Bradford vs York Predictions
EFL Trophy · England
Bradford
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
York
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Bradford vs York
Bradford vs York: Match Preview
Bradford approach this EFL Trophy tie with a strong group-stage record, having won both matches and scoring six goals while conceding just once. Their recent form is mixed—two wins, two draws, and a heavy defeat in their last five—but their home performances in the competition have been solid. York, by contrast, have struggled in the group, failing to win either of their matches and conceding four goals, and their last five in all competitions show defensive vulnerabilities with two defeats and just one clean sheet.
Statistically, Bradford's attack is the standout unit: they average 3.0 goals per EFL Trophy game and generate 14.8 shots and 9 corners per match over their last five. York's defence, conceding two per game in the group and 2.0 over their last five, looks ill-equipped to contain this threat. York do offer attacking threat themselves, scoring in every one of their last five, and their matches have tended towards high totals—four of their last five have seen both teams score. Bradford's defensive record is paradoxical: four clean sheets in five, but also three games without scoring, indicating a side prone to extremes.
The model expects Bradford's superior attacking rates and home advantage to tell, but York's ability to score—combined with Bradford's occasional attacking blanks—means the away side should not be discounted. The most likely scenario is a 2-1 home win, with a moderate chance of a draw if Bradford's attack stutters or York take advantage of set-piece opportunities.
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Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Bradford vs York Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Bradford vs York that most previews miss.
- 1Bradford's EFL Trophy matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season.
- 2York have scored in all of their last five matches but have only kept one clean sheet in that span.
- 3Bradford average 9 corners per game over their last five, indicating sustained attacking pressure at home.
Who do you think wins: Bradford vs York?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Bradford vs York(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Bradford's EFL Trophy matches average 3.5 goals per game, and York's last five outings have seen an average of 3.4 total goals, with both teams showing defensive vulnerabilities.
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BTTS: Yes
York have scored in each of their last five, while Bradford have only failed to score in one of their last two in this competition; both sides' recent defensive records suggest a high likelihood of both teams finding the net.
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More EFL Trophy Predictions
The Case For This Bradford vs York Prediction
Bradford's home scoring rate in the EFL Trophy (3.0 goals per game) sets a high baseline for this tie, while York's defensive record—two goals conceded per game in the group—points to a match with above-average goal expectancy. Recent form sees Bradford alternating between clean sheets and heavy defeats, but their shot and corner creation (14.8 shots, 9 corners per game) remains robust. York, meanwhile, have shown attacking intent with 1.4 goals per game over their last five, but their porous defence and just one clean sheet in that span leave them exposed against higher-tier opposition. The tactical matchup is shaped by Bradford's ability to control possession (55.8% average) and generate set-piece chances, contrasting with York's more direct approach and susceptibility to conceding from open play. York's tendency to allow early goals—four first-half goals conceded in their last five—could see Bradford start on the front foot. Both teams' discipline records (Bradford 2.4 yellows per game, York 1.8) and high corner counts suggest a match with plenty of stoppages and set-piece opportunities. Statistically, the model expects Bradford's attacking rates to overcome York's defensive frailties, but York's consistent scoring run and Bradford's recent lapses at the back (three matches without scoring, but also four clean sheets in five) keep the away side in the contest. The distribution of likely outcomes leans towards a 2-1 home win, with a moderate chance of a score draw if Bradford's attack misfires or York capitalise on set-piece moments.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →York have scored in five consecutive matches but conceded 2+ in four of those.
- →Bradford have kept four clean sheets in their last five but failed to score in three.
Match Context
- →Bradford's EFL Trophy games average 3.5 goals per match, with a 100% over 2.5 rate.
🚩 Bradford vs York Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.5 corners for Bradford and 3.8 for York, for an expected total of 10.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (58%). Over 8.5: 70% · Over 10.5: 46%.
How Bradford and York Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Bradford vs York Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Bradfordlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Yorklast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Bradford's last five matches have yielded two wins, two draws, and a heavy defeat, with a notable four clean sheets indicating defensive solidity but three games without scoring pointing to attacking inconsistency. York arrive off back-to-back defeats but have scored in all of their last five, suggesting their attack is functioning even as their defence struggles.
Bradford vs York — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
What History Says: Bradford vs York
Bradford are unbeaten in the last five meetings with York, winning twice and drawing three times, though the most recent competitive encounter was over a decade ago. The head-to-head record is high-scoring, but the age and context of these matches limit their predictive value for this tie.
Bradford vs York Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
2
Bradford wins
3
Draws
0
York wins
Things to Watch: Bradford vs York
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Standings data for both teams is missing, reducing clarity on group motivation.
- ⚠️Recent H2H data is sparse and largely irrelevant due to age and competition differences.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Bradford 2–1 YorkA 2-1 win for Bradford is the model's central forecast, underpinned by their 3.0 goals-per-game rate in this competition and York's consistent defensive leaks. The likeliest way this goes wrong is if Bradford's attack continues its recent inconsistency, opening the door for a draw if York make the most of their chances.
Bradford vs York: Common Questions
Who will win Bradford vs York?
The model gives Bradford a 48% probability of victory, with a 30% chance of a draw and 22% for a York win. Bradford's superior attacking numbers and home advantage tip the balance in their favour.
Will both teams score in Bradford vs York?
There is a 56% probability of both teams scoring, supported by York's run of five consecutive games with a goal and Bradford's tendency for high-scoring EFL Trophy matches.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54%, with Bradford's group games averaging 3.5 goals and York conceding two per game in the competition.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Bradford vs York: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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