Altrincham vs Notts County Predictions
FA Cup · England
Altrincham
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Notts County
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Notts County Win
Recommended Bets: Altrincham vs Notts County
Altrincham vs Notts County: Match Preview
Altrincham arrive at Moss Lane with momentum from a 6-2 FA Cup victory away to United of Manchester, but their home form is less convincing, with a goalless draw in their only home FA Cup tie this season and two clean sheets in their last five overall. Notts County, meanwhile, come in off a mixed run (DWLWL), but their attacking output remains robust, averaging 1.8 goals and 13 shots per game across their last five in all competitions. The historical record between these sides is lopsided, with Notts County winning five of the last seven meetings.
Statistically, the matchup tilts towards a moderate goal environment. Altrincham's last five matches have produced an average of 3.0 total goals, and Notts County's have averaged 3.0 as well. Both teams have seen BTTS in three of their last five, and Notts County's defensive record (1.2 conceded per game) leaves the door open for Altrincham to contribute. Set-piece data is limited, but Notts County's average of 5.4 corners per game and Altrincham's 3.0 suggest moderate set-piece activity, while both sides average under 3 cards per game, hinting at a contest unlikely to be defined by discipline.
The model expects Notts County's superior shot volume and historical edge to be decisive, projecting a 2-1 away win. Altrincham's attack has shown flashes, but their tendency to fail to score (twice in the last five) and Notts County's ability to create chances on the road point towards the visitors progressing, though the lack of current season away data for Notts County introduces a degree of uncertainty.
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Altrincham vs Notts County Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Altrincham vs Notts County that most previews miss.
- 1Notts County have scored at least two goals in four of their last five head-to-head meetings with Altrincham.
- 2Altrincham's only home FA Cup match this season ended 0-0, while their away tie produced eight goals.
- 3Notts County average 13 shots and 4.2 shots on target per game in their last five matches, compared to Altrincham's 8.6 and 3.8.
Who do you think wins: Altrincham vs Notts County?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Altrincham vs Notts County(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Notts County Win
Notts County have won five of the last seven meetings and are producing 1.8 goals per game in their last five, while Altrincham have failed to score in two of their last five and their only home FA Cup match this season ended 0-0.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have seen three of their last five matches go over 2.5 goals, and Altrincham's recent FA Cup tie produced eight goals, while Notts County average 1.2 goals conceded in their last five.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams have scored in three of the last five matches for each side, and Notts County have managed just one clean sheet in that stretch.
More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Altrincham vs Notts County Prediction
The statistical profile points to a competitive FA Cup tie with Notts County's superior scoring rates and historical dominance away at Altrincham tilting the balance. Both teams are averaging over 1.5 goals per game in recent matches, but Notts County's shot volume and attacking depth give them the edge. Expect a contest shaped by Notts County's ability to convert chances against an Altrincham defence that has shown vulnerability against higher-tier opposition.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Altrincham have failed to score in two of their last five matches.
Attack
- →Notts County average 13 shots per game over their last five matches.
Match Context
- →Notts County have won five of the last seven head-to-head meetings.
🚩 Altrincham vs Notts County Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6 corners for Altrincham and 5.3 for Notts County, for an expected total of 11.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (69%). Over 8.5: 79% · Over 10.5: 57%.
How Altrincham and Notts County Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Altrincham vs Notts County Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Altrinchamlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Notts Countylast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Altrincham are unbeaten in their last five (DWWDW), highlighted by a 6-2 FA Cup win, but have failed to score in two matches during that stretch. Notts County's form is patchier (DWLWL), yet they remain productive in attack, with nine goals scored in their last five and only one clean sheet kept.
Altrincham vs Notts County — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Altrincham vs Notts County
Notts County have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning five of the last seven and scoring at least twice in four of those. Altrincham's only win in this sequence came at home, but the overall trend is firmly with the visitors.
Altrincham vs Notts County Head-to-Head History
Last 7 meetings between these sides
1
Altrincham wins
1
Draws
5
Notts County wins
Things to Watch: Altrincham vs Notts County
- ⚠️No current season data for Notts County's away record or overall FA Cup form.
- ⚠️Altrincham's home/away splits are based on a very small sample size.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available to confirm value edges.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Altrincham 1–2 Notts CountyThe model projects a 2-1 win for Notts County, anchored by their consistently higher shot output (13 per game) and historical dominance in this fixture. The main risk is Altrincham's recent attacking outburst in the cup and the small sample size of Notts County's away form this season, which could lead to a closer contest or a higher-scoring draw.
Altrincham vs Notts County: Common Questions
Who will win Altrincham vs Notts County?
The model gives Notts County a 47% chance of victory, compared to 25% for Altrincham and 28% for the draw, based on recent scoring rates and a strong head-to-head record for the visitors.
Will both teams score in Altrincham vs Notts County?
Both teams to score is rated at 56%, with each side seeing BTTS in three of their last five matches and Notts County keeping just one clean sheet in that span.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Altrincham vs Notts County?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 53%, supported by both teams averaging 3.0 total goals per game in their last five matches and recent high-scoring cup ties.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Altrincham vs Notts County: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 31 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Altrincham vs Notts County Resources
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Notts County Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results