Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town Predictions
National League · England
Kidderminster Harriers
Full Time
0 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 1
Yeovil Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
6/10Late Strike Seals Away Win for Yeovil Town at Aggborough
Yeovil Town edged out Kidderminster Harriers with a narrow 1-0 victory at Aggborough Stadium, courtesy of a decisive goal in the 74th minute. In a closely contested affair, both teams struggled to break the deadlock for much of the match, with defensive discipline and midfield battles dominating proceedings. The visitors finally found the breakthrough late in the second half, capitalizing on a rare lapse in the Kidderminster backline. Despite Kidderminster's efforts to claw back into the game, Yeovil's resolute defending and game management ensured the three points would travel back to Somerset. The match was not without its physical edge, as three yellow cards were shown across both sides, reflecting the competitive nature of this National League clash.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
0 - 1
Key Moments
74' — Goal
Yeovil Town broke the deadlock with a well-taken goal, capitalizing on a rare defensive lapse from Kidderminster.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Kidderminster Harriers received two yellow cards, reflecting their frustration and urgency as time ticked away.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Yeovil Town picked up a yellow card, but maintained composure to see out the result.
Kidderminster Harriers
Kidderminster Harriers put in a determined shift but ultimately lacked the cutting edge required to trouble Yeovil Town's defense. Their inability to convert territorial advantage into clear chances proved costly, especially after falling behind late on. The Harriers maintained their discipline for most of the match, but two yellow cards highlighted their growing frustration as the game wore on. Despite a spirited push in the closing stages, Kidderminster were unable to find a response, with their attacking play lacking the necessary sharpness to unlock Yeovil's well-organized rearguard.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Yeovil Town
Yeovil Town executed a well-drilled away performance, absorbing pressure and striking decisively when the opportunity arose. Their patience paid off with a 74th-minute goal that proved enough to secure all three points. Yeovil's defensive organization was impressive, limiting Kidderminster's chances and managing the game effectively after taking the lead. A single yellow card was the only blemish on an otherwise disciplined display, as Yeovil showed both resilience and tactical awareness to see out the result in a testing away environment.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With lineups and formations unavailable, both teams appeared to prioritize defensive solidity and midfield control for long stretches, resulting in a cagey encounter. Yeovil Town's tactical discipline was evident, as they absorbed pressure and waited for the right moment to strike. Their ability to stay compact and organized frustrated Kidderminster, who struggled to create clear openings. After taking the lead, Yeovil switched to a more conservative approach, focusing on protecting their advantage and disrupting Kidderminster's rhythm. The Harriers, meanwhile, pushed more bodies forward in the closing stages, but their lack of creativity and composure in the final third proved decisive.
Turning Point
Yeovil Town's 74th-minute goal shifted the momentum decisively, leaving Kidderminster with too little time to mount a comeback.
Man of the Match
Yeovil Town goalscorer
Provided the match-winning moment with a composed finish in a tight contest.
Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town: Match Preview
Kidderminster Harriers approach this fixture in fourth place, unbeaten at home and riding a three-match winning streak. Their defensive record at Aggborough stands out, with just two goals conceded in five home games, and they have not failed to score in any of their last five matches. Yeovil Town, sitting sixth, are similarly in the play-off mix but have been less consistent, with two defeats and no clean sheets in their last five, though they remain potent in front of goal.
Statistically, this match pits Kidderminster’s defensive discipline against Yeovil’s attacking output. Kidderminster average 1.2 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded per home game, while Yeovil’s away games see an even split of six scored and six conceded from four outings. Both sides have averaged 2.2 goals scored over their last five, but Yeovil’s defence has been breached 11 times in that span, suggesting vulnerability. Both teams have scored in all of Yeovil’s last five matches, and the over 2.5 goals line has landed in two-thirds of their season games.
The model expects a competitive contest with a moderate goal environment. Kidderminster’s defensive structure and home advantage give them a statistical edge, but Yeovil’s attack is likely to pose problems. A 2-1 home win is the likeliest outcome, with both teams expected to find the net, driven by Yeovil’s high BTTS rate and Kidderminster’s recent attacking consistency.
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Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town that most previews miss.
- 1Yeovil Town have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches, conceding at least once in every game.
- 2Kidderminster have conceded just two goals in five home matches this season, the joint-best home defensive record in the top six.
- 3Both teams have scored in 100% of Yeovil’s last five fixtures, compared to 60% for Kidderminster.
Who do you think wins: Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town?
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The Case For This Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town Prediction
Kidderminster Harriers have built a strong defensive foundation at Aggborough, conceding just two goals in five home matches and remaining unbeaten on their own turf. Yeovil Town, though prolific in attack with 18 goals from nine games, have shown defensive frailty, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five and conceding an average of 2.2 per game in that stretch. Both teams arrive in the top six, with Kidderminster holding a slight edge in form and defensive solidity.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Yeovil have seen both teams score in all of their last five games.
- →Kidderminster's last five matches: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses.
Defence
- →Kidderminster average 0.4 goals conceded per home match this season.
How Kidderminster Harriers and Yeovil Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Kidderminster Harrierslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Yeovil Townlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Kidderminster Harriers are unbeaten in their last five, winning four and drawing one, with three consecutive victories and two clean sheets in that run. Yeovil Town have been more erratic, posting two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five, but have scored in every match and conceded at least once each time.
Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town
No head-to-head data is available for this fixture, so no trends or patterns can be established from previous meetings.
Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Kidderminster Harriers wins
0
Draws
1
Yeovil Town wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town
No bookmaker odds are available for this match, so no value edges can be identified. If odds become available, the model’s probabilities suggest value could emerge on BTTS or over 2.5 goals depending on market pricing.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available for these teams limits historical matchup insight.
- ⚠️Absence of shots, corners, and possession data restricts set-piece and tempo analysis.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value calculations cannot be completed.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Kidderminster Harriers 2–1 Yeovil TownThe model projects a narrow 2-1 win for Kidderminster Harriers, underpinned by their league-best home defensive record (0.4 goals conceded per home game). The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Yeovil’s attack, averaging 2.0 goals per game this season, overcomes Kidderminster’s defensive structure and turns the match into a higher-scoring draw.
Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town: Common Questions
Who will win Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town?
Kidderminster Harriers are given a 43% probability of victory, compared to 27% for Yeovil Town and 30% for the draw. The home side’s defensive record and unbeaten home run are key factors behind the edge.
Will both teams score in Kidderminster vs Yeovil?
The probability for both teams to score is 63%, driven by Yeovil’s record of BTTS in all of their last five matches and Kidderminster’s consistent attacking output at home.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Kidderminster vs Yeovil?
There is a 59% probability for over 2.5 goals, based on Yeovil’s 66.7% season rate for this line and both teams averaging over 2 goals scored per game in their last five.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town Resources
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Kidderminster Harriers vs Yeovil Town Stats
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Model Accuracy
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