Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W Predictions

Nottingham Forest W PredictionsBurnley W PredictionsWomen's ChampionshipH2H Stats
Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Women's ChampionshipWomen's Championship · England
high confidence
Nottingham Forest W

Nottingham Forest W

AI Predicted Score

2 - 0

Burnley W

Burnley W

🗓️ Sunday, 4 Oct 2026 at 14:00 BST (venue time) · 13:00 UTC (your time)📍 City Ground, Nottingham

Win Probability (1X2)

Nottingham Forest W 52%Draw 33%Burnley W 15%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Nottingham Forest W Win

Read the Preview Play With the Prediction See the Value Calls View Team Form

Recommended Bets: Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W

Match Result: Nottingham Forest W Win
7/10
BTTS: No
7/10

Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W: Match Preview

Nottingham Forest W come into this clash sitting mid-table but unbeaten in the league, having taken five points from three matches (W1 D2 L0). Their attack has produced five goals so far, and while recent cup form saw a 0-2 defeat to Aston Villa W, league momentum remains positive. Burnley W, by contrast, are winless and have scored just once in four league outings, sitting 10th with two points and a -4 goal difference.

The statistical contrast is stark: Forest average 1.67 goals scored per league game, while Burnley have managed just 0.25. Burnley's away record is especially poor, with no goals and three conceded in two matches. Defensively, Forest are not watertight (1.33 conceded per game), but Burnley's attack offers little threat, having failed to score in three of four league matches and both away fixtures. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 67% of Forest's league games but only 50% of Burnley's, and BTTS has occurred in just one of Burnley's last five.

The model expects Forest to control proceedings, leveraging their superior scoring rate and home advantage. Burnley's defensive structure may keep the scoreline respectable, but their lack of attacking output makes a home win and a clean sheet for Forest the likeliest scenario. The most probable scoreline is 2-0, with under 2.5 goals a slight favourite due to Burnley's bluntness.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Nottingham Forest W1.50

Expected goals · model says 1.50

Burnley W0.80

Expected goals · model says 0.80

Win Probability
Nottingham Forest W 54% Draw 26% Burnley W 20%

Over 2.5 Goals

40%

BTTS: Yes

43%

Likely Scores

1-0 · 1-1 · 2-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
52%
33%
15%
Nottingham Forest W 52%Draw 33%Burnley W 15%
Both Teams to Score
28%
72%
Yes 28%No 72%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
44%
56%
Over 2.5 44%Under 2.5 56%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W that most previews miss.

  • 1Burnley W have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 competitive matches across all competitions.
  • 2Nottingham Forest W have seen over 2.5 goals in two of their three league games, but Burnley W's away matches average just 1.5 total goals.
  • 3Both previous H2H meetings finished with only one team scoring and neither saw more than three goals.

Who do you think wins: Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More Women's Championship Predictions

04-Oct-2026Bristol City W vs Southampton WView prediction →04-Oct-2026Sunderland W vs Leicester City FC WView prediction →04-Oct-2026Sheffield United W vs Ipswich Town WView prediction →04-Oct-2026Wolverhampton W vs Watford WView prediction →04-Oct-2026Durham W vs Newcastle United WView prediction →27-Sept-2026Sheffield United W vs Durham WView prediction →

The Case For This Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W Prediction

This fixture pits a Nottingham Forest W side with solid underlying attacking numbers against a Burnley W team struggling badly for goals. Forest's unbeaten league start and home advantage are reinforced by Burnley's bluntness away from home, making the home side strong statistical favourites.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Nottingham Forest W are unbeaten in the league (W1 D2) and average 1.67 goals scored per game.

Match Context

  • →Burnley W have scored only 1 goal in 4 league matches (0.25 per game).
  • →Burnley W have failed to score in 3 of 4 league games and both away fixtures.

How Nottingham Forest W and Burnley W Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Nottingham Forest WNottingham Forest Wlast 5 matches
C. Boye-Hlorkahsub/out
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. MurphyXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

G. Broughamsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Burnley WBurnley Wlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Forest's league form is steady, unbeaten in three (W1 D2) and scoring in each of their last two league matches. Burnley W, meanwhile, are winless and have failed to score in three of four league games, with their only goal coming at home. Momentum clearly favours the hosts.

Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W — Last 4 Matches

Nottingham Forest WNottingham Forest WLast 3 results
W2-1
D2-2
D1-1
W@ Durham W2-1
Dvs Watford W2-2
D@ Ipswich Town W1-1

Strengths

  • +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season

Concerns

  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Burnley WBurnley WLast 4 results
D0-0
L0-3
L1-2
D0-0
Dvs Bristol City W0-0
L@ Wolverhampton W0-3
Lvs Sunderland W1-2
D@ Watford W0-0

Strengths

  • +50% clean sheet rate this season

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
  • −Struggling to score — 0.2 goals/game
  • −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game

What History Says: Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W

The sides have met twice in recent years, each winning once. Forest claimed the most recent home fixture 1-0, and both matches ended with only one team scoring. No H2H has produced more than three goals.

Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W Head-to-Head History

Last 2 meetings between these sides

1

Nottingham Forest W wins

0

Draws

1

Burnley W wins

50%0% draws50%
8 Jan 25Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W1-0
5 Jan 20Burnley W vs Nottingham Forest W2-1

Things to Watch: Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W

  • ⚠️Limited sample size early in the season increases variance.
  • ⚠️Lack of detailed shot/corner data restricts deeper set-piece or xG analysis.
  • ⚠️Odds unavailable, so value edges cannot be quantified.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Nottingham Forest W 2–0 Burnley W

The model favours Nottingham Forest W to win 2-0, driven primarily by Burnley W's anaemic attack (0.25 goals per league game, scoreless in both away matches). The main risk is Forest's own defensive vulnerability, but Burnley's lack of firepower makes a home win with a clean sheet the most plausible outcome.

Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W: Common Questions

Who will win Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W?

The model gives Nottingham Forest W a 52% chance of victory, with a 33% probability for a draw and just 15% for a Burnley W win. Forest's stronger attack and Burnley's scoring struggles are decisive.

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W?

No is favoured at 72%, as Burnley W have scored only once in four league games and have failed to score in both away fixtures this season.

Is under 2.5 goals likely in this match?

Yes, the model rates under 2.5 goals at 56%. Burnley W's matches average just 1.5 total goals, and Forest's home attack has not been prolific.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 27 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W Resources

→

Nottingham Forest W Predictions

All Nottingham Forest W fixtures & tips

→

Burnley W Predictions

All Burnley W fixtures & tips

→

Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W Stats

Full H2H record & season stats

→

Women's Championship Predictions

All fixtures for this competition

→

Model Accuracy

Track record & verified results