Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF Predictions
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 3
Djurgardens IF
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
6.2/10Stalemate at Gamla Ullevi: Orgryte Hold Djurgardens in Goalless Draw
Orgryte IS and Djurgardens IF played out a tense 0-0 draw at Gamla Ullevi, with both sides unable to break the deadlock despite contrasting approaches. Djurgardens dominated possession with a commanding 69% share and racked up 13 corners, but struggled to convert their territorial advantage into clear-cut chances. Orgryte, meanwhile, were content to sit deep in a compact 3-4-3, looking to spring forward when possible but ultimately managing just three shots on target from nine attempts. The match was marked by strong defensive organization from Orgryte and some wasteful finishing from Djurgardens, whose frustration grew as the game wore on. Both goalkeepers were called into action but neither side could find the clinical edge required. In the end, a flurry of yellow cards—one for the hosts, three for the visitors—reflected the competitive, if not always fluent, nature of the contest.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 3
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
23' — Yellow Card
Djurgardens' Hampus Finndell goes into the book for a late challenge, setting the tone for a physical midfield battle.
41' — Yellow Card
Orgryte's Owen Parker-Price is cautioned after halting a Djurgardens counter.
56' — Corner
Djurgardens win their 10th corner, but Orgryte's defense stands firm, clearing the danger.
72' — Yellow Card
Djurgardens' Oskar Fallenius receives a yellow for dissent as frustration mounts.
85' — Save
Hampus Gustafsson makes a crucial stop to deny Kristian Stromland Lien, preserving Orgryte's clean sheet.
Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS set up with a disciplined 3-4-3, prioritizing defensive solidity against a technically superior Djurgardens side. Despite having just 31% possession, they remained organized and limited Djurgardens to only three shots on target. Their attacking threat was sporadic, but they managed to carve out nine shots overall, showing glimpses of promise on the break. The back three, marshaled by Mikael Dyrestam, stood firm under sustained pressure, while the midfield worked tirelessly to close down space.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Djurgardens IF
Djurgardens IF controlled the tempo with 69% possession and dominated set pieces, winning 13 corners. However, their 4-4-2 struggled to break down Orgryte's compact shape, resulting in just three shots on target from eight attempts. The midfield quartet saw plenty of the ball but lacked the incisiveness to unlock the hosts' defense, and frustration was evident as three players picked up bookings. Despite their dominance in most statistical categories, Djurgardens left Gothenburg with only a point.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Orgryte IS deployed a 3-4-3 formation, focusing on defensive compactness and crowding the central areas to frustrate Djurgardens' ball progression. Their wing-backs dropped deep to create a back five out of possession, leaving little space between the lines. Djurgardens, in their 4-4-2, sought to stretch the play through the flanks and relied heavily on set pieces, as evidenced by their 13 corners. However, their crossing was often met by Orgryte's well-drilled backline, and the lack of a creative spark in central areas limited their threat. Both teams made tactical tweaks via substitutions in the second half, but the fundamental shapes remained. Djurgardens pushed their full-backs higher in search of a winner, while Orgryte responded by dropping deeper and playing on the counter. Ultimately, defensive discipline won out over attacking ambition.
Turning Point
The 85th-minute save by Hampus Gustafsson from Kristian Stromland Lien's effort ensured Orgryte held on for a valuable point.
Man of the Match
Mikael Dyrestam
Commanded the Orgryte defense superbly, making vital blocks and organizing his backline under relentless pressure.
Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF: Match Preview
Orgryte IS approach this fixture in a precarious position, sitting 15th with just two wins from twelve and a goal difference of -17. Their recent form is patchy, with a 4-3 home win over BK Hacken their only victory in the last five league matches, and a defensive record that remains a major liability. Djurgardens IF, by contrast, are mid-table but boast one of the league's sharpest attacks, having netted 23 in ten and winning three of four away games this season.
