Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town Predictions
Premier League · Wales
Llandudno
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 2
Caernarfon Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
6.5/10Llandudno and Caernarfon Town Share the Spoils in Hard-Fought Draw
Llandudno and Caernarfon Town played out a 1-1 draw in this Premier League clash in Wales, with both sides enjoying spells of dominance but ultimately unable to find a decisive winner. Caernarfon Town struck first, taking the lead in the 21st minute, but Llandudno responded swiftly after halftime, leveling the score in the 47th minute. The match was a physical affair, with a total of six yellow cards shown as both teams battled fiercely for control. Despite the intensity and commitment on display, neither side could break the deadlock in the closing stages. The draw reflects the even nature of the contest, with both teams showing resilience and defensive solidity after their respective goals.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
21' — Goal
Caernarfon Town open the scoring to take a 1-0 lead.
47' — Goal
Llandudno equalize early in the second half, shifting the momentum.
Various' — Yellow Cards
A total of six yellow cards are shown, reflecting the match's physicality.
Llandudno
Llandudno showed good character to come from behind after conceding in the first half. Their equalizer early in the second half gave them momentum, but they struggled to convert pressure into further goals. The team's discipline was tested, picking up two yellow cards, yet they managed to maintain composure and see out the match without further incident.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town started brightly, taking the lead in the 21st minute and looking composed in the first half. However, they were pegged back almost immediately after the interval and had to withstand periods of Llandudno pressure. Four yellow cards indicate a combative approach, and while their defense held firm late on, they lacked the attacking thrust to reclaim the lead.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both teams' lineups and formations unavailable, the match's flow suggests a balanced tactical battle. Caernarfon Town's early goal points to an aggressive start, while Llandudno's response after halftime indicates effective adjustments in the dressing room. The high card count, especially Caernarfon Town's four bookings, hints at a combative midfield and defensive approach, possibly to disrupt Llandudno's rhythm after the equalizer. Neither side was able to capitalize on set pieces or find space in the final third as the match wore on, leading to a stalemate.
Turning Point
Llandudno's equalizer in the 47th minute, which shifted the momentum and set the tone for a tense second half.
Man of the Match
Llandudno Goalscorer
His timely goal just after halftime rescued a point for his side and changed the game's momentum.
Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town: Match Preview
Llandudno and Caernarfon Town arrive level on points after seven rounds, each boasting five wins and two defeats, but it's the home/away split that shapes this fixture. Llandudno have been perfect at home, winning all four and conceding just three, while Caernarfon Town are the only side in the division to win all of their away matches so far, scoring three per game on their travels. Both clubs sit just outside the top three, so the outcome could have significant implications for the early title race pecking order.
From a statistical perspective, the matchup is defined by high attacking output and moderate defensive solidity. Llandudno average 2.14 goals scored per game and have kept two clean sheets in their last five, but have conceded in 57% of matches. Caernarfon Town's attack is even more potent, averaging 2.57 per game and failing to score only once all season. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 86% of Caernarfon's matches and 57% of Llandudno's, with both teams to score hitting in four of the last ten combined. First-half goals are a particular feature for Caernarfon, with eight in their last five matches before the break.
The model expects an open contest with a high probability of both teams finding the net. Caernarfon Town's away attack rates tilt the balance slightly in their favour, but Llandudno's home record keeps the probabilities close. The most likely scenario is a narrow away win in a match with multiple goals, with the 1-2 and 1-1 scorelines most prominent in the distribution.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.45
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town that most previews miss.
- 1Caernarfon Town have scored at least twice in every away match this season (3.0 goals per game on the road).
- 2Llandudno have not drawn a match in seven league outings, with all results ending in a win or loss.
- 3Across both teams, 10 of 14 matches this season (71%) have featured over 2.5 goals.
Who do you think wins: Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams average above 2.1 goals scored per game and Caernarfon Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 86% of their matches; the model rates over 2.5 at 63%.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Llandudno have scored in 6 of 7 matches and Caernarfon Town have failed to score only once, with both teams scoring in 2 of their last 5 each; BTTS modelled at 60%.
Read more ↓
More Premier League Predictions
The Case For This Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town Prediction
This fixture pairs two high-scoring, top-half sides with near-identical records but contrasting home and away strengths. Llandudno's perfect home record meets Caernarfon Town's flawless away form, both averaging over two goals scored per match. The underlying rates point to a match with above-average goal expectancy, with both teams' defensive records suggesting opportunities at both ends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Llandudno are unbeaten at home with 10 goals scored and only 3 conceded in 4.
- →Both sides have a clean sheet rate of 43% and have seen over 2.5 goals in a combined 71% of their matches.
Match Context
- →Caernarfon Town have scored 9 goals in 3 away matches (3.00 per game) and won all three.
How Llandudno and Caernarfon Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Llandudnolast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Caernarfon Townlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Llandudno's recent form alternates wins and losses, but their home record remains perfect with three straight clean sheets in their last three at home. Caernarfon Town, meanwhile, have won four of their last five and are unbeaten away, scoring freely with 9 goals in three away fixtures.
Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town — Last 9 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 3.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 77.78% of games this season
What History Says: Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town
The head-to-head record is limited but balanced, with two draws and one Caernarfon Town win from the last three meetings. Both teams have scored in two of those matches, and none have been decided by more than a single goal.
Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
0
Llandudno wins
3
Draws
1
Caernarfon Town wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town
With no bookmaker odds available, the model cannot identify explicit value edges. The goal markets—over 2.5 and both teams to score—would merit close attention if prices reflect average league rates, given the high combined scoring rates and over 2.5 frequency.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No shot or possession data available; model relies on goal and result rates.
- ⚠️Small sample size for head-to-head and current season form may limit reliability.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Llandudno 1–2 Caernarfon TownThe statistical edge goes to Caernarfon Town, whose away scoring rate (3.0 per game) is the standout number in this matchup. The model projects a 2-1 away win, but Llandudno's 100% home record is the main threat to that forecast; if their defence holds, a draw or high-scoring stalemate is plausible.
Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town: Common Questions
Who will win Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town?
The model gives Caernarfon Town a 39% chance of victory, with Llandudno at 29% and a draw at 32%. Caernarfon's perfect away record and higher scoring rate give them a slight edge, but Llandudno's strong home form keeps the match close.
Will both teams score in Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town?
Both teams to score is rated at 60% probability. Llandudno have scored in 6 of 7 matches, and Caernarfon Town have found the net in all but one, with both sides showing only moderate clean sheet rates.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
Over 2.5 goals is modelled at 63% probability. Caernarfon Town have seen over 2.5 in 86% of their games, and Llandudno in 57%, with both teams averaging over two goals scored per match.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.