Horsham vs Maidstone Utd Predictions

National League - SouthNational League - South ยท England
medium confidence
Horsham

Horsham

Full Time

0 - 0

AI predicted 1 - 2

Maidstone Utd

Maidstone Utd

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Saturday, 11 Apr 2026 at 15:00 BST (venue time) ยท 14:00 UTC (your time)๐Ÿ“ The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium, Horsham

Win Probability (1X2)

Horsham 27%Draw 32%Maidstone Utd 41%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Maidstone Utd Win

Match Result

4/10

Stalemate at The Fusion Aviation: Horsham and Maidstone Utd Share the Spoils

In a tightly contested encounter at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium, Horsham and Maidstone United played out a goalless draw, with neither side able to break the deadlock over 90 minutes. The match, part of the National League South campaign, was marked by defensive discipline and a lack of clear-cut chances, as both teams cancelled each other out in midfield and struggled to create decisive opportunities. Despite the best efforts from both camps, the match saw no goals, no cards, and little in the way of controversy, resulting in a fair but somewhat uninspiring outcome. With both sides unable to find a breakthrough, the result leaves plenty to ponder as the season edges towards its conclusion.

๐Ÿ’€ AI Prediction Report

DOWN BAD

Predicted

1 - 2

โšก

Actual

0 - 0

โŒResult
โŒBTTS
โŒO/U 2.5
โŒScore

๐Ÿ’ฐ Bet Results0/3 hit

1X2 โ€” Away
โŒ
Over/Under 2.5 Goals โ€” Over
โŒ
BTTS โ€” Yes
โŒ

Key Moments

Full Time' โ€” Final Whistle

Referee brings an end to a goalless contest with neither side able to find a breakthrough.

Horsham

Horsham

6/10

Horsham put in a diligent display on home turf, showing solid organization at the back and a willingness to compete for every ball. However, their attacking play lacked the necessary spark to trouble Maidstone United's defence, and chances were at a premium throughout the match. The hosts can take heart from a clean sheet, but will rue their inability to fashion meaningful opportunities in the final third.

Strengths

Defensive organizationMaintaining discipline (no cards conceded)

Weaknesses

Lack of attacking threatStruggled to create clear chances
Maidstone Utd

Maidstone Utd

6/10

Maidstone United matched Horsham stride for stride, displaying similar defensive solidity and discipline. While they managed to keep the home side at bay, their own attacking efforts were equally stifled, as they failed to convert possession into genuine goal-scoring opportunities. The visitors will be satisfied with a point on the road, but like their hosts, will be disappointed with their lack of cutting edge.

Strengths

Defensive disciplineAvoiding disciplinary issues (no cards)

Weaknesses

Ineffective in the final thirdLimited creativity

Tactical Analysis

With neither lineup nor formation data available, both Horsham and Maidstone United appeared to prioritize defensive stability and compactness, resulting in a match where space was at a premium. The lack of goals, cards, and notable incidents suggests a cautious approach from both managers, with a focus on organization and risk minimization. Set pieces and wide play failed to yield significant chances, and neither side was able to seize the initiative through tactical changes or substitutions.

Turning Point

In a match of few chances and little drama, the absence of attacking invention from both teams meant there was no clear turning point.

Man of the Match

N/A

No standout individual performance in a match defined by collective defensive effort and lack of attacking highlights.

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ€” then simulate the match and see what happens.

Horsham1.25

Expected goals ยท model says 1.25

Maidstone Utd1.50

Expected goals ยท model says 1.50

Win Probability
Horsham 32% Draw 25% Maidstone Utd 43%

Over 2.5 Goals

52%

BTTS: Yes

55%

Likely Scores

1-1 ยท 0-1 ยท 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

Horsham vs Maidstone Utd Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
27%
32%
41%
Horsham 27%Draw 32%Maidstone Utd 41%
Both Teams to Score
53%
47%
Yes 53%No 47%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
54%
46%
Over 2.5 54%Under 2.5 46%

Who do you think wins: Horsham vs Maidstone Utd?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Horsham vs Maidstone Utd Prediction

