Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town Predictions
FA Cup · England
Wimborne Town
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Crawley Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Crawley Town Win
Recommended Bets: Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town: Match Preview
Wimborne Town arrive at this FA Cup clash in the midst of a purple patch, unbeaten in eight and boasting four clean sheets in their last five matches. Their momentum is rooted in defensive solidity, with just one goal conceded across their last five, and a recent 2-0 home win over Chippenham Town underlining their confidence. Crawley Town, by contrast, have been tested against stronger opposition in League Two, but come into the tie on the back of a gritty 1-0 away win at Oldham and have scored in every one of their last five outings.
The key battleground is likely to be Wimborne’s disciplined back line against Crawley’s persistent attack. While Wimborne have averaged two goals per game in their last five, they have only faced one side from a higher division in that span. Crawley’s shot output (12.8 per game, 5.8 on target) and tendency to create chances after the break could stretch the hosts, especially as six of Crawley’s last seven goals have come in the second half. Wimborne’s attack has been efficient but not explosive, and their 0-0 draw at Yate Town hints at limitations against more organised defences.
The model expects Crawley’s attacking volume and experience to tell over the 90 minutes, but Wimborne’s defensive form and home momentum suggest this will be a competitive tie. Crawley are favoured to edge it, likely by a single goal, with Wimborne’s best hope lying in maintaining their defensive discipline and capitalising on set-piece opportunities.
How Wimborne Town and Crawley Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Wimborne Townlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Crawley Townlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wimborne Town are in the midst of a remarkable run, unbeaten in their last eight and with four clean sheets in their last five. Their recent results include a 2-0 win over Chippenham Town and a 4-1 away victory at Taunton Town, signalling both defensive resilience and attacking promise. Crawley Town’s recent form is more mixed, but they have scored in every one of their last five matches and come off a confidence-boosting win at Oldham.
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town — Last 6 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town that most previews miss.
- 1Wimborne Town have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches, conceding only once in that run.
- 2Crawley Town’s last five matches have seen both teams score on four occasions, but they have only kept one clean sheet.
- 3Six of Crawley’s last seven goals have been scored in the second half, indicating a late-game threat.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 1.50
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS: Yes
48%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town?
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The Case For This Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town Prediction
Wimborne Town enter this FA Cup tie riding a five-match unbeaten streak, with four wins and a draw, including three clean sheets in their last four outings. Crawley Town, meanwhile, have endured a more turbulent run in League Two but arrive off a morale-boosting away win at Oldham and have found the net in every one of their last five games. The contrast in recent momentum is stark: Wimborne’s confidence is sky-high, but Crawley’s level of opposition has been consistently higher. The tactical battle will hinge on whether Wimborne’s disciplined defensive shape—conceding just 0.2 goals per game over their last five—can withstand Crawley’s more dynamic attack, which averages 12.8 shots and 5.8 on target per match. While Wimborne have been clinical at both ends, their attack has been less prolific against stronger sides, and their only recent slip was a 0-0 away draw. Crawley’s tendency to score late (six of their last seven goals after half-time) could be decisive, especially if the hosts tire. The model expects Crawley’s extra quality and attacking volume to eventually break down Wimborne’s resistance, though the hosts’ form and defensive record suggest they will not be overrun. A narrow away win is favoured, but the home side’s momentum and organisation mean an upset cannot be ruled out.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Crawley Town have scored in each of their last five games, averaging 1.4 goals and 5.8 shots on target per match.
Defence
- →Wimborne Town are unbeaten in their last eight matches across all competitions, with four clean sheets in their last five.
- →Wimborne’s defence has conceded just once in five matches, but Crawley’s attack represents a significant step up in class.
Where the Model Sees Value: Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Crawley Town Win
Crawley Town arrive with a clear step up in quality and have scored in all of their last five matches, while Wimborne Town—despite their superb recent form—have not faced opposition of this calibre. Crawley’s shot metrics (12.8 shots, 5.8 on target per game) suggest their attack will eventually tell.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Wimborne have conceded just once in their last five matches and kept four clean sheets, while Crawley have only managed more than two goals once in that span. The home side’s defensive organisation and the cup context point towards a competitive, lower-scoring tie.
Read more ↓
More FA Cup Predictions
🚩 Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Wimborne Town and 4.8 for Crawley Town, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 39%.
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town
With bookmaker odds unavailable, it is not possible to pinpoint specific value edges in this market. However, the model’s probabilities suggest that if Wimborne Town are priced as extreme underdogs, their defensive form could make the double chance (1X) or under 2.5 goals markets more appealing than the raw league gap would indicate.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town
- ⚠️No head-to-head or league standings data is available, which limits context on relative strength.
- ⚠️Wimborne’s recent form is against lower-division opposition; step up in class introduces uncertainty.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Wimborne Town 1–2 Crawley TownCrawley Town are projected to win 2-1, with their consistently high shot volume and ability to score in every recent match the strongest factor in their favour. However, Wimborne’s defensive momentum and home confidence mean the tie could be much tighter if Crawley struggle to break through early or underestimate their non-league hosts.
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town: Common Questions
Who will win Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town?
Crawley Town are rated 50% likely to win, with Wimborne Town at 23% and the draw at 27%. Crawley’s superior attacking numbers and higher-level experience tip the balance, but Wimborne’s defensive form suggests it could be close.
Will Wimborne Town’s defensive run continue against Crawley?
Wimborne have conceded just once in their last five matches, but Crawley have scored in all of their last five and average 12.8 shots per game. The model gives a 52% chance that at least one side keeps a clean sheet, but expects Crawley to find a way through.
Is both teams to score a good bet in this match?
The probability for both teams to score is 48%, with Wimborne’s strong defensive record offset by Crawley’s attacking consistency. The data suggests this market is finely balanced, with a slight lean towards at least one side failing to score.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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