Notts County vs Blackpool Predictions
League One · England
Notts County
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Blackpool
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Notts County vs Blackpool: Match Preview
Notts County approach this fixture sitting 16th in League One, having drawn four of their opening six matches and still seeking consistency under pressure. Their only win came at home to Burton Albion, but a recent 0-1 defeat to Bradford highlighted ongoing issues in front of goal. Blackpool, in contrast, are 10th and have shown more attacking punch, scoring 11 times in six outings and losing just twice, though their away form has been mixed with one win and two defeats.
Statistically, this is a clash of a porous home defence and a lively away attack. Notts County have yet to keep a clean sheet and concede 1.17 per game, while Blackpool's attack is among the division's most productive, averaging 1.83 goals and 4.6 shots on target per game over their last five. Both teams' matches are trending high for goals—Blackpool's over 2.5 goal rate is 83%, and Notts County's BTTS rate is 80% over their last five. Set pieces could also play a role, with both sides averaging over 4.5 corners per match.
Given these underlying rates, the model expects a match with several scoring chances, particularly after the break. Blackpool's sharper attack and Notts County's defensive frailty make an away win the most probable outcome, with a 2-1 scoreline reflecting the balance of offensive and defensive rates on both sides.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS: Yes
60%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Notts County vs Blackpool Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Notts County vs Blackpool that most previews miss.
- 1Blackpool's away matches average 3.33 goals per game (4 scored, 6 conceded in 3), the highest among the mid-table pack.
- 2Notts County have drawn four of their six league matches, the highest draw rate (67%) in the division so far.
- 3Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 for each side, but Notts County have not kept a clean sheet in any competition this season.
Who do you think wins: Notts County vs Blackpool?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
More League One Predictions
The Case For This Notts County vs Blackpool Prediction
Both Notts County and Blackpool enter this fixture with mid-table credentials and a statistical profile that points to a competitive, open contest. Notts County have drawn four of their six league matches, with just one win and one loss, while Blackpool have shown a slightly sharper attacking edge, averaging 1.83 goals per game and hitting 11 in six matches. The underlying numbers suggest Blackpool's firepower, especially away from home, gives them a marginal edge over a Notts County side that has yet to keep a clean sheet this season. The matchup is shaped by Blackpool's high-scoring tendencies (83% of their league games over 2.5 goals) against a Notts County defence conceding 1.17 per game and offering little resistance at home (three conceded in three). Both teams have hit BTTS in four of their last five, and Blackpool's away games average 3.33 total goals. Notts County's shot volume at home (11.6 per game, 3.8 on target) is respectable, but Blackpool's attack has been more clinical, and their 4.6 shots on target per game in the last five is a clear threat. Expect a match with chances at both ends, but Blackpool's greater attacking output and Notts County's inability to shut teams out tilt the balance. The likeliest outcome is a narrow away win in a game with goals, with the distribution of scoring chances and recent defensive records pointing towards a 2-1 Blackpool victory.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Blackpool average 1.83 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per league game; Notts County average 1.17 scored and 1.17 conceded.
- →Notts County have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their six league matches (0% clean sheet rate).
Match Context
- →Blackpool's matches have seen 83% over 2.5 goals, and both teams have scored in four of their last five.
🚩 Notts County vs Blackpool Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.4 corners for Notts County and 4.4 for Blackpool, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 39%.
How Notts County and Blackpool Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Notts County vs Blackpool Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Notts Countylast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Blackpoollast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Notts County have struggled to convert draws into wins, with a form string of LDDWD and only one victory in six. Their last five includes three draws and a single loss, highlighting resilience but also a lack of cutting edge. Blackpool arrive with a DLLWL sequence, but their 11 goals in six matches and only two losses suggest a more dynamic, if inconsistent, profile.
Notts County vs Blackpool — Last 6 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 83.33% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
What History Says: Notts County vs Blackpool
Head-to-head data is sparse, with just two meetings since 2016-17—each side winning once at home. The last clash at Meadow Lane ended 1-0 to Notts County, but both matches are too dated to influence current probabilities meaningfully.
Notts County vs Blackpool Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
1
Notts County wins
0
Draws
1
Blackpool wins
Things to Watch: Notts County vs Blackpool
- ⚠️Only two recent head-to-head meetings, both from 2016-17, so little direct matchup data.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges and recommended bets cannot be computed.
- ⚠️Small sample size for early-season form; both teams could deviate from current scoring rates.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Notts County 1–2 BlackpoolThe model projects a 2-1 win for Blackpool, driven by their superior scoring rate (1.83 per game) and Notts County's ongoing defensive issues (0% clean sheet rate). The main risk to this call is Notts County's ability to grind out draws—four already this season—and their tendency to stay in games even when conceding first.
Notts County vs Blackpool: Common Questions
Who will win Notts County vs Blackpool?
Blackpool are given a 41% chance of victory, with Notts County at 26% and the draw at 33%. Blackpool's stronger attacking output and Notts County's lack of clean sheets underpin the away edge.
Will both teams score in Notts County vs Blackpool?
There is a 64% probability of both teams scoring, supported by both sides hitting BTTS in four of their last five league matches and neither defence showing much resilience.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Notts County vs Blackpool?
The model puts the chance of over 2.5 goals at 61%, reflecting Blackpool's 83% over 2.5 rate and the high BTTS trend for both sides.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Notts County vs Blackpool: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.