Lyngby vs Odense Predictions
Superliga · Denmark
Lyngby
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Odense
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.7(+30% edge)
Match Result
7.2/10Late Odense Equalizer Denies Lyngby in Dramatic Superliga Stalemate
Lyngby and Odense played out a tense 1-1 draw at Lyngby Stadium, with the hosts taking the lead early in the second half only to be pegged back by a dramatic late equalizer. Both sides created plenty of chances—each registering 18 shots—but it was Odense who looked the more clinical, forcing Lyngby goalkeeper Diego Kochen into action with eight shots on target compared to the home side's solitary effort on frame. The match was a physical affair, with both teams picking up four yellow cards apiece and a combined 31 fouls. Lyngby, operating in a 4-4-2, broke the deadlock in the 53rd minute, but Odense’s persistence paid off as they finally breached the Lyngby defense in the 90th minute to snatch a point. Odense’s superior possession (55%) and attacking intent ultimately earned them a deserved share of the spoils.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/1 hit
Key Moments
53' — Goal
Lyngby break the deadlock with a well-worked move, taking a 1-0 lead.
90' — Goal
Odense finally find the equalizer after sustained pressure, salvaging a point.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Both teams receive four yellow cards each in a fiercely contested midfield battle.
Lyngby
Lyngby showed determination and organization, especially in defense, but struggled to convert their attacking play into clear-cut chances. Despite matching Odense in overall shots, they managed just one on target, highlighting inefficiency in the final third. Their 4-4-2 system provided solidity, and they took the lead early in the second half, but their inability to control possession or see out the match ultimately cost them two points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Odense
Odense controlled the tempo for large spells, enjoying 55% of the ball and creating the better quality chances. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to stretch play and test the Lyngby defense, ultimately rewarded with a late equalizer that their attacking intent deserved. However, their finishing let them down at times, as it took until the 90th minute to finally beat Kochen despite eight shots on target.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Lyngby set up in a classic 4-4-2, aiming for compactness and quick transitions, but their lack of attacking sharpness was evident as they failed to test Viljar Myhra beyond a single shot on target. Their midfield worked hard to disrupt Odense’s rhythm but struggled to retain possession. Odense’s 4-2-3-1 provided more control and width, with the double pivot of Rasmus Falk and Ismahila Ouédraogo dictating play and allowing the attacking trio to probe Lyngby’s back line. The visitors’ persistence in working the ball into dangerous areas eventually paid off, though their finishing was wasteful for much of the match. Both sides used their physicality, reflected in the high foul count and number of bookings.
Turning Point
Odense’s 90th-minute equalizer, which capped off their sustained second-half pressure and denied Lyngby all three points.
Man of the Match
Diego Kochen
Kept Lyngby in the game with a string of saves, only beaten at the death after facing a barrage of shots.
Lyngby vs Odense: Match Preview
Lyngby enter this contest still searching for their first Superliga win of the season, sitting 11th after two draws and two defeats. Both home matches have ended level, with a 2-2 against Aarhus and a 1-1 against Midtjylland, highlighting their inability to close out games despite competitive performances. Odense have fared only slightly better, with one win from four and a concerning lack of attacking output, particularly away from home where they have failed to score in both league trips.
Statistically, this is a matchup between two sides with blunt attacks and porous defences. Lyngby average 1.25 goals scored and 2 conceded per game, while Odense's attack has produced just 0.5 goals per game, with a solitary goal in two away matches. Both teams' last five matches see them averaging under 1.3 goals scored and over 1.5 conceded per game, and neither side has kept a clean sheet at home or away in league play. Corners are relatively high (Lyngby 4.2, Odense 5.8 per match), but shot accuracy is low, especially for Odense (2.4 shots on target per match in last five).
Given these rates, the model expects a low-scoring, competitive fixture with a strong probability of a draw. The most likely outcome is a 1-1, with both sides struggling to create clear chances and neither showing the defensive solidity to keep a clean sheet. The draw is further supported by both teams' recent home/away splits and the H2H trend of close matches at this venue.
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS: Yes
43%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Lyngby vs Odense Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Lyngby vs Odense that most previews miss.
- 1Odense have failed to score in both away league matches this season, averaging just 0.5 goals per game overall.
- 2Lyngby have drawn both home league matches so far, conceding exactly once in each.
- 3The last two H2H meetings at Lyngby ended level (0-0, 2-2), despite Odense's historical edge.
Who do you think wins: Lyngby vs Odense?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Lyngby vs Odense(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.7
The model assigns a 35% probability to the draw, while the market implies just 27% (odds 3.7), creating a notable value edge. Both sides have drawn two of their opening four league matches, and Lyngby have drawn both home games so far.
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More Superliga Predictions
The Case For This Lyngby vs Odense Prediction
This fixture features two sides struggling to assert themselves early in the Superliga campaign, with Lyngby yet to win and Odense managing just a single goal in two away matches. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities but neither attack has looked convincing, especially Odense on their travels.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Odense have failed to score in both away league matches so far, averaging 0.5 goals per game overall.
Defence
- →Lyngby have averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2 conceded per game this season.
Match Context
- →Both sides have drawn two of their last four league matches.
🚩 Lyngby vs Odense Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for Lyngby and 5.6 for Odense, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.
How Lyngby and Odense Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Lyngby vs Odense Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Lyngbylast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Odenselast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Lyngby have opened the league campaign with two draws and two defeats, drawing both home matches and conceding eight goals in total. Odense have lost three of four, with their only win coming at home and a notable inability to score away from home. Both teams are underperforming in attack and have yet to establish defensive solidity.
Lyngby vs Odense — Last 4 Matches
What History Says: Lyngby vs Odense
Odense have held the edge in this fixture historically, winning five of the last ten meetings, but the last two at Lyngby ended in draws. Recent encounters at this ground have been tight, with a 0-0 and a 2-2 suggesting a narrowing gap between the sides.
Lyngby vs Odense Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Lyngby wins
3
Draws
5
Odense wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Lyngby vs Odense
The model's strongest value edge is on the draw at odds of 3.7, with a 35% model probability versus a market implied 27%. No value can be assessed in goal or BTTS markets due to missing odds, but the 1x2 draw stands out as a positive expected value selection.
Odds from Betfair. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Lyngby vs Odense
- ⚠️Small sample size (4 league matches each) limits confidence in underlying rates.
- ⚠️No odds available for goal or BTTS markets, restricting value assessment.
- ⚠️Recent H2H data covers multiple seasons; squad turnover may reduce relevance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Lyngby 1–1 OdenseThe model calls a 1-1 draw as the likeliest outcome, with the strongest data point being Odense's lack of away goals and Lyngby's tendency to draw at home. The biggest risk is that either side's defensive frailties are exploited more clinically than their recent shot accuracy suggests, tilting the match towards a narrow win for one team.
Lyngby vs Odense: Common Questions
Who will win Lyngby vs Odense?
The model gives Lyngby a 37% chance of victory, Odense a 28% chance, and the draw a 35% probability. Both teams have struggled for wins, and the draw is the likeliest single outcome based on recent form and scoring rates.
Will both teams score in Lyngby vs Odense?
Both teams to score is rated at 47%, with 'no' slightly favoured at 53%. Odense have failed to score in both away league matches, while Lyngby have conceded in all four games so far.
Is this likely to be a high-scoring match?
Under 2.5 goals is rated at 62% probability, with both sides averaging fewer than 1.3 goals scored per game and Odense particularly blunt away from home. A low-scoring contest is more likely than not.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Lyngby vs Odense: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 23 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.