Maidstone Utd arrive in better form and with a stronger season record, especially in attack. Horsham are inconsistent, especially in the final third, but have shown they can score at home. Maidstone are pushing for playoff spots and have more motivation, while Horsham are securely mid-table. The head-to-head record favors Horsham, but recent form and league position suggest Maidstone have the edge. Expect a competitive match with goals at both ends, but Maidstone's superior firepower and consistency should see them edge it.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • โ†’Maidstone Utd have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches and have not failed to score in any of them.
  • โ†’Horsham have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • โ†’Maidstone's away record is average (7W 6D 8L), but their overall form is strong.
  • โ†’Head-to-head is limited but favors Horsham (3 wins from 3), though recent form suggests regression.

Defence

  • โ†’Both teams concede around 1 goal per game on average.

Injuries & Team News

  • โ†’No significant injuries reported for either side.

Match Context

  • โ†’Horsham's home record is balanced (7W 7D 7L), showing inconsistency.

How Horsham and Maidstone Utd Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Horsham vs Maidstone Utd Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games.

HorshamHorshamlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet โ€” available after predictions are regenerated.

Maidstone UtdMaidstone Utdlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet โ€” available after predictions are regenerated.

Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.

Horsham vs Maidstone Utd โ€” Last 10 Matches

HorshamHorshamLast 10 results
L0-1
D0-0
L0-2
W3-0
L0-2
L0-2
W2-1
L0-1
L0-2
L0-3
L@ Weston-super-Mare0-1
Dvs Maidstone Utd0-0
L@ Farnborough0-2
Wvs Dorking Wanderers3-0
L@ Torquay0-2
L@ Hampton & Richmond0-2
Wvs Bath City2-1
Lvs Tonbridge Angels0-1
Lvs AFC Hornchurch0-2
L@ AFC Totton0-3

Concerns

  • โˆ’Inconsistent โ€” 3+ losses in last 5
  • โˆ’Struggling to score โ€” 0.6 goals/game
Maidstone UtdMaidstone UtdLast 10 results
D0-0
W5-4
W2-0
W3-1
L2-4
W1-0
W2-1
L1-2
W2-1
W1-0
D@ Horsham0-0
Wvs AFC Hornchurch5-4
W@ Dover2-0
Wvs AFC Totton3-1
L@ Chesham United2-4
Wvs Farnborough1-0
Wvs Dagenham & Redbridge2-1
L@ Maidenhead1-2
Wvs Weston-super-Mare2-1
W@ Salisbury1-0

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form โ€” 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Prolific attack โ€” 2.4 goals/game (last 5)

What History Says: Horsham vs Maidstone Utd

Horsham vs Maidstone Utd Head-to-Head History

Last 4 meetings between these sides

3

Horsham wins

1

Draws

0

Maidstone Utd wins

75%25% draws0%
11 Apr 26Horsham vs Maidstone Utd0-0
6 Sept 25Maidstone Utd vs Horsham0-3
16 Nov 24Horsham vs Maidstone Utd2-1
22 Jul 23Horsham vs Maidstone Utd2-0

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Horsham vs Maidstone Utd

Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per ยฃ1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Horsham Win2.2027.0%-18.5%
Drawvalue3.3532.0%+2.1%
Maidstone Utd Win1.6041.0%-21.5%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.8554.0%-0.1%
Under 2.51.8546.0%-8.1%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue3.9553.0%+27.7%
No1.1847.0%-37.7%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.35EV +0.072
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 3.95EV +1.094

EV per ยฃ1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate โ€” always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Horsham vs Maidstone Utd

  • โš ๏ธNo bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
  • โš ๏ธNo detailed shots/corners/cards data for recent matches, so set piece and discipline estimates are based on season averages.
  • โš ๏ธSmall H2H sample size; may not reflect current squad strengths.
  • โš ๏ธHorsham's home advantage and past H2H dominance could be underestimated.
  • โš ๏ธLate-season motivation differences could affect intensity and lineups.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Horsham vs Maidstone Utd: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 6 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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