Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham Predictions
FA Cup · England
Plymouth Parkway
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Horsham
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Plymouth Parkway Win
Recommended Bets: Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham
Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham: Match Preview
Plymouth Parkway enter this FA Cup clash in the midst of a remarkable run, having strung together five consecutive wins across league and cup. Their recent form is underpinned by a defence that has conceded just twice in five matches, while their attack has produced 12 goals in the same period. Horsham, meanwhile, have struggled for consistency, with a single win in their last five outings and two defeats at home. Both teams have advanced in the cup, but Parkway's momentum is markedly stronger.
Statistically, Parkway's attack is averaging 2.4 goals per game over their last five, while conceding just 0.4. Horsham, by contrast, are scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 per match in the same span. Notably, both teams have scored in four of Horsham's last five, and neither side has failed to find the net recently, suggesting that both attacks are in decent shape even if defences are not watertight. The lack of set piece and discipline data limits insight into those battles, but the trends point towards an open contest.
Given Parkway's momentum and defensive record, the model expects them to edge a competitive match, particularly if they can impose their recent home form. Horsham's ability to score in every recent outing means they should not be discounted, but their defensive frailties make them vulnerable against a side in such strong form. Parkway are favoured to progress, but a high-scoring draw or narrow win either way remains plausible given both sides' attacking output.
How Plymouth Parkway and Horsham Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Plymouth Parkwaylast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Horshamlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Plymouth Parkway are in the midst of a five-match winning streak, combining a potent attack (2.4 goals per game) with a defence that has conceded just twice in that span. Horsham's recent form is far less convincing, with only one win in their last five and a tendency to concede, though they have managed to score in every outing. Parkway's momentum is clearly on the rise, while Horsham are still searching for consistency.
Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +100% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham that most previews miss.
- 1Plymouth Parkway have kept three clean sheets in their last five, conceding just twice in that run.
- 2Horsham have seen both teams score in four of their last five matches, with no clean sheets in their last four league games.
- 3Both sides have scored at least once in every one of their last five matches, highlighting attacking consistency.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS: Yes
52%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham Prediction
Momentum is the defining feature of this FA Cup tie, with Plymouth Parkway riding a five-match winning streak that has seen them combine defensive discipline with clinical finishing. Horsham, by contrast, have struggled for consistency, picking up just one win in their last five and leaking goals at a rate that will concern their supporters. The clash pits Parkway's surging confidence against a Horsham side still searching for rhythm, and the home side's recent results suggest they are well placed to capitalise.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Neither side has failed to score in their last five, indicating attacking momentum on both sides.
Defence
- →Plymouth Parkway are on a five-match winning run, conceding just two goals in that span.
Match Context
- →Horsham have managed only one win in their last five, with four matches seeing both teams score.
Where the Model Sees Value: Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Plymouth Parkway Win
Plymouth Parkway have won five consecutive matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded per game in that period, while Horsham have only one win in their last five and have conceded an average of 1.6 per game.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams have scored in four of Horsham's last five, and neither side has failed to score in that span, suggesting attacking momentum outweighs defensive solidity.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Plymouth Parkway's last five average 2.8 total goals per game, and Horsham's matches have seen both teams scoring regularly, keeping the over 2.5 line in play.
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More FA Cup Predictions
Things to Watch: Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham
- ⚠️No head-to-head or league standings data is available, increasing uncertainty around relative quality.
- ⚠️No odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Limited set piece and discipline data restricts confidence in cards and corners predictions.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Plymouth Parkway 2–1 HorshamThe model gives Plymouth Parkway the edge, forecasting a 2-1 win on the back of their five-match winning streak and defensive solidity. The single strongest indicator is Parkway's average of 2.4 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded in their last five. However, the lack of head-to-head or league context means that if Horsham's recent cup win signals a turnaround, Parkway's run could be tested more than expected.
Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham: Common Questions
Who will win Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham?
Plymouth Parkway are favoured, with a 47% probability of victory compared to 20% for Horsham and 33% for the draw, based on their five-match winning run and superior recent defensive record.
Will both teams score in Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham?
There is a 56% probability that both teams will score, as neither side has failed to score in their last five matches and Horsham have seen BTTS in four of those games.
Can Plymouth Parkway continue their winning streak?
The data strongly supports Parkway's momentum, with five straight wins and just two goals conceded in that run, but the absence of head-to-head or league standings data means there is a risk if Horsham's recent cup win marks an upturn in their form.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.