Randers FC vs Viborg Predictions
Superliga · Denmark
Randers FC
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Viborg
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Viborg Win
@ 2.05(+1% edge)
Recommended Bets: Randers FC vs Viborg
Randers FC vs Viborg: Match Preview
Randers FC enter this match sitting 8th with 10 points from 9 games, having lost three of their last five in the league. Viborg, by contrast, are third with 17 points and a +7 goal difference, their only away defeat coming narrowly at Brondby. For Randers, the gap to the top six is already opening, while Viborg are firmly in the mix for European qualification.
Statistically, Viborg's defence is the standout: they allow just 0.89 goals per game across the season, and have conceded only four in four away fixtures. Randers, meanwhile, have conceded 14 in nine and average just 1.22 goals scored per match. Both teams have seen BTTS in four of their last five, but Viborg's attack is more consistent: 1.67 goals per game, with a recent 4-1 win over FC Nordsjaelland. Set-piece threat is limited on both sides, with corners per game below league average (Randers 2.6, Viborg 3.4 in last five).
The model expects Viborg's defensive structure to hold up against a Randers attack that has padded its numbers against weaker opposition. With both teams tending to score early (first goal before 30 minutes in 58% of games), the likeliest scenario is Viborg taking control after the break. A 2-1 away win is the statistical mode, with Randers' home record and H2H edge the main caveats.
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Randers FC vs Viborg Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Randers FC vs Viborg that most previews miss.
- 1Randers have conceded multiple goals in three of their last five home matches.
- 2Viborg have kept a clean sheet in 33% of league games this season, but none in their last five across all competitions.
- 3Six of the last ten H2H meetings have finished with under 2.5 goals, despite both teams' recent BTTS trends.
Who do you think wins: Randers FC vs Viborg?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Randers FC vs Viborg(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Viborg Win@ 2.06
Viborg's away record (1W 2D 1L, 4:4 goal diff) is solid compared to Randers' home form (2W 1D 2L, 6:8), and Viborg's season-long defensive rate (0.89 conceded per game) is among the league's best. The model assigns a 49% win probability versus the 48.8% implied by odds of 2.05, giving a marginal positive expected value.
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The Case For This Randers FC vs Viborg Prediction
This fixture sets up as a clash between a mid-table home side with defensive frailties and a top-three visitor whose underlying numbers are robust on both sides of the ball. Viborg's away scoring and concession rates are balanced, while Randers' home attack has struggled to break through against stronger defences. The statistical shape points toward a moderately high goal probability, but Viborg's edge in both form and underlying rates is decisive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Viborg's season goals conceded per game (0.89) is nearly 0.7 lower than Randers' (1.56).
- →Randers have failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5, conceding 8 in that span.
Match Context
- →Viborg have lost only once away this season and have a positive away goal difference (4:4).
🚩 Randers FC vs Viborg Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.8 corners for Randers FC and 5.3 for Viborg, for an expected total of 9.1. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 56% · Over 10.5: 31%.
How Randers FC and Viborg Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Randers FC vs Viborg Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Randers FClast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Viborglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Randers have alternated wins and losses in their last five, but defensive issues persist with 8 goals conceded in that span. Viborg, despite a recent friendly defeat, have lost just once in their last five league matches and boast a +7 goal difference, signalling more consistent form.
Randers FC vs Viborg — Last 9 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Randers FC vs Viborg
Randers have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning six of the last ten and four of the last five at home. However, Viborg did claim a 3-2 away win in the most recent league encounter, and five of the last seven meetings have seen both teams score.
Randers FC vs Viborg Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
Randers FC wins
2
Draws
2
Viborg wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Randers FC vs Viborg
Model probabilities are closely aligned with bookmaker odds, but a marginal edge exists on Viborg to win at 2.05 (model: 49% vs implied 48.8%). No strong value is found on goals markets, with both over and under 2.5 goals priced in line with the underlying rates.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Randers FC vs Viborg
- ⚠️Randers' last 5 matches show improved attacking output (2.2 goals/game), but the sample includes a cup tie against lower-league opposition.
- ⚠️Viborg's last away league match was a 1-1 draw, but their only away win came against a bottom-half side.
- ⚠️No significant injuries reported for either side, but starting lineups are not confirmed.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Randers FC 1–2 ViborgThe model projects a 2-1 Viborg win, with the strongest data point being Viborg's league-best defensive rate (0.89 goals conceded per game). The main risk is Randers' historical home advantage in this fixture, as they've won four of the last five H2H at Cepheus Park.
Randers FC vs Viborg: Common Questions
Who will win Randers FC vs Viborg?
The model gives Viborg a 49% chance of victory, with Randers at 24% and the draw at 27%. Viborg's superior defensive record and league position give them the edge, but Randers' home H2H record is a concern.
Will both teams score in Randers FC vs Viborg?
Both teams to score is rated at 56%, as each side has seen BTTS in four of their last five matches and recent H2H meetings have been open.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Randers FC vs Viborg?
Over 2.5 goals is given a 54% probability by the model, slightly above the season-long averages (Randers 55.6%, Viborg 44.4%). The most common correct score is 2-1 to Viborg.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Randers FC vs Viborg: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 4 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.