Remo vs Gremio Predictions
Serie A · Brazil
Remo
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Gremio
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.2(+15% edge)
Recommended Bets: Remo vs Gremio
Remo vs Gremio: Match Preview
Remo return to Estadio Evandro Almeida mired in a five-match losing streak, their worst run of the campaign, and sit 19th with relegation looming. Despite flashes of attacking intent—such as 34 shots in the 2-3 loss to Coritiba—the hosts have lacked end product and defensive resilience, conceding 10 goals in their last five. Gremio, just two places higher in 17th, have also stalled: their last four league games have yielded only a single point, and they remain winless away from home all season (0W, 4D, 10L).
The tactical matchup pits Remo's erratic but occasionally lively attack (1.0 goals, 15 shots per last five) against a Gremio defence that has leaked 22 goals on the road. Both sides have been more effective after the break—Remo have scored four of their last five goals in the second half, while Gremio's last five matches have featured more first-half goals (4) than second (2), suggesting an early breakthrough is possible but not guaranteed. Set pieces are unlikely to be decisive, with neither side averaging more than six corners per match, but discipline could play a role given Remo's 0.4 reds and Gremio's 3.6 yellows per game recently.
Given the absence of momentum and the weight of recent failures, the model expects a nervy, low-quality contest where neither side can sustain pressure. The draw is rated the likeliest outcome