Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu Predictions
Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
Full Time
2 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 2
Sichuan Jiuniu
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Sichuan Jiuniu Win
Match Result
7.9/10Late Sichuan Rally Denies Qingdao Jonoon in Dramatic 2-2 Draw
Qingdao Jonoon and Sichuan Jiuniu shared the spoils in a pulsating 2-2 draw at the Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, with the hosts surrendering a two-goal lead in the final 20 minutes. Qingdao looked set for a statement win after goals in either half, but Sichuan’s relentless pressure and dominance of possession eventually told as they struck twice late on to salvage a point. Despite enjoying just 33% possession and firing only five shots (three on target), Qingdao were clinical, striking first in the 32nd minute and doubling their advantage shortly after the break. However, Sichuan Jiuniu, who controlled the game with 67% possession and 18 shots (six on target), mounted a spirited comeback, netting in the 73rd and 81st minutes to ensure the points were shared after a breathless second half.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
2 - 2
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
32' — Goal
Carlos Strandberg opens the scoring for Qingdao Jonoon against the run of play.
48' — Goal
Song Wenjie doubles Qingdao's lead with a sharp finish early in the second half.
73' — Goal
Wesley Moraes pulls one back for Sichuan Jiuniu, setting up a tense finale.
81' — Goal
Albion Ademi completes the comeback with an equalizer for Sichuan.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Three yellow cards shown as tempers flared in a competitive midfield battle.
Qingdao Jonoon
Qingdao Jonoon executed a disciplined defensive game plan, absorbing waves of Sichuan pressure and striking decisively on the counter. Their 4-4-1-1 formation provided compactness, and they made the most of their limited attacking opportunities, scoring twice from just three shots on target. However, their inability to retain possession or relieve pressure told in the closing stages as they tired and conceded twice late on.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Sichuan Jiuniu
Sichuan Jiuniu dominated proceedings with their 4-1-4-1 formation, dictating the tempo and carving out numerous chances. Despite falling two goals behind, their persistence paid off as they kept probing and eventually broke through Qingdao’s resilient backline. Their late goals were just reward for a performance marked by control and attacking intent, though they will rue not converting more of their 18 shots.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Qingdao Jonoon’s 4-4-1-1 setup was designed to frustrate, with two banks of four sitting deep and looking to spring forward through the lone striker. Their compactness limited Sichuan’s space in central areas, but at the expense of ceding possession and territory. The hosts’ attacking moments came largely from quick transitions and set pieces, capitalizing on rare lapses in Sichuan’s defensive shape. Sichuan Jiuniu’s 4-1-4-1 formation allowed them to overload midfield and dominate the ball, with Eden Karzev orchestrating from deep and the likes of Dai Wai Tsun and Ademi pushing forward. Their full-backs provided width, and the team pressed high after going behind, eventually wearing down Qingdao’s resistance. Substitutions and tactical tweaks in the final half-hour injected fresh energy, culminating in a deserved comeback.
Turning Point
Wesley Moraes’ goal in the 73rd minute shifted momentum decisively, sparking Sichuan’s late surge and eventual equalizer.
Man of the Match
Albion Ademi
His tireless attacking play and crucial 81st-minute equalizer capped a standout performance.
Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu: Match Preview
Qingdao Jonoon enter this game in freefall, rooted to the bottom of the Super League and carrying the league’s longest active losing streak. Five straight defeats, including heavy home losses to Beijing Guoan (0-3) and Shenyang Urban (0-4), have left them with the worst defensive record in the division. Their season has unravelled rapidly, and they now face a must-win scenario to keep slim survival hopes alive.
Sichuan Jiuniu, by contrast, have shown signs of stabilising after a rocky patch, collecting four points from their last three matches and securing a confidence-boosting 2-1 win over Shanghai Shenhua. Their attack, led by Wesley Moraes and Dai Wai-Tsun, has found the net in four of the last five, while their defence remains leaky but less so than Jonoon’s. Both sides have been slow starters—Jonoon with just one first-half goal in five, Jiuniu with none—suggesting the contest may only open up after the break. Set-piece threat is modest, with neither side averaging more than five corners recently, but discipline could play a role: Jonoon have averaged 2.6 yellows and 0.4 reds per game over the last five, risking further disruption.
The model expects Sichuan Jiuniu’s momentum and attacking edge to prevail, especially as Jonoon’s defensive structure continues to crumble under pressure. While Jiuniu’s away record is poor, Jonoon’s collapse in confidence and organisation looks decisive. Expect a cautious first half before Jiuniu’s superior quality tells, with a 2-1 away win the likeliest outcome.
How Qingdao Jonoon and Sichuan Jiuniu Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Qingdao Jonoonlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Sichuan Jiuniulast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Occasional threat
Qingdao Jonoon are mired in a disastrous run, losing five on the bounce and conceding over three goals per game in that period. In contrast, Sichuan Jiuniu have steadied after a rough patch, taking four points from their last three and finding the net regularly. The momentum is firmly with the visitors, while Jonoon’s confidence appears shattered.
Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu that most previews miss.
- 1Qingdao Jonoon have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five matches, averaging 3.2 per game in that stretch.
- 2Sichuan Jiuniu’s last five have seen both teams score on four occasions, with six of their last seven H2H also producing at least three goals.
- 3First-half goals have been rare: Jonoon have scored just once before the break in five games, Jiuniu none.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
The Case For This Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction
Qingdao Jonoon limp into this fixture on the back of five consecutive defeats, conceding an alarming 16 goals and scoring just twice in that period. Their form string of 'LLLLL' is the worst in the league, and with relegation looming, the pressure is mounting. In contrast, Sichuan Jiuniu have steadied themselves after a patchy run, taking four points from their last three and clinching a morale-boosting 2-1 win over Shanghai Shenhua last time out. The tactical matchup is stark: Jonoon’s defence has been porous, shipping 3.2 goals per game over the last five, while their attack has managed only 0.4 per match. Sichuan Jiuniu, meanwhile, have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in the same stretch, with four of their last five seeing both teams score. Notably, both sides have struggled for clean sheets—none in their last five each—while first-half goals have been rare (just one for Jonoon, none for Jiuniu), pointing to a likely slow-burn opening before the contest opens up after the break. Given these trends, the model expects Sichuan Jiuniu’s greater attacking threat and Jonoon’s defensive frailty to tell in the second half. With Jonoon’s season unravelling and Jiuniu’s recent uptick, a 2-1 away win is the most probable outcome, though the home side’s desperation could see them snatch a goal. The risk lies in Jiuniu’s patchy away record (just two wins from fourteen), but Jonoon’s collapse in form outweighs that concern.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Qingdao Jonoon have lost five straight, conceding 16 and scoring just two.
- →Neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five matches.
Match Context
- →Sichuan Jiuniu have scored in four of their last five and taken four points from their last three.
Where the Model Sees Value: Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Sichuan Jiuniu Win
Sichuan Jiuniu have lost only once in their last three, while Qingdao Jonoon are on a five-game losing streak, conceding 16 goals in that span. The away side’s momentum and Jonoon’s defensive collapse make the away win the form-driven selection.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Qingdao Jonoon’s last five have averaged 3.6 goals per game, and their season over 2.5 rate is 62%. Sichuan Jiuniu’s last five also feature four BTTS matches, suggesting a strong likelihood of goals.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Both sides have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five, and Sichuan Jiuniu have scored in four of their last five, while Jonoon have only failed to score in three of five despite heavy losses.
Read more ↓
More Super League Predictions
🚩 Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Qingdao Jonoon and 5.2 for Sichuan Jiuniu, for an expected total of 9.2. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 57% · Over 10.5: 31%.
What History Says: Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu
Sichuan Jiuniu have the edge in recent head-to-heads, winning four of the last seven meetings, including a 3-2 victory earlier this season. These fixtures have tended to be open, with no draws and four of the last five producing at least three goals. The pattern suggests another high-scoring encounter is likely.
Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
3
Qingdao Jonoon wins
1
Draws
4
Sichuan Jiuniu wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu
With no bookmaker odds available, it’s not possible to quantify value edges directly. However, the model’s strong lean towards an away win and over 2.5 goals, driven by Jonoon’s collapse and Jiuniu’s recent upturn, would likely offer value if market prices underrate the visitors or goal line. The main caution is Jiuniu’s poor away record, which could see the market more evenly split than the recent form justifies.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Sichuan Jiuniu’s away record is weak (2W, 2D, 10L), introducing volatility despite Jonoon’s poor form.
- ⚠️If Jonoon’s desperation sparks a defensive improvement, the model could underrate their upset potential.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Qingdao Jonoon 1–2 Sichuan JiuniuA 2-1 away win for Sichuan Jiuniu is the model’s call, anchored by Jonoon’s five-match losing streak and defensive collapse (16 conceded in five). The biggest risk is Jiuniu’s poor away record, but Jonoon’s current trajectory makes a home upset unlikely unless they can suddenly shore up at the back.
Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu: Common Questions
Who will win Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
The model gives Sichuan Jiuniu a 51% chance of victory, with Jonoon at just 17% and the draw at 32%. Jonoon’s five-game losing streak and defensive woes tip the balance strongly in Jiuniu’s favour.
Will both teams score in Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
There’s a 54% probability of both teams scoring, as neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five and four of Jiuniu’s last five have seen BTTS.
Can Qingdao Jonoon end their losing streak?
It’s unlikely based on current data: Jonoon have lost five straight, conceding 16 in that time, and the model rates their win probability at just 17% against a Jiuniu side with recent momentum.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.