Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknès Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Ittihad Tanger
Full Time
2 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 0
CODM Meknès
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
7.2/10Ittihad Tanger Edge CODM Meknès in Fast-Start Thriller at Stade Ibn Batouta
Ittihad Tanger seized an early advantage and held off a spirited second-half fightback from CODM Meknès to secure a 2-1 victory at Stade Ibn Batouta. The hosts struck twice in the opening eight minutes, stunning their visitors and setting the tone for a frenetic first half. CODM Meknès regrouped after the break, halving the deficit early in the second period, but ultimately could not find an equalizer despite their efforts. The match was characterized by its explosive start and a shift in momentum after halftime. While Ittihad Tanger capitalized on their early dominance, CODM Meknès responded with renewed energy, but their comeback bid fell just short. Both sides saw yellow cards in a contest that was competitive until the final whistle.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
1' — Goal
Ittihad Tanger open the scoring immediately, catching CODM Meknès off guard.
8' — Goal
Tanger double their lead, putting themselves in a commanding position early.
51' — Goal
CODM Meknès pull one back just after halftime, shifting the momentum.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Ittihad Tanger receive their only booking of the match.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
CODM Meknès pick up two yellow cards in a feisty encounter.
Ittihad Tanger
Ittihad Tanger came flying out of the blocks, scoring twice inside the opening eight minutes to put themselves firmly in control. Their early attacking intent paid dividends, and they managed the game well in the first half. After the break, however, they were forced to weather a CODM Meknès resurgence, conceding early in the second half. Despite facing increased pressure, they showed resilience and discipline to see out the win, only picking up a single yellow card in the process.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
CODM Meknès
CODM Meknès were caught cold by Ittihad Tanger's rapid start, conceding twice before they could settle into the game. However, they regrouped admirably after halftime, pulling a goal back in the 51st minute to reignite hope. Their second-half performance was marked by greater attacking intent and urgency, but despite their efforts and two yellow cards, they could not find a way past a resolute Tanger defense to salvage a point.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With lineups not available, both teams' tactical approaches were defined by the match's phases. Ittihad Tanger's early blitz suggested an aggressive, high-pressing setup, overwhelming CODM Meknès before they could organize defensively. After establishing a two-goal cushion, Tanger appeared to drop deeper, focusing on maintaining their lead. CODM Meknès, forced to chase the game, likely adjusted their shape at halftime to increase attacking numbers, which paid off with a goal early in the second half. However, Tanger's defensive organization and discipline, especially after conceding, allowed them to absorb pressure and protect their advantage. Set pieces and transitions played a key role, particularly in the opening exchanges.
Turning Point
The opening eight minutes, during which Ittihad Tanger scored twice, set the tone and forced CODM Meknès to play catch-up for the rest of the match.
Man of the Match
Unknown (Ittihad Tanger goalscorer, 1st minute)
Scored the crucial opening goal that sparked Tanger's dominant start and ultimately proved decisive.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.90
Expected goals · model says 0.50
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
BTTS: Yes
23%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknès Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknès?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknès(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have a strong under 2.5 trend (Ittihad Tanger 75%, CODM Meknès 71% under 2.5 this season), and recent matches are low scoring. Attack metrics are weak, especially for the away side.
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Match Result: Ittihad Tanger Win
Ittihad Tanger are in better form (3W, 1D, 1L last 5), with home advantage and facing a CODM Meknès side with just 1 away win all season and poor recent results.
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BTTS: No
High probability for BTTS No given both teams' low-scoring profiles, CODM Meknès' away attack (0.57 goals/game), and Ittihad Tanger's improved defensive record recently.
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More Botola Pro Predictions
The Case For This Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknès Prediction
This fixture features two mid-table sides with contrasting momentum. Ittihad Tanger have found form at the right time, picking up three wins in their last five and showing defensive resilience. CODM Meknès, by contrast, are winless in five and have struggled badly on the road, with just one away win all season. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair, with the home side holding a slight edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average under 1 goal scored per game for the season
Defence
- →Ittihad Tanger: 3 wins in last 5, only 0.8 goals conceded per game recently
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported
Match Context
- →CODM Meknès: winless in last 5, only 1 away win all season (1W, 6D, 7L)
- →Strong under 2.5 goal trend for both sides
🚩 Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknès Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Ittihad Tanger and 4.5 for CODM Meknès, for an expected total of 8.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (65%). Over 8.5: 48% · Over 10.5: 24%.
How Ittihad Tanger and CODM Meknès Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknès Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Ittihad Tangerlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
CODM Meknèslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ittihad Tanger come into this match on a strong run, with three wins and a draw in their last five, conceding just four goals in that stretch. CODM Meknès, on the other hand, have not won in five matches (2D, 3L), conceding eight goals and struggling to create chances, particularly away from home.
Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknès — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknès
The head-to-head record is limited but shows a trend for low-scoring games, with all three recent encounters ending under 2.5 goals and two ending 1-0. Each team has won once at home, suggesting a slight home advantage.
Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknès Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
2
Ittihad Tanger wins
0
Draws
2
CODM Meknès wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknès
Without bookmaker odds, value edges cannot be quantified. However, the model strongly favors under 2.5 goals and BTTS No based on both teams' season-long and recent scoring records. If odds for these markets are above 1.35 for under 2.5 or above 1.60 for BTTS No, they would likely represent value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknès
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value/EV cannot be calculated
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or corners data for recent matches, reducing confidence in set piece and attacking threat estimates
- ⚠️Small H2H sample (3 matches) limits trend reliability
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknès: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 2 July 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.