Avai vs Londrina Predictions
Serie B · Brazil
Avai
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Londrina
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Avai vs Londrina
Avai vs Londrina: Match Preview
Avai and Londrina meet with both sides entrenched in the relegation battle, separated by just two points in 17th and 18th. Avai's current form is alarming—four defeats in their last five and a -11 goal difference, including a 0-3 loss to Criciuma last time out. Londrina, while inconsistent, have shown flashes of attacking potency, notably a 6-0 home win over Ponte Preta, but also come off back-to-back defeats.
The statistical matchup is defined by leaky defences and a tendency for open games. Avai's home record is middling (5W 4D 5L, 15 scored, 14 conceded), but their recent defensive numbers are poor: 2.0 goals conceded per game over the last five. Londrina's away record is weak (3W 2D 10L), but they average 1.07 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per away match. Both teams' over 2.5 goal rates are above league average (Avai 46.7%, Londrina 63.3%), and their matches trend towards both teams scoring.
The model expects a match with above-average goal volume, driven by Londrina's superior shot output (18.8 shots, 5.6 on target per game last five) and Avai's defensive frailty. Avai's attack has sputtered (0.6 goals/game last five), while Londrina have averaged 2.0 goals per game in the same span. With both sides desperate for points and neither defence reliable, the most probable outcome is a narrow Londrina win in a game featuring multiple goals.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Avai vs Londrina Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Avai vs Londrina that most previews miss.
- 1Londrina's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 63% of league games this season.
- 2Avai have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches.
- 3Londrina average 7.6 corners per game over their last five, nearly triple Avai's 2.6.
Who do you think wins: Avai vs Londrina?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Avai vs Londrina(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams trend above league average for over 2.5 goals (Avai 46.7%, Londrina 63.3%), and Londrina's last five have averaged 3.4 total goals.
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Match Result: Londrina Win
Londrina's attacking output (1.3 goals/game season, 2.0 last five) and Avai's defensive frailty (2.0 conceded/game last five) tilt the edge towards the visitors despite both sides' away/home struggles.
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BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 3 of the last 5 for both sides, and neither keeps clean sheets consistently (23.3% season clean sheet rate each).
More Serie B Predictions
The Case For This Avai vs Londrina Prediction
This is a relegation six-pointer between two sides with negative goal differences and porous defences. Avai have lost four of their last five, conceding ten in that span, while Londrina's recent 6-0 win stands out amid otherwise inconsistent results. Both teams' season-long rates point to a higher-than-average goal environment, with Londrina's attack notably more productive on the road than Avai's at home.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Londrina average 1.3 goals scored per game this season, compared to Avai's 1.0.
Defence
- →Avai have conceded 2.0 goals per game over their last five matches.
- →Both teams' clean sheet rates sit at just 23.3% for the season.
🚩 Avai vs Londrina Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.5 corners for Avai and 5.6 for Londrina, for an expected total of 9.1. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 56% · Over 10.5: 31%.
How Avai and Londrina Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Avai vs Londrina Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Availast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Londrinalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Avai come into this match on a five-game winless run (LLDLL), conceding ten and scoring just three in that span. Londrina's recent form is mixed—two wins (including a 6-0) followed by two losses, but their attack has been far more productive, averaging 2.0 goals per game over the last five.
Avai vs Londrina — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +High-volume attack — 19 shots/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Avai vs Londrina
Avai have historically dominated this fixture at home, winning three of the last four in Florianopolis, but the most recent meeting saw Londrina edge a five-goal contest 3-2. Draws have also been frequent, with three in the last nine meetings.
Avai vs Londrina Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
5
Avai wins
3
Draws
1
Londrina wins
Things to Watch: Avai vs Londrina
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Both sides are inconsistent and have shown volatile recent form, increasing result variance.
- ⚠️Absence of injuries and suspensions data reduces uncertainty, but late lineup changes could impact prediction.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Avai 1–2 LondrinaThe model projects a 2-1 win for Londrina, underpinned by their higher attacking output (2.0 goals/game last five) and Avai's defensive collapse (ten conceded in five games). The greatest risk to this outcome is Londrina's poor away record and Avai's historical head-to-head home advantage, which could tilt the balance towards a draw.
Avai vs Londrina: Common Questions
Who will win Avai vs Londrina?
Londrina are slight favourites with a 41% win probability, compared to 23% for Avai and 36% for the draw. This edge is driven by Londrina's stronger attacking numbers and Avai's defensive struggles.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Avai vs Londrina?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 56%, reflecting both teams' above-average over 2.5 rates (Avai 46.7%, Londrina 63.3%) and Londrina's recent high-scoring games.
Are both teams likely to score in Avai vs Londrina?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%, with both sides seeing BTTS in three of their last five matches and neither defence keeping clean sheets consistently.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Avai vs Londrina: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 30 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Avai vs Londrina Resources
Avai Predictions
All Avai fixtures & tips
Londrina Predictions
All Londrina fixtures & tips
Avai vs Londrina Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Avai vs Ceara
Avai — next match predictions
Londrina vs Criciuma
Londrina — next match predictions
Serie B Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results