Raja Casablanca vs CODM Meknès Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Raja Casablanca
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 0
CODM Meknès
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
7.8/10Late Drama at Stade Mohamed V as Raja Casablanca Edge CODM Meknès 2-1
Raja Casablanca clinched a hard-fought 2-1 victory over CODM Meknès in a tense encounter at Stade Mohamed V, decided by a late goal and a flurry of cards. The home side took the lead just before halftime, but CODM Meknès hit back on the hour mark to level the score. Both teams were reduced to ten men in a heated second half, but it was Raja who found the decisive breakthrough in the 81st minute. The match was characterized by physical battles and high tension, with each side seeing red and a total of five yellow cards handed out. Raja’s resilience and ability to capitalize late ultimately secured all three points, while CODM Meknès were left to rue missed opportunities and disciplinary lapses.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
43' — Goal
Raja Casablanca open the scoring, seizing momentum before halftime.
60' — Goal
CODM Meknès equalize, shifting the balance of the match.
81' — Goal
Raja Casablanca score the winner, breaking the deadlock late on.
Second Half' — Red Card
Both sides reduced to ten men as tempers flare.
Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca showed determination and composure, especially after being pegged back to 1-1 and going down to ten men. Their opening goal just before halftime gave them momentum, and despite a setback in the second half, they rallied to find a late winner. The home crowd was treated to a performance full of grit and attacking intent, with Raja displaying strong character under pressure.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
CODM Meknès
CODM Meknès put up a spirited fight, coming from behind to equalize in the second half and matching Raja’s intensity throughout. Their efforts were undermined by disciplinary problems, with three yellow cards and a red ultimately disrupting their rhythm. Despite being level with less than ten minutes to play, they conceded late and were unable to recover, leaving Casablanca empty-handed.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both teams approached the match with intensity and physicality, as evidenced by the high card count and the ebb and flow of momentum. Raja Casablanca’s tactical discipline allowed them to absorb pressure and strike at crucial moments, particularly on the counter and in transitional play. CODM Meknès matched Raja’s aggression and pressed high after falling behind, but their lack of composure in key moments, especially after the red card, left them exposed late on. The match was marked by tactical adjustments in response to the red cards, with both managers forced to reorganize their formations and focus on defensive solidity while seeking opportunities on the break. Set pieces and wide play became increasingly important as the match wore on, with Raja ultimately finding the breakthrough from open play.
Turning Point
Raja Casablanca’s late goal in the 81st minute, coming after both teams were reduced to ten men, proved decisive and swung the match in the hosts’ favor.
Man of the Match
Second Goalscorer (81')
Delivered the match-winning goal under pressure, sealing victory for Raja Casablanca.
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 0.35
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS: Yes
20%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Raja Casablanca vs CODM Meknès Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: Raja Casablanca vs CODM Meknès(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Raja Casablanca Win
Raja Casablanca have a strong home record (7W/4D/2L), a much better goal difference, and face a CODM Meknès side with only 1 away win and a -11 away goal difference. Recent form slightly favors Raja, and their defensive record at home is among the league's best.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have low over 2.5 goal percentages (Raja 16%, CODM 24%) and limited attacking output, especially CODM away (0.42 goals/game). Recent H2H meetings have also trended low-scoring.
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BTTS: No
Raja keep clean sheets in 56% of matches and CODM have failed to score in 1 of last 5 and average only 0.42 goals/game away. H2H also shows two of three meetings with at least one team failing to score.
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The Case For This Raja Casablanca vs CODM Meknès Prediction
Raja Casablanca enter as clear favorites, boasting a strong home record and defensive solidity, while CODM Meknès struggle on the road with just one away win all season. Both teams have been involved in low-scoring matches, and Raja's need to maintain their top-three position should motivate a focused display. Expect Raja to control possession and territory, with CODM likely to play reactively and struggle to create clear chances.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent form slightly favors Raja (WDLLW vs LLDWL)
Attack
- →CODM Meknès away record: 1W/5D/6L, only 5 goals scored in 12 away games
Defence
- →Raja Casablanca's home record: 7W/4D/2L, only 5 goals conceded at home
- →Raja's defensive record: 0.6 goals conceded per game (season), 56% clean sheets
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side
Match Context
- →Low over 2.5 goal rates for both teams
How Raja Casablanca and CODM Meknès Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Raja Casablanca vs CODM Meknès Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Raja Casablancalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CODM Meknèslast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Raja Casablanca have bounced back from a brief slump with a dramatic 4-3 away win, but their last five show some inconsistency (WDLLW), including two recent home matches without a win. CODM Meknès are in poor form, losing three of their last five and failing to win any of their last three, with defensive frailty evident (1.8 goals conceded per game in last 5).
Raja Casablanca vs CODM Meknès — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +56% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Raja Casablanca vs CODM Meknès
The head-to-head history is limited but competitive, with each team winning once and one goalless draw. Matches have generally been tight and low-scoring, with only one game seeing more than one goal scored.
Raja Casablanca vs CODM Meknès Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
1
Raja Casablanca wins
1
Draws
1
CODM Meknès wins
Things to Watch: Raja Casablanca vs CODM Meknès
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated
- ⚠️No advanced match stats (shots, possession, corners) for recent games
- ⚠️Recent form for both teams is mixed, with Raja showing some inconsistency
- ⚠️Small H2H sample size (3 matches) limits trend reliability
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Raja Casablanca vs CODM Meknès: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 18 June 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.