IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK Predictions
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
Full Time
3 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Vasteras SK FK
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
7.2/10Elfsborg Cruise Past Vasteras with Dominant 3-0 Display at Borås Arena
IF Elfsborg delivered a commanding performance at Borås Arena, dispatching Vasteras SK FK 3-0 in a match they controlled from the outset. The hosts set the tone early, taking the lead in the 18th minute and never relinquishing their grip on proceedings. With 62% possession and 15 shots (seven on target), Elfsborg's superiority was never in doubt, and they capped their dominance with two second-half strikes to seal the points. Vasteras struggled to make any impact in the attacking third, failing to register a single shot on target from their five efforts. Their frustrations boiled over with three yellow cards, as Elfsborg’s midfield and defensive structure snuffed out any hope of a comeback. The result reaffirms Elfsborg’s credentials as one of Allsvenskan’s most cohesive sides, while Vasteras will be left to reflect on a night where they were second best in every department.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
3 - 0
Key Moments
18' — Goal
Elfsborg open the scoring after sustained pressure, setting the tone for the match.
71' — Goal
Elfsborg double their lead, effectively ending any hopes of a Vasteras comeback.
77' — Goal
A third goal for Elfsborg puts the result beyond doubt and caps a dominant display.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Vasteras pick up three bookings as frustration mounts amid Elfsborg’s control.
IF Elfsborg
Elfsborg were in complete control throughout, dictating the tempo with crisp passing and relentless pressing. Their 62% possession translated into sustained pressure, and the 15 shots they generated showcased their attacking intent. The midfield, anchored by Simon Olsson and Julius Magnusson, provided the platform for creative talents like Arbër Zeneli and Julius Beck to shine. Defensively, Elfsborg were rarely troubled, with Isak Pettersson enjoying a quiet evening in goal.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK were outclassed for much of the evening, struggling to gain a foothold in midfield and unable to test the Elfsborg goalkeeper. Their 38% possession and lack of shots on target underscored a lack of attacking cohesion. The back three were stretched by Elfsborg’s movement, and frequent fouls (17 in total) highlighted their inability to cope with the hosts’ tempo. The midfield quartet was overrun, and the front three were largely anonymous.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Elfsborg’s 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to dominate central areas, with the double pivot of Olsson and Magnusson providing both defensive cover and progressive passing. The advanced midfield trio, led by Zeneli and Beck, exploited spaces between the lines, constantly shifting the Vasteras back three out of position. Fullbacks Jensen and Hult offered width, stretching the play and creating overloads on the flanks. Vasteras, set up in a 3-4-3, struggled to match Elfsborg’s midfield numbers and were forced deep for long periods. Their wingbacks were pinned back, limiting attacking support for the front three. Attempts to play on the counter were stifled by Elfsborg’s high pressing and quick transitions, leaving Vasteras isolated and unable to build meaningful attacks.
Turning Point
Elfsborg’s second goal in the 71st minute, which extinguished any realistic chance of a Vasteras fightback.
Man of the Match
Arbër Zeneli
Pulled the strings in attack, constantly creating danger and playing a decisive role in Elfsborg’s goals.
IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK: Match Preview
Both IF Elfsborg and Vasteras SK FK sit in the congested mid-table, separated by just one point after 15 rounds. Elfsborg's recent form is patchy (WLLLD), with their only win in the last five coming away at Malmo. Vasteras, meanwhile, were thrashed 6-0 by Djurgardens last time out, but had previously gone four unbeaten, including three wins and a draw. With both sides just outside the European places, the incentive is to stabilise after recent setbacks and avoid slipping into the bottom half.
Statistically, the matchup is defined by Vasteras' high-scoring, high-conceding profile: their 24 goals scored and 29 conceded are both among the highest in the league, and their away games average 3.38 total goals (10 for, 17 against in 8). Elfsborg are more conservative, with a home record of 11 scored and 9 conceded in 8. Both teams' recent matches show a moderate BTTS tendency, and neither keeps clean sheets reliably (Elfsborg 20%, Vasteras 26.67%). First-half goals are slightly more common for Vasteras (4 in last 5), but both sides' matches are more likely to open up after the break.
The model projects a balanced, competitive fixture with a moderate goal expectation. Elfsborg's home solidity is offset by Vasteras' attacking threat and defensive frailty, making a 1-1 draw the likeliest outcome. The main uncertainty is Vasteras' variability—capable of both scoring bursts and defensive collapses—which could swing the result if either side capitalises on their opponent's lapses.
