintree

AI Predicted Score

2 - 1

Walton & Hersham

Walton & Hersham

🗓️ Tuesday, 6 Oct 2026 at 19:45 BST (venue time) · 18:45 UTC (your time)📍 Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium, Braintree

Win Probability (1X2)

Braintree 54%Draw 28%Walton & Hersham 18%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Braintree Win

Recommended Bets: Braintree vs Walton & Hersham

Match Result: Braintree Win
7/10
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
6/10

Braintree vs Walton & Hersham: Match Preview

Braintree come into this contest 19th in the table with 10 points from 9 matches, having won two of their last five and scoring freely but conceding even more (16 for, 22 against overall). Walton & Hersham sit bottom on just 2 points, still searching for a first win and suffering from the league’s worst defensive record, with 26 conceded in 9. For Braintree, a home fixture against the division’s weakest defence is a crucial opportunity to pull clear of the relegation zone.

Statistically, the shape of this game is defined by high concession rates on both sides. Braintree’s home matches average 3.4 total goals (6 for, 11 against in 5), while Walton & Hersham’s away games see 4 goals per match (3 for, 13 against in 4). Neither side has managed a clean sheet this season, and both teams’ last five games average over 3.5 total goals. Braintree’s attack is markedly stronger, averaging 2.6 goals per game over the last five, while Walton & Hersham have scored just 0.8 per game in that span. Both teams have a pattern of conceding late: Braintree have allowed 5 second-half goals in their last five.

The model expects Braintree’s superior attacking output to decide matters, but with both sides so unreliable defensively, a multi-goal contest is likely. The most probable scoreline is 2-1 to the hosts, with a strong chance of both teams finding the net. If Walton & Hersham can capitalise on Braintree’s defensive lapses, a draw is not out of the question, but the underlying rates point to a home win in a game with goals.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Braintree1.95

Expected goals · model says 1.95

Walton & Hersham1.15

Expected goals · model says 1.15

Win Probability
Braintree 56% Draw 22% Walton & Hersham 22%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

BTTS: Yes

59%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Braintree vs Walton & Hersham Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
54%
28%
18%
Braintree 54%Draw 28%Walton & Hersham 18%
Both Teams to Score
56%
44%
Yes 56%No 44%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
61%
39%
Over 2.5 61%Under 2.5 39%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Braintree vs Walton & Hersham that most previews miss.

  • 1Braintree’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of 9 league fixtures (88.9%).
  • 2Walton & Hersham have conceded 13 goals in just 4 away games, averaging 3.25 against per trip.
  • 3Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in any league match this season (combined 0/18).

Who do you think wins: Braintree vs Walton & Hersham?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Braintree vs Walton & Hersham Prediction

This fixture pits a leaky Braintree defence against the league's most porous back line in Walton & Hersham, with both sides trending heavily toward high-scoring games. Braintree's attack is significantly more productive and their home advantage, combined with Walton & Hersham's winless record, tips the balance.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Braintree average 1.78 goals scored and 2.44 conceded per game this season.
  • →Walton & Hersham have conceded 26 goals in 9 matches (2.89 per game), with 0 wins.
  • →Both teams have failed to keep a single clean sheet in league play.

How Braintree and Walton & Hersham Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Braintree vs Walton & Hersham Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

BraintreeBraintreelast 5 matches
F. Hubbard
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. Matthews
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. Lewis
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

E. I. Oyindamola Adebayo A.
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Olarewaju
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Walton & HershamWalton & Hershamlast 5 matches
J. Dixon
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

K. Woollard Innocent
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Skarna
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Braintree’s recent form is mixed, with two wins and two losses in the last five, but they have found the net at least twice in each of their last three. Walton & Hersham, by contrast, are winless in nine and have conceded 13 in their last five, though they have managed to draw their last two league games, hinting at slight defensive improvement.

Braintree vs Walton & Hersham — Last 9 Matches

BraintreeBraintreeLast 9 results
L3-4
L2-3
W2-1
W2-1
L0-2
D3-3
L1-2
W3-2
L0-4
L@ Dorking Wanderers3-4
L@ Billericay Town2-3
Wvs Maidstone Utd2-1
W@ Slough Town2-1
Lvs Farnborough0-2
D@ Dover3-3
Lvs Horsham1-2
Wvs Chesham United3-2
Lvs Tonbridge Angels0-4

Strengths

  • +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 88.89% of games this season

Concerns

  • −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
Walton & HershamWalton & HershamLast 9 results
D2-2
D1-1
L0-2
L1-5
L1-4
L0-2
L0-2
L0-3
L1-5
Dvs Farnborough2-2
D@ Truro City1-1
Lvs Ebbsfleet United0-2
L@ Tonbridge Angels1-5
Lvs Dorking Wanderers1-4
L@ Chesham United0-2
Lvs Dagenham & Redbridge0-2
Lvs Maidstone Utd0-3
L@ Folkestone Invicta1-5

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
  • −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

Things to Watch: Braintree vs Walton & Hersham

  • ⚠️No head-to-head data available for these teams.
  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Lack of shots, corners, and cards data limits precision on set-piece and discipline markets.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Braintree 2–1 Walton & Hersham

Braintree are projected to win 2-1, with the single strongest data point being Walton & Hersham’s 2.89 goals conceded per game and winless record. The main risk is Braintree’s own defensive frailty—if Walton & Hersham’s attack sparks, the match could swing to a draw or even a high-scoring surprise.

Braintree vs Walton & Hersham: Common Questions

Who will win Braintree vs Walton & Hersham?

The model assigns a 54% probability to a Braintree win, 28% to a draw, and 18% to a Walton & Hersham victory, based on both teams’ season-long scoring and concession rates.

Will both teams score in Braintree vs Walton & Hersham?

There is a 56% chance of both teams scoring, as neither side has kept a clean sheet in league play and Braintree’s last five have seen both teams net in four matches.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?

Yes, the probability for over 2.5 goals is 61%, with Braintree’s matches going over that line in 89% of league games and Walton & Hersham conceding nearly three per match.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Braintree vs Walton & Hersham: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 29 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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