Statistically, this is a clash of the league's weakest defence against a top-tier attack. Orgryte's home matches average 3.83 total goals, driven by 11 scored and 12 conceded in six games at Gamla Ullevi. Djurgardens travel well, scoring 2.5 per away game and conceding 1.5, with their last five league outings all seeing both teams score. Set-piece and discipline data show both teams average over 9 corners and around 4 cards per match, indicating a likely open, competitive contest with frequent transitions and stoppages.
The model projects a high goal expectancy, with Djurgardens' superior attacking metrics and Orgryte's defensive frailty pointing toward a 3-1 away win. The likeliest scenario is Djurgardens establishing a first-half lead and controlling the match tempo, though Orgryte's above-average home scoring rate means a consolation or more is plausible. The absence of clean sheets on both sides further supports an open, high-scoring encounter.
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 2.35
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-2 · 0-2 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF that most previews miss.
- 1Djurgardens IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of their league matches this season.
- 2Orgryte IS have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five league games, conceding 14 in that span.
- 3Djurgardens IF's last five league matches have all featured both teams scoring.
Who do you think wins: Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have high over 2.5 rates (Orgryte 58%, Djurgardens 70%) and average a combined 3.75 goals conceded per game this season, with neither side registering a clean sheet in their last five league matches.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Djurgardens IF Win
Djurgardens average 2.5 points per away game and 2.5 goals scored away, while Orgryte have lost five of six at home and concede 2.0 per home match; the away side's attack rate is the sharpest edge in the matchup.
Read more ↓
More Allsvenskan Predictions
The Case For This Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF Prediction
This fixture brings together Orgryte IS, struggling at the foot of the table with the league's leakiest defence, and a Djurgardens IF side whose attack is among the division's most productive, especially on their travels. The underlying rates point to a high-scoring contest with a clear away edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Orgryte IS concede 2.58 goals per game this season, the worst in Allsvenskan.
- →Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five league outings.
Match Context
- →Djurgardens IF have scored 10 goals in 4 away league matches (2.5 per game).
🚩 Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.5 corners for Orgryte IS and 7.2 for Djurgardens IF, for an expected total of 11.7. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (73%). Over 8.5: 82% · Over 10.5: 62%.
How Orgryte IS and Djurgardens IF Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Orgryte ISlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Djurgardens IFlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Orgryte IS have just one win in their last five league matches, conceding 14 goals in that stretch and struggling to keep games tight at home or away. Djurgardens IF, meanwhile, have won two of their last three league games and continue to produce consistently in attack, scoring four in each of their last two away league fixtures.
Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
What History Says: Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF
There is no recent head-to-head record available for these teams, so no direct matchup trends can be cited. The prediction relies entirely on current season rates and home/away splits.
Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Orgryte IS wins
1
Draws
0
Djurgardens IF wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF
Due to the absence of bookmaker odds, no value edges can be identified for this fixture. The model's strongest probabilities are on the away win and over 2.5 goals, both supported by robust underlying rates, but confirmation against market prices is not possible.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available, so historical matchup trends are unknown.
- ⚠️Orgryte's home attack (11 goals in 6) is above their overall average, adding some uncertainty to the away win probability.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Orgryte IS 1–3 Djurgardens IFThe model forecasts a 3-1 win for Djurgardens IF, grounded in their 2.5 goals per away game rate and Orgryte's league-worst defence (2.58 conceded per match). The greatest risk to this outcome is Orgryte's tendency to score more at home than their overall average, which could keep the contest closer or push the total even higher.
Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF: Common Questions
Who will win Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF?
Djurgardens IF are clear favourites with a 63% win probability, based on their 2.5 goals per away game and Orgryte's defensive struggles. Orgryte have just a 15% chance of victory, with the draw at 22%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 68%, reflecting both teams' high-scoring trends (Orgryte 58% over 2.5, Djurgardens 70%) and their recent defensive records.
Will both teams score in Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF?
There is a 62% chance of both teams scoring, supported by Djurgardens' five consecutive BTTS matches and Orgryte's strong home scoring rate despite their defensive issues.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 13 July 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.