Londrina vs Operario-PR Predictions
Serie B · Brazil
Londrina
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Operario-PR
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Operario-PR Win
Londrina vs Operario-PR: Match Preview
Londrina enter this fixture in 18th place and deep relegation trouble, having taken just one point from their last five matches and conceding nine goals in that span. Operario-PR, though winless in five themselves, remain in the top half (8th) thanks to a stronger season-long record and a balanced away record (4W, 2D, 5L). The gap in points (36 vs 21) and recent H2H results both favour the visitors.
Statistically, this is a rare lower-table clash with a high goal expectancy. Both sides average over 1.2 goals scored and at least 1.3 conceded per game, and each has seen 62.5% of their matches go over 2.5 goals. Londrina’s home defence has allowed 14 goals in 11, while Operario-PR’s away attack has produced 13 in 11. Both teams’ last five show matching averages of 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded, but Operario-PR’s underlying shot and possession data (18 shots, 59.8% possession per game) suggest more attacking intent than their recent results show.
The model expects Operario-PR’s more robust away attack to edge Londrina’s porous defence, with a 44% away win probability and a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals. The likeliest scenario is a narrow away win in a match with multiple goals, but both sides’ poor recent form and high volatility mean a draw or a late collapse on either side cannot be ruled out.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Londrina vs Operario-PR Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Londrina vs Operario-PR that most previews miss.
- 1Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 15 of 24 league matches (62.5%).
- 2Londrina have just one clean sheet in their last five, conceding at least once in 80% of home games.
- 3Operario-PR average 5.8 corners per game over their last five, indicating sustained attacking pressure even in defeat.
Who do you think wins: Londrina vs Operario-PR?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Londrina vs Operario-PR(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Operario-PR Win
Operario-PR's away scoring (1.18 goals per away game) and Londrina's defensive frailty (1.27 conceded per home game, 1.5 overall) combine for a 44% away win probability, well above average for an away side. However, no odds are available to confirm value.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have a 62.5% season over 2.5 goals rate, and both average above 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, suggesting a higher-than-league-average goal environment.
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More Serie B Predictions
The Case For This Londrina vs Operario-PR Prediction
This is a lower-table Serie B fixture with an unusually high goal expectancy, driven by both sides’ leaky defences and above-average over 2.5 rates. Operario-PR’s away record is solid compared to league norms, while Londrina’s home form offers little resistance.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Londrina have lost four of their last five and conceded 1.8 goals per game in that span.
- →Operario-PR have scored in nine of eleven away matches and have a 37.5% clean sheet rate overall.
Match Context
- →Both teams have a 62.5% over 2.5 goals rate this season.
🚩 Londrina vs Operario-PR Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.4 corners for Londrina and 5.2 for Operario-PR, for an expected total of 10.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 73% · Over 10.5: 49%.
How Londrina and Operario-PR Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Londrina vs Operario-PR Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Londrinalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Operario-PRlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Londrina’s recent form is dire, with four losses and a draw in their last five, conceding 1.8 per game and scoring just three times. Operario-PR are also winless in five (one draw, four losses), but their underlying attacking metrics remain stronger and their overall season record is much healthier.
Londrina vs Operario-PR — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 18 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 60% avg
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: Londrina vs Operario-PR
Operario-PR have had the edge in recent meetings, winning three of the last four, including a 3-0 home win and a 1-0 away win in 2026. While several recent H2Hs were low-scoring, the last two have both gone over 2.5 goals, suggesting a shift towards more open contests.
Londrina vs Operario-PR Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Londrina wins
3
Draws
3
Operario-PR wins
Things to Watch: Londrina vs Operario-PR
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis; value estimation is incomplete.
- ⚠️Both teams are in poor recent form (one point from last five for each), increasing volatility.
- ⚠️Lineups are unknown; late injuries or rotation could shift the matchup.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Londrina 1–2 Operario-PRThe model projects a 2-1 away win for Operario-PR, with the strongest data point being both teams’ high over 2.5 goal rates (62.5%). The main risk is that both sides’ recent struggles in front of goal continue, dragging the match towards a low-scoring draw.
Londrina vs Operario-PR: Common Questions
Who will win Londrina vs Operario-PR?
Operario-PR are favoured with a 44% win probability, compared to 23% for Londrina and 33% for the draw, based on season-long scoring rates and away form.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Londrina vs Operario-PR?
There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals, as both teams average above 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, and have a 62.5% over 2.5 rate this season.
Is both teams to score likely in Londrina vs Operario-PR?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%, reflecting both sides’ defensive issues and the fact that three of their last five matches each have seen goals at both ends.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Londrina vs Operario-PR: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 30 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.