Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat Predictions

Botola ProBotola Pro · Morocco
high confidence
Kawkab Marrakech

Kawkab Marrakech

Full Time

2 - 0

AI predicted 1 - 1

FUS Rabat

FUS Rabat

🗓️ Thursday, 25 Jun 2026 at 18:00 GMT+1 (venue time) · 17:00 UTC (your time)📍 Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech

Win Probability (1X2)

Kawkab Marrakech 36%Draw 39%FUS Rabat 25%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Match Result

6/10

Kawkab Marrakech Stun FUS Rabat with Clinical First-Half Double

Kawkab Marrakech delivered a disciplined and efficient performance at the Stade de Marrakech, overcoming FUS Rabat 2-0 in a match defined by clinical finishing and resolute defending. Despite conceding the majority of possession (47% to FUS's 53%), Kawkab struck twice in the first half, with goals arriving in the 19th and 44th minutes, setting the tone for a result that rarely looked in doubt. FUS Rabat struggled to convert their territorial advantage into meaningful chances, registering just a single shot—none on target—throughout the 90 minutes. The visitors' frustration was compounded by two yellow cards, while Kawkab Marrakech, despite picking up a yellow and a red card, managed to see out the victory with a composed defensive display.

💪 AI Prediction Report

DECENT HIT

Predicted

1 - 1

⚡

Actual

2 - 0

❌Result
✅BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results2/3 hit

Correct Score — 1-1
❌
Under 2.5 Goals — Under
✅
Double Chance — 1X
✅

Key Moments

19' — Goal

Kawkab Marrakech break the deadlock with a clinical finish.

44' — Goal

Kawkab double their lead just before halftime, seizing control.

Second Half' — Red Card

Kawkab Marrakech reduced to ten men, forced into defensive mode.

Various' — Yellow Cards

A total of three yellow cards shown, reflecting a tense and physical contest.

Kawkab Marrakech

Kawkab Marrakech

7.5/10

Kawkab Marrakech made the most of their opportunities, scoring twice from limited attacking play in the first half. Their defensive organization was impressive, especially after going down to ten men due to a red card. Despite not registering a single shot on target or corner, their early goals allowed them to sit deep and absorb pressure, frustrating FUS Rabat and preserving a valuable clean sheet.

Key Players

First Goalscorer (19'): Opened the scoring to put Kawkab ahead early.
Second Goalscorer (44'): Doubled the lead just before halftime, giving Kawkab crucial breathing room.

Strengths

Clinical finishingDefensive resilienceGame management after red card

Weaknesses

Lack of attacking threat (0 shots on target, 0 corners)Discipline (1 red card, 1 yellow card)
FUS Rabat

FUS Rabat

5/10

FUS Rabat controlled possession for long stretches and had the territorial advantage, but their attack was toothless, managing only one shot and failing to test the Kawkab goalkeeper. Their inability to create chances or capitalize on the numerical advantage after Kawkab's red card ultimately cost them, with frustration evident in the two yellow cards they collected.

Key Players

Midfield Engine: Helped FUS Rabat dominate possession with 53%.

Strengths

Ball retentionMidfield control

Weaknesses

Lack of cutting edge in attackIneffective use of possessionDiscipline (2 yellow cards)

Tactical Analysis

Both teams appeared to prioritize structure, with Kawkab Marrakech likely setting up in a compact shape to frustrate FUS Rabat's ball-dominant approach. Kawkab's early goals allowed them to sit deep and absorb pressure, especially after the red card forced them to defend with even greater discipline. FUS Rabat, despite enjoying more of the ball, lacked width and penetration, failing to turn possession into clear chances or set-piece opportunities (0 corners). The match's tactical story was one of Kawkab's clinical counter-attacks and FUS Rabat's sterile domination.

Turning Point

The second Kawkab goal in the 44th minute, which gave them a two-goal cushion and allowed them to focus entirely on defending their lead.

