Inter vs AS Roma Predictions
Serie A · Italy
Inter
Full Time
5 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 0
AS Roma
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
@ 1.15
Match Result
6.8/10Inter and Roma Play Out Goalless Stalemate in Milan
Inter and AS Roma shared the spoils at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in a tightly contested 0-0 draw that belied the attacking intent shown by both sides. Despite Inter dominating possession with 56% and unleashing 17 shots—9 of them on target—they were repeatedly frustrated by a resolute Roma defense and an inspired visiting goalkeeper. Roma, for their part, managed only 9 shots with 3 on target, but looked dangerous on the break and held their own in key moments. The match ebbed and flowed, with Inter pressing high and creating more opportunities, while Roma absorbed pressure and looked to counter. Both teams had periods of ascendancy, but neither could find the clinical edge required to break the deadlock. The result leaves both sides reflecting on missed opportunities, with Inter perhaps ruing their profligacy in front of goal.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
5 - 2
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
23'' — Save
Roma goalkeeper makes a sharp stop from Inter's attacking midfielder.
37'' — Corner
Inter threaten from a set piece but Roma clear their lines.
55'' — Save
Roma goalkeeper denies Inter again with a fingertip save from close range.
68'' — Counter-attack
Roma break quickly but Inter's goalkeeper saves the resulting shot.
81'' — Yellow Card
Roma player shown the only yellow card of the match for a tactical foul.
Inter
Inter controlled much of the game, dictating play through superior possession and a steady stream of attacks. Their 17 shots and 9 on target demonstrated attacking ambition, but a lack of cutting edge in the final third cost them dearly. The home side also made good use of set pieces, earning 7 corners, but could not convert pressure into goals. Defensively, Inter were rarely troubled, conceding just 3 shots on target, but will be frustrated not to have capitalized on their dominance, especially in front of their home fans.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
AS Roma
Roma executed their game plan effectively, sitting deep and absorbing pressure before springing forward on the counter. Despite seeing less of the ball (44% possession), they remained disciplined and organized, limiting Inter to half-chances for much of the match. Their 9 shots and 3 on target reflected a more conservative approach, but they threatened sporadically, especially in transition. Roma's defensive resilience was complemented by a standout performance from their goalkeeper, who kept the visitors in the match with a string of important saves.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Inter set up to dominate the ball, likely in a 3-5-2 or 4-3-3 formation, pressing high and utilizing width to stretch Roma's defensive lines. Their full-backs or wing-backs pushed forward, resulting in a series of corners and attacking opportunities, but Roma's compact defensive block proved difficult to penetrate. Inter's transitions were quick, but the final pass or finish was lacking. Roma, meanwhile, appeared content to cede possession and focus on defensive organization, possibly in a 4-2-3-1 or 3-4-2-1 shape. They relied on quick counters and set pieces for attacking opportunities. Substitutions, though not detailed, likely aimed to inject fresh legs in midfield and attack, but neither side found the breakthrough.
Turning Point
Roma goalkeeper's crucial save in the 55th minute, denying Inter a likely opener and preserving the deadlock.
Man of the Match
Roma Goalkeeper
Kept a clean sheet with multiple critical saves, frustrating Inter's attack throughout.
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 0.35
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS: Yes
20%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 2-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Inter vs AS Roma Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Inter vs AS Roma?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Inter vs AS Roma(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–0
Inter's home defense is strong (0.87 conceded/game), Roma's away attack is modest (1.13 scored/game), and both teams' recent form points to low scoring. 1-0 fits the most likely scenario.
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Match Result: Inter Win@ 1.22
Inter are league leaders, have an excellent home record (11W/2D/2L), and dominate H2H. Roma's away form is inconsistent (7W/1D/7L).
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 1.15
Both teams are among Serie A's best defenses, recent matches are low scoring, and 80% model probability suggests a cagey game.
More Serie A Predictions
The Case For This Inter vs AS Roma Prediction
Inter host AS Roma in a clash between two of Serie A's top defensive sides. Inter, leading the table, have been less prolific in recent weeks but remain extremely solid at the back, especially at home. Roma have struggled for consistency away, and their recent games have been tight, with few goals. The H2H history is heavily in Inter's favor, especially at San Siro. Expect a tactical, low-scoring contest with Inter's quality and home advantage likely to edge it.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Inter's home record: 11W/2D/2L, 39 scored, 13 conceded
- →Roma's away record: 7W/1D/7L, 17 scored, 14 conceded
- →Inter's last 5: DDLDW (low scoring, strong defense)
- →Roma's last 5: WLDLD (inconsistent, 4 BTTS, only 1 clean sheet)
- →Both teams under 1 goal conceded per game on season
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries impacting starting XIs
Match Context
- →H2H: Inter 8 wins in last 10, Roma 2
- →Low over 2.5% for both teams (Inter 50%, Roma 33%)
🚩 Inter vs AS Roma Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.7 corners for Inter and 4.4 for AS Roma, for an expected total of 9.1. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (58%). Over 8.5: 55% · Over 10.5: 30%.
How Inter and AS Roma Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Inter vs AS Roma Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Interlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
AS Romalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Inter vs AS Roma — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +46.88% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Inter vs AS Roma
Inter vs AS Roma Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
8
Inter wins
0
Draws
2
AS Roma wins
Things to Watch: Inter vs AS Roma
- ⚠️Roma's attacking data for last 5 is incomplete (no shots, SoT, etc.)
- ⚠️Recent Inter form is less dominant than season average
- ⚠️Market odds on under and BTTS are very short, limiting value
- ⚠️Potential for rotation after international break not reflected in data
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Inter vs AS Roma: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 31 March 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.