Hull City vs Chelsea Predictions
FA Cup · England
Hull City
Full Time
0 - 4
AI predicted 0 - 2
Chelsea
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Chelsea Win
@ 1.07
Match Result
7.5/10Chelsea Crush Hull City with Ruthless 4-0 FA Cup Display at MKM Stadium
Chelsea delivered a commanding performance at the MKM Stadium, sweeping aside Hull City 4-0 to book their spot in the next round of the FA Cup. Despite the home side's spirited start and defensive resilience, Chelsea's quality and control eventually told, with goals arriving at regular intervals either side of half-time. The visitors dominated possession with a staggering 77%, firing 8 shots on target from 13 attempts, while Hull struggled to create clear chances and managed just 2 shots on target from 9 efforts. The breakthrough came late in the first half, and Chelsea never looked back, adding three more goals after the interval to put the result beyond doubt. Hull City, set up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, found themselves overwhelmed by Chelsea's fluid attacking play and could not recover, despite making use of their width and earning 7 corners. Ultimately, the gulf in class was evident as Chelsea cruised to a comprehensive victory.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
0 - 2
Actual
0 - 4
💰 Bet Results1/1 hit
Key Moments
40' — Goal
Chelsea open the scoring, breaking Hull's resistance late in the first half.
51' — Goal
Chelsea double their lead early in the second half, taking control of the tie.
59' — Goal
Chelsea add a third, effectively sealing progression.
71' — Goal
Chelsea complete the rout with a fourth goal.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Both sides pick up two yellow cards each in a competitive but fair contest.
Hull City
Hull City set up defensively in a 3-4-2-1, aiming to frustrate Chelsea and hit on the break. They showed early discipline, limiting Chelsea to half-chances for much of the first half. However, their lack of possession (just 23%) and inability to retain the ball under pressure left them chasing shadows for long spells. Their attacking forays were sporadic, and despite earning 7 corners, they rarely threatened Robert Sánchez's goal. As Chelsea's pressure mounted, Hull's defensive structure began to unravel, conceding four times in a 31-minute spell. The home side's midfield struggled to gain a foothold, and their front three were isolated for much of the contest.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Chelsea
Chelsea were in complete control from the outset, dictating tempo and territory with 77% possession. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed for fluid movement in attack, with the trio behind Liam Delap pulling Hull's defenders out of position. The Blues' patience paid off with a breakthrough late in the first half, and they ruthlessly capitalized on their dominance after the break, scoring three more times. Defensively, Chelsea were rarely troubled, and their midfield duo of Andrey Santos and Moisés Caicedo ensured Hull never gained a foothold. The performance was professional and clinical, underlining the visitors' cup ambitions.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Hull City's 3-4-2-1 was designed to pack the central areas and provide wing-back width, but Chelsea's 4-2-3-1 exploited the spaces between the lines. The visitors' midfield pairing shielded the defense and recycled possession efficiently, while the attacking trio behind Delap rotated positions to disorient Hull's back three. Chelsea's pressing high up the pitch forced Hull into mistakes and limited their ability to counter. Set pieces offered Hull brief respite, as evidenced by their 7 corners, but Chelsea defended these situations with composure. The away side's tactical discipline and technical superiority were decisive, as they maintained control and upped the tempo after the break to kill off the contest.
Turning Point
Chelsea's opening goal in the 40th minute broke Hull's resistance and shifted momentum irreversibly in the visitors' favor.
Man of the Match
Pedro Neto
Pulled the strings in Chelsea's attack, directly involved in key goals and consistently threatened Hull's defense.
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Expected goals · model says 0.45
Expected goals · model says 1.90
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS: Yes
31%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-2 · 0-3
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Hull City vs Chelsea Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Hull City vs Chelsea?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Hull City vs Chelsea(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 0–2
Chelsea's superior quality, Hull's low attacking output, and H2H history point to a professional away win with a clean sheet.
Match Result: Chelsea Win@ 1.07
Chelsea are heavy favorites, unbeaten in H2H, and Hull have struggled to score against top opposition.
BTTS: No@ 1.2
Hull have failed to score in 1 of last 5 and Chelsea have a history of clean sheets in this matchup.
More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Hull City vs Chelsea Prediction
Chelsea travel to Hull City as overwhelming favorites in this FA Cup tie. Hull have shown some resilience in the Championship but lack the firepower and defensive solidity to consistently trouble Premier League opposition. Chelsea's recent form is strong, with attacking output spread across multiple competitions. The H2H record is one-sided, with Chelsea winning all recent meetings. Expect Chelsea to control possession, create more chances, and likely keep a clean sheet against a Hull side struggling for goals at home.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Hull's average goals scored in last 5 is 1.6 but against weaker opposition.
- →Hull's home attacking stats are low; Chelsea's away record in cups is strong.
Defence
- →Chelsea have won all last 8 H2H meetings, often with clean sheets.
- →Chelsea average 2.2 goals scored in last 5 matches; Hull concede just 0.8 but against lower-level teams.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either side.
🚩 Hull City vs Chelsea Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.8 corners for Hull City and 4.8 for Chelsea, for an expected total of 8.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 49% · Over 10.5: 25%.
How Hull City and Chelsea Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hull City vs Chelsea Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Hull Citylast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Chelsealast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Hull City vs Chelsea — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +60% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Hull City vs Chelsea
Hull City vs Chelsea Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
0
Hull City wins
0
Draws
9
Chelsea wins
Things to Watch: Hull City vs Chelsea
- ⚠️Hull's cup motivation at home is a minor wildcard.
- ⚠️Some missing data on full match stats and lineups for recent games.
- ⚠️Chelsea may rotate squad, which could impact attacking efficiency.
- ⚠️FA Cup matches can be unpredictable due to team selection.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hull City vs Chelsea: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 13 February 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.