Man of the Match

Second Goalscorer (44')

Scored the crucial second goal and set the tone for Kawkab's disciplined second-half display.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Kawkab Marrakech0.85

Expected goals · model says 0.85

FUS Rabat0.70

Expected goals · model says 0.70

Win Probability
Kawkab Marrakech 36% Draw 36% FUS Rabat 28%

Over 2.5 Goals

20%

BTTS: Yes

29%

Likely Scores

0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
36%
39%
25%
Kawkab Marrakech 36%Draw 39%FUS Rabat 25%
Both Teams to Score
44%
56%
Yes 44%No 56%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
23%
77%
Over 2.5 23%Under 2.5 77%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
23%
77%
Over 9.5 23%Under 9.5 77%

Who do you think wins: Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat Prediction

This fixture features two mid-table sides with nearly identical records and a strong tendency toward draws. Kawkab Marrakech have been inconsistent but solid at home, while FUS Rabat are on a run of four straight league draws and have struggled to win away. Both teams are defensively organized, and with little to separate them in the standings, a low-scoring, cagey match is likely.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Recent H2H meetings are low scoring and often end in draws.

Defence

  • →Both teams have low over 2.5 goal percentages and strong recent defensive records.

Match Context

  • →Both teams have drawn 9 times this season, the joint-most in the league.
  • →FUS Rabat have drawn their last four league matches.
  • →Kawkab Marrakech have a much better home record than away.

🚩 Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat Corners Prediction

low confidence
7.6expected total corners
Over 23%
Under 77%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 3.8 corners for Kawkab Marrakech and 3.8 for FUS Rabat, for an expected total of 7.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (77%). Over 8.5: 34% · Over 10.5: 14%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Kawkab Marrakech and FUS Rabat Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Kawkab MarrakechKawkab Marrakechlast 5 matches
C. Gnolou
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. Cisse
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

H. El Janati
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. Essallami
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

FUS RabatFUS Rabatlast 5 matches
H. El Mahssani
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. Souane
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Kawkab Marrakech have shown mixed form, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, including a recent home defeat. FUS Rabat are on a run of four consecutive league draws, showing defensive solidity but lacking a cutting edge in attack. Both sides have struggled to consistently score, with Kawkab failing to score in three of their last five.

Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat — Last 10 Matches

Kawkab MarrakechKawkab MarrakechLast 10 results
W2-0
L0-2
L0-2
L0-1
W2-0
D0-0
W3-1
L1-2
L1-2
W2-1
Wvs FUS Rabat2-0
L@ FAR Rabat0-2
Lvs Ittihad Tanger0-2
L@ Olympique Safi0-1
Wvs Raja Casablanca2-0
D@ UTS Rabat0-0
Wvs CODM Meknès3-1
L@ Yacoub El Mansour1-2
Lvs CR Khemis Zemamra1-2
Wvs Olympique Dcheïra2-1

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
FUS RabatFUS RabatLast 10 results
L0-2
L0-2
W2-1
D1-1
D0-0
D0-0
D1-1
D1-1
D1-1
W2-0
L@ Kawkab Marrakech0-2
Lvs Olympique Dcheïra0-2
W@ Wydad AC2-1
Dvs Maghreb Fès1-1
Dvs Difaa EL Jadida0-0
D@ Hassania Agadir0-0
Dvs FAR Rabat1-1
D@ Olympique Safi1-1
Dvs Ittihad Tanger1-1
W@ UTS Rabat2-0

Concerns

  • −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game

What History Says: Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat

Head-to-head history is very even, with both teams winning twice and three draws in the last seven meetings. Draws are common, and the last encounter ended 1-1, reflecting the current form and balance between the sides.

Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat Head-to-Head History

Last 8 meetings between these sides

3

Kawkab Marrakech wins

2

Draws

3

FUS Rabat wins

38%25% draws38%
25 Jun 26Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat2-0
15 Feb 26FUS Rabat vs Kawkab Marrakech1-1
2 Feb 19FUS Rabat vs Kawkab Marrakech1-0
27 Aug 18Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat1-1
8 Apr 18FUS Rabat vs Kawkab Marrakech2-1
26 Nov 17Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat2-1

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat

Without bookmaker odds, no direct value bets can be identified. However, the model suggests the draw and under 2.5 goals are more likely than average, so if odds for these markets are above 2.50 and 1.60 respectively, there could be value.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Kawkab Marrakech Win2.0036.0%-14.0%
Draw2.6239.0%+0.8%
FUS Rabat Win1.7325.0%-32.8%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.5value8.0023.0%+10.5%
Under 2.51.0877.0%-15.6%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue7.0044.0%+29.7%
No1.1056.0%-34.9%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 2.62EV +0.022
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 @ 8.00EV +0.840
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 7.00EV +2.080

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Lack of detailed shot/corner data reduces confidence in set piece and attacking threat estimates.
  • ⚠️Both teams are mid-table and may lack motivation, increasing draw likelihood but also unpredictability.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 18 June 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat Resources