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Expected goals · model says 1.45
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK that most previews miss.
- 1Vasteras away matches have averaged 3.38 goals per game (10 scored, 17 conceded in 8).
- 2Elfsborg have drawn 6 of their 15 league games this season, including 3 of 8 at home.
- 3Across the last three H2H meetings, the away side has never won.
Who do you think wins: IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
More Allsvenskan Predictions
The Case For This IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction
Both IF Elfsborg and Vasteras SK FK enter this fixture separated by a single point and ranked 8th and 7th, respectively, in the Allsvenskan table. Elfsborg have struggled for momentum, picking up just one win in their last five league matches (form string: WLLLD), while Vasteras arrive off a heavy 0-6 defeat but had previously gone four unbeaten. Both sides are mid-table, with little to separate them on season-long output. Statistically, this is a clash of modest attacks and vulnerable defences. Elfsborg average 1.33 goals for and 1.2 against per game, with a home record of 11 scored and 9 conceded in 8 matches. Vasteras have a marginally higher scoring rate (1.6 per game) but a leaky defence, conceding 1.93 per match and 17 in 8 away games. Both teams show a tendency for both teams to score (Elfsborg BTTS in 60% of home games, Vasteras BTTS in 62% overall), and neither side keeps clean sheets consistently (Elfsborg 20%, Vasteras 26.67% season clean sheet rate). The model expects a balanced contest, with both teams likely to find the net but neither showing enough attacking quality or defensive solidity to dominate. The most probable outcome is a draw, with 1-1 the modal scoreline, reflecting both teams' season averages and recent form. The main risk is Vasteras' volatility—capable of both scoring bursts and heavy defeats—which could tip the match if either side capitalises on defensive lapses.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Elfsborg have averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match this season.
- →Vasteras have the worst defensive record in the top 8, conceding 1.93 goals per game and 17 in 8 away matches.
Match Context
- →Both teams have failed to score in 2 of their last 5, but also have BTTS in 3 of Elfsborg's last 5 and 1 of Vasteras'.
🚩 IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for IF Elfsborg and 3.5 for Vasteras SK FK, for an expected total of 8.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (65%). Over 8.5: 48% · Over 10.5: 24%.
How IF Elfsborg and Vasteras SK FK Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
IF Elfsborglast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Vasteras SK FKlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Elfsborg have struggled for consistency, with just one win in their last five league outings and a recent run of three straight defeats before their win at Malmo. Vasteras, despite a heavy 0-6 defeat last time out, had previously pieced together a four-match unbeaten run, including two clean-sheet wins. Both teams' recent results reflect volatility and a lack of sustained momentum.
IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
Strengths
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK
Elfsborg have had the edge in recent head-to-heads, winning two of the last three and drawing the most recent meeting 2-2 away. Vasteras have not beaten Elfsborg in this period, and the away side has never won in these three fixtures. Scorelines have mostly been tight, with only one match exceeding two goals.
IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
3
IF Elfsborg wins
1
Draws
0
Vasteras SK FK wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so value calculations are not possible. The model's probabilities suggest a marginal edge for the draw and both teams to score markets, but this cannot be compared to market prices. Any betting recommendations would require live odds to assess expected value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available—no value bet calculations possible.
- ⚠️Recent results for both sides are volatile, especially Vasteras' 0-6 loss last time out.
- ⚠️Neither side has a major injury or suspension, but lineups for this fixture are not confirmed.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
IF Elfsborg 1–1 Vasteras SK FKThe model calls this a 1-1 draw, driven by both teams' season-long scoring and concession rates and the high frequency of draws in Elfsborg's campaign. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Vasteras' defensive volatility reappears—such as their 0-6 defeat last match—allowing Elfsborg to edge a higher-scoring contest.
IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK: Common Questions
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK?
The probabilities are closely matched: Elfsborg win 36%, draw 35%, Vasteras win 29%. Both sides have similar season records and recent form, so a draw is marginally favoured.
Will both teams score in IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK?
Both teams to score is rated at 58%. Elfsborg have BTTS in 60% of home games, while Vasteras' away defence has conceded 17 in 8, suggesting goals at both ends are likely.
Is over 2.5 goals a good bet in this match?
Over 2.5 goals has a 54% probability, slightly above a coin flip. Vasteras' away matches average 3.38 goals per game, but Elfsborg's home games are lower-scoring, so the line is finely balanced.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 7 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.