Partick vs Dunfermline Predictions
Premiership · Scotland
Partick
Full Time
2 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 0
Dunfermline
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
7.2/10Partick Edge Dunfermline in Spirited Firhill Clash
Partick came from behind to claim a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Dunfermline at Firhill Stadium, overturning a first-half deficit with two well-taken second-half goals. Dunfermline struck first in the 34th minute, but the hosts responded emphatically after the interval, equalizing just five minutes into the second half before sealing the win with a decisive strike in the 75th minute. Both sides showed flashes of attacking intent, but it was Partick's resilience and second-half energy that ultimately tipped the balance. Dunfermline, set up in a 3-4-3 formation, looked dangerous in the opening period but faded as the hosts grew in confidence and took control of the contest.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/3 hit
Key Moments
34' — Goal
C. Kane gives Dunfermline the lead with a composed finish.
50' — Goal
A. Samuel levels for Partick, finishing off a flowing move.
75' — Goal
Partick take the lead with a decisive strike, completing their comeback.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Both sides receive a yellow card as tempers flare in a competitive contest.
Partick
Partick displayed impressive character to recover from a goal down, growing into the match after a tentative first half. Their midfield, marshaled by R. Crawford and L. Chalmers, provided the platform for a more aggressive second-half showing, pressing higher and capitalizing on key moments. The hosts' ability to turn the game around after the break highlighted their tactical flexibility and determination.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Dunfermline
Dunfermline began brightly, using their 3-4-3 setup to stretch the play and create opportunities, eventually taking a deserved lead in the 34th minute. However, their intensity waned after halftime, and they struggled to regain control once Partick found their rhythm. Despite a disciplined defensive effort, lapses in concentration allowed the hosts to turn the game around.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Dunfermline's 3-4-3 formation allowed them to control the flanks early, with wing-backs pushing high and forwards interchanging positions. Partick, lacking a specified formation, appeared to start conservatively but adjusted after halftime, pressing higher and committing more numbers forward. The midfield battle was pivotal, with Partick's central trio gaining the upper hand as the game wore on. Substitutions and tactical tweaks from the hosts injected fresh energy, ultimately swinging the momentum in their favor.
Turning Point
A. Samuel's equalizer in the 50th minute galvanized Partick, shifting the momentum decisively and setting the stage for their eventual winner.
Man of the Match
L. Chalmers
Dictated play from midfield and was instrumental in both Partick goals.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
BTTS: Yes
27%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Partick vs Dunfermline Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Partick vs Dunfermline?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Partick vs Dunfermline(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have shown strong defensive records recently, with Dunfermline keeping 4 clean sheets in their last 5 and Partick conceding less than a goal per game. The last 5 H2H meetings at this venue have also tended toward low scores.
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BTTS: No
Dunfermline have failed to score in 3 of their last 5, and BTTS has only landed in 0 of their last 5. Partick's attack is modest, and their defense is solid at home.
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Match Result: Draw
Both teams are in cautious form, with Partick drawing 4 of their last 5 and Dunfermline drawing 2 of their last 5. Recent H2H meetings have also seen a high draw rate.
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More Premiership Predictions
The Case For This Partick vs Dunfermline Prediction
This fixture sets up as a tight, low-scoring affair between two sides whose recent form is built on defensive solidity. Partick are unbeaten in their last five, but have drawn four, while Dunfermline have kept four clean sheets in their last five and also tend toward low-scoring matches. The head-to-head record favors Partick at home, but the likelihood of a draw is elevated given both teams' recent cautious approach.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams have low recent attacking output
Defence
- →Partick unbeaten in last 5 (1W, 4D), defensive record strong (0.8 conceded/game)
- →Dunfermline: 4 clean sheets in last 5, failed to score in 3 of last 5
- →Last 5 H2H: 3 clean sheets for Partick, only 1 match with over 2.5 goals
Injuries & Team News
- →No major injuries reported for either side
How Partick and Dunfermline Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Partick vs Dunfermline Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Particklast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Dunfermlinelast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Partick enter this match unbeaten in their last five, though four of those have been draws, highlighting a lack of cutting edge but a solid defense. Dunfermline, meanwhile, have also been tough to beat, with four clean sheets in their last five, but have struggled for goals, failing to score in three of those games. Both teams are showing strong defensive discipline but limited attacking threat.
Partick vs Dunfermline — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: Partick vs Dunfermline
The head-to-head record leans toward Partick, especially at home, where they have won three of the last four meetings without conceding. Draws are also common in this matchup, and high-scoring games are rare, with the majority of recent encounters finishing under 2.5 goals.
Partick vs Dunfermline Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
Partick wins
3
Draws
1
Dunfermline wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Partick vs Dunfermline
With no bookmaker odds available, value cannot be quantitatively assessed, but model probabilities suggest the strongest edge is on under 2.5 goals and 'No' in the BTTS market, given the defensive form and H2H trends. If odds for these outcomes are above 1.40 (implied probability <0.71), they would represent potential value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Partick vs Dunfermline
- ⚠️Lack of full season data for both teams (season records incomplete)
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available for direct value comparison
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession, etc.) missing for recent games
- ⚠️Possible lineup rotation not reflected due to missing lineups
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Partick vs Dunfermline: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.