Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W Predictions
2. Frauen Bundesliga · Germany
Ingolstadt W
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Bochum W
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W: Match Preview
Bochum W enter this fixture in third place, having collected 16 points from seven matches with a formidable +16 goal difference. Their recent form includes a 6-0 dismantling of Andernach W and four clean sheets in their last five. Ingolstadt W, sitting mid-table, have drawn their last two and won just one of their last four, with a goal output of 1.4 per game over the last five.
Statistically, Bochum's attack (2.71 goals/game) and defence (0.43 conceded/game) are the strongest in the league, while Ingolstadt's home record (2W-1L, 6:4 goal difference) is solid but not exceptional. Bochum have scored 11 of their last 14 goals after half-time, whereas Ingolstadt have netted just one second-half goal in their last five, indicating a likely second-half swing in Bochum's favour. Ingolstadt's matches have produced both teams scoring in four of their last five, but Bochum's defensive record suggests that trend may not continue.
The model expects Bochum's superior rates to decide the contest, projecting a moderate-scoring match (2–3 goals) with Bochum more likely to edge it, especially as the match progresses. Ingolstadt's home factor and historical H2H edge keep them competitive, but Bochum's current metrics set them apart.
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 1.90
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W that most previews miss.
- 1Bochum W have conceded only three goals in seven league matches (0.43 per game), the best defensive rate in the division.
- 2Ingolstadt W have scored just one second-half goal in their last five matches, while Bochum W have scored 11 after the break in the same span.
- 3Bochum W's away matches average 3.0 total goals (6 scored, 3 conceded in three games), slightly above the league average.
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The Case For This Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W Prediction
Bochum W arrive with the division's standout defensive record, conceding just three goals in seven matches, and have scored 19 themselves—a rate of 2.71 per game. Ingolstadt W, while solidly mid-table, have been less consistent, averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Bochum's away record (2 wins, 1 loss, 6:3 goal difference) remains robust, while Ingolstadt's home form (2 wins, 1 loss, 6:4) is respectable but less imposing. This fixture is shaped by Bochum's ability to restrict chances and finish matches strongly: they've scored 11 of their last 14 goals in the second half across their last five, while Ingolstadt have managed just one second-half goal in the same span. Ingolstadt's matches have produced both teams scoring in four of their last five, but Bochum have kept four clean sheets in that period, suggesting a clash between Ingolstadt's tendency for open games and Bochum's defensive control. The model projects a moderate goal environment (expected goals: 2.5–2.7), with Bochum's superior attacking and defensive rates tilting the probabilities. Ingolstadt's home edge and historical H2H success (three wins in the last four) keep the draw and home win probabilities alive, but Bochum's season-long numbers are the decisive factor.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Bochum W average 2.71 goals scored and just 0.43 conceded per game this season.
- →Bochum W have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches.
Match Context
- →Ingolstadt W's home record is 2W-1L with a 6:4 goal difference.
How Ingolstadt W and Bochum W Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Ingolstadt Wlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Bochum Wlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Bochum W are in outstanding form, winning five of their last seven and conceding just three goals all season. Ingolstadt W have been less consistent, with only one win in their last four and two consecutive draws, but have generally been competitive at home.
Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W — Last 7 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W
Ingolstadt W have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning three of the last four meetings, including both at home. However, Bochum W's current form and defensive record are stronger than in previous seasons, potentially shifting the balance.
Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
3
Ingolstadt W wins
0
Draws
1
Bochum W wins
Things to Watch: Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value and edge calculations are omitted.
- ⚠️No injury or lineup data to identify late absences or tactical changes.
- ⚠️Shot, possession, and set piece statistics are missing, reducing model granularity.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Ingolstadt W 1–2 Bochum WBochum W's defensive solidity and attacking output—2.71 goals scored and 0.43 conceded per game—make them clear statistical favourites despite Ingolstadt W's home comfort and historical H2H edge. The likeliest score is 2-1 to Bochum, with their second-half strength the single strongest data point behind the prediction. The main risk is Ingolstadt's ability to disrupt Bochum's rhythm at home, as seen in previous H2H meetings.
Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W: Common Questions
Who will win Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W?
Bochum W are favoured with a 53% win probability, compared to 21% for Ingolstadt W and 26% for the draw. This is based on Bochum's league-best defensive and attacking rates.
Will both teams score in Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W?
Both teams to score is rated almost even at 51%, reflecting Ingolstadt's recent BTTS trend (4 of last 5) versus Bochum's four clean sheets in their last five.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 60%, supported by Bochum's 85.7% over 2.5 rate this season and their 2.71 goals scored per match.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ingolstadt W vs Bochum W: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 27 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.