Crawley Town vs Brentford U21 Predictions
EFL Trophy · England
Crawley Town
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Brentford U21
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Recommended Bets: Crawley Town vs Brentford U21
Crawley Town vs Brentford U21: Match Preview
Crawley Town come into this EFL Trophy tie off a mixed run in League Two, with one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five, but crucially, they have found the net in every outing. Their EFL Trophy campaign has seen a commanding 4-0 home win and a heavy 4-1 defeat away, leaving them with a positive goal difference and a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in the competition. Brentford U21, meanwhile, are on a two-match winning streak in all competitions, but their EFL Trophy form is erratic—shipping seven goals at MK Dons and narrowly beating Bromley 1-0.
Statistically, this fixture projects as open and high-scoring. Crawley average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game over their last five, while Brentford U21’s last five average 2.4 scored and 3 conceded. Both teams have seen BTTS in all of their last five matches, and Brentford U21’s defensive issues are highlighted by conceding seven in their last EFL Trophy away game. Crawley’s shot production (12.8 per game, 5.8 on target) suggests they will test a Brentford U21 back line that has struggled under pressure.
Given these attacking and defensive rates, the model expects both sides to score and the match to feature multiple goals. Crawley’s home advantage and senior experience tilt the balance slightly in their favour, but Brentford U21’s attacking output—especially late in matches—means the tie could remain competitive throughout. A 2-1 or 2-2 scoreline is most consistent with the underlying numbers.
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Expected goals · model says 1.85
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Crawley Town vs Brentford U21 Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Crawley Town vs Brentford U21 that most previews miss.
- 1Crawley’s EFL Trophy games have hit over 2.5 goals in 100% of matches so far (2/2).
- 2Brentford U21 have conceded at least two goals in four of their last five matches in all competitions.
- 3Both teams have scored in every one of Brentford U21’s last five matches (BTTS 5/5).
Who do you think wins: Crawley Town vs Brentford U21?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Crawley Town vs Brentford U21(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes
Both sides have scored in all of their last five matches, and Brentford U21 have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five, while Crawley have conceded in four of five. The data points to a high BTTS probability (0.66).
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Crawley’s EFL Trophy matches average 4.5 goals per game (scored 5, conceded 4 in two), and Brentford U21’s last five average 5.4 total goals, with a 7-1 defeat in their last EFL Trophy away game. The model gives over 2.5 at 0.64 probability.
Read more ↓
More EFL Trophy Predictions
The Case For This Crawley Town vs Brentford U21 Prediction
Crawley Town host Brentford U21 at The Broadfield Stadium in a fixture shaped by contrasting defensive records and a high-scoring trend on both sides. Crawley’s recent form in League Two is mixed (WDLLD), but they have been reliable in front of goal, scoring in each of their last five matches and averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over that stretch. Brentford U21 enter on a two-match winning streak in all competitions, but their EFL Trophy campaign has been marked by volatility: a 7-1 defeat to MK Dons and a 1-0 win at Bromley. The statistical matchup tilts towards a goal-heavy contest. Crawley’s EFL Trophy matches have produced nine goals in two games (4-0 win, 1-4 loss), and their last five in all competitions have seen both teams score in four. Brentford U21’s last five have all featured both teams scoring, with an average of 2.4 goals for and 3 conceded per game. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five, and Brentford U21’s defensive frailty is underlined by conceding seven in their last EFL Trophy away match. Shot and possession data is limited for Brentford U21, but Crawley’s 12.8 shots and 5.8 on target per match over the last five suggest they will create chances. Given these rates, the model expects an open encounter with both teams likely to find the net. Crawley’s greater experience and home advantage give them a slight edge, but Brentford U21’s attacking threat—especially late in games—should keep the contest live into the second half. The likeliest scenario is a narrow home win with multiple goals, but defensive lapses on both sides could see a high-scoring draw.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have seen BTTS land in each of their last five matches.
Attack
- →Crawley have scored in all of their last five matches and average 2.5 goals per game in the EFL Trophy.
Defence
- →Brentford U21 have conceded 7 goals in 2 EFL Trophy games and average 3 goals conceded per match over their last five.
🚩 Crawley Town vs Brentford U21 Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for Crawley Town and 4.8 for Brentford U21, for an expected total of 8.9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (60%). Over 8.5: 53% · Over 10.5: 28%.
How Crawley Town and Brentford U21 Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Crawley Town vs Brentford U21 Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Crawley Townlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Brentford U21last 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Crawley Town’s recent form is patchy but consistent in attack, with a WDLLD run and goals in every match. Brentford U21, despite a heavy EFL Trophy defeat, have won their last two in all competitions and have scored in each of their last five, but their defence remains porous.
Crawley Town vs Brentford U21 — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 3.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Things to Watch: Crawley Town vs Brentford U21
- ⚠️No head-to-head or league standings data is available for this matchup.
- ⚠️Brentford U21’s squad rotation and youth team unpredictability increase variance.
- ⚠️Limited shot and possession data for Brentford U21 makes defensive/attacking estimates less precise.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Crawley Town 2–1 Brentford U21The model projects a 2-1 win for Crawley Town, driven primarily by Brentford U21’s defensive record—three goals conceded per game over their last five, including a 7-1 EFL Trophy defeat. The biggest risk to this call is the unpredictability of youth team lineups and the lack of head-to-head or standings data, which could mean Brentford U21’s recent uptick in results is under- or overestimated.
Crawley Town vs Brentford U21: Common Questions
Who will win Crawley Town vs Brentford U21?
Crawley Town are favoured with a 47% win probability, compared to 24% for Brentford U21 and 29% for the draw. The home side’s experience and Brentford U21’s defensive record tip the balance.
Will both teams score in Crawley Town vs Brentford U21?
The model gives a 66% probability for both teams to score. Both sides have scored and conceded in all of their last five matches, supporting a high BTTS likelihood.
Is over 2.5 goals a good bet for Crawley Town vs Brentford U21?
Over 2.5 goals is rated at 64% probability, with both teams’ recent matches trending high-scoring—Crawley’s EFL Trophy games average 4.5 goals, and Brentford U21’s last five average 5.4 goals per game.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Crawley Town vs Brentford U21: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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