Londrina vs Avai Predictions
Serie B · Brazil
Londrina
Full Time
3 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 1
Avai
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Avai
@ 1.57(+14% edge)
Match Result
8.2/10Londrina Edge Five-Goal Thriller Against Avai in Serie B Showdown
Londrina prevailed in a pulsating 3-2 victory over Avai in Londrina, delivering a rollercoaster contest that kept fans on the edge of their seats until the final whistle. The hosts took the initiative, opening the scoring in the 32nd minute, but Avai responded just before halftime to level the match. The second half saw both sides trade blows, with Londrina regaining the lead immediately after the restart, only for Avai to claw back again midway through the half. Ultimately, it was Londrina who found the decisive goal in the 85th minute, sealing a vital three points in front of their home crowd. Statistically, Londrina were the more adventurous side, firing 16 shots (6 on target) and earning 9 corners, compared to Avai's 3 shots—all on target—and 4 corners. Despite Avai's slight edge in possession (52%), it was Londrina's attacking intent and clinical edge late on that proved the difference in a match marked by momentum swings and competitive spirit.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
3 - 2
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
32' — Goal
Londrina open the scoring to take a deserved lead after sustained pressure.
45' — Goal
Avai equalize just before halftime, shifting the momentum.
46' — Goal
Londrina strike immediately after the restart to regain the lead.
64' — Goal
Avai level the match again, capitalizing on a rare chance.
85' — Goal
Londrina find the winner late on, breaking Avai's resistance.
Multiple' — Yellow Cards
Both teams pick up two yellow cards each in a competitive contest.
Londrina
Londrina showcased attacking ambition throughout, creating a wealth of chances and keeping Avai's defense under sustained pressure with 16 total shots. Their ability to respond quickly after conceding, especially with goals at crucial moments (just after halftime and late on), underscored their resilience and determination. While they did concede twice, their attacking verve and set-piece threat (9 corners) ultimately carried them over the line.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Avai
Avai made the most of their limited opportunities, converting all three of their shots on target into two goals. With a slight majority of possession (52%), they showed composure and efficiency, particularly with their goals on the stroke of halftime and in the 64th minute. However, their inability to create more chances and a tendency to concede under pressure—especially late—ultimately cost them.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
The match was characterized by Londrina's attacking approach, reflected in their 16 shots and 9 corners, as they looked to stretch Avai's defense with width and set-piece routines. Avai, meanwhile, prioritized ball retention (52% possession) but lacked penetration, relying on swift transitions and clinical finishing to stay in the contest. Both sides operated with high intensity, and the flurry of goals around halftime highlighted tactical adjustments—particularly Londrina's ability to respond quickly after setbacks. The late substitutions and tactical tweaks from both benches aimed to tip the balance, but it was Londrina's relentless pressure that ultimately paid off.
Turning Point
Londrina's 85th-minute goal, which broke the deadlock and secured all three points.
Man of the Match
Londrina Goal Scorer (85')
Delivered the decisive goal in a tightly contested match, sealing victory for the hosts.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.90
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS: Yes
41%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Londrina vs Avai Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Londrina vs Avai?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Londrina vs Avai(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or Avai@ 1.57
Avai have never lost away to Londrina in the last 8 H2H, and Londrina have failed to win any home match this season. Avai's away form is modest but superior to Londrina's home record, making X2 the value play.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Draw@ 3.3
Both teams struggle for wins and have similar poor league form, with 3 of the last 8 H2H ending level. The model gives the draw a significantly higher probability than the implied odds.
Read more ↓
More Serie B Predictions
The Case For This Londrina vs Avai Prediction
This is a clash between two struggling sides near the foot of Serie B. Londrina's home woes are stark, with no wins in five and a leaky defense, while Avai arrive with a slightly better away record and recent cup wins boosting confidence. The H2H history overwhelmingly favors Avai, but both teams' lack of cutting edge suggests a tight, low-scoring affair where a draw is the most likely outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Londrina have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
Attack
- →Both teams average just 1 goal scored per game this season.
Defence
- →Avai have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
Match Context
- →Londrina have not won at home this season (0W 2D 3L, 4 GF, 8 GA).
- →Avai have never lost away to Londrina in the last 8 H2H (5W 3D).
- →Discipline is a concern for Londrina (3 yellow cards, 0.6 reds per last 5).
🚩 Londrina vs Avai Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for Londrina and 3.8 for Avai, for an expected total of 9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 54% · Over 10.5: 29%.
How Londrina and Avai Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Londrina vs Avai Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Londrinalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Availast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Londrina are in freefall with three straight losses and only one win in their last five, struggling badly for goals and defensive solidity. Avai, while also inconsistent in the league, have picked up morale-boosting cup wins and have lost just once in their last five across all competitions, showing more attacking output and defensive stability.
Londrina vs Avai — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 69.23% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Londrina vs Avai
The head-to-head record is heavily in Avai's favor, as they have never lost away to Londrina and have won five of the last eight meetings. Recent encounters have tended towards low-scoring draws or narrow Avai victories, with both teams often struggling to break each other down.
Londrina vs Avai Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
1
Londrina wins
3
Draws
5
Avai wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Londrina vs Avai
The model finds the strongest value on the draw, with a probability much higher than the implied odds, reflecting both teams' inability to consistently win. The 'X2' double chance for Avai also offers value, given their historical dominance and Londrina's poor home form, making it a solid option for cautious bettors.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Londrina vs Avai
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available for most markets; value estimates based on typical Serie B prices.
- ⚠️Some Avai recent matches are cup games with incomplete stats, reducing confidence in derived averages.
- ⚠️Lineups are not available at time of analysis; late changes may affect predictions.
- ⚠️Corners and set piece data are incomplete for Avai.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Londrina vs Avai: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 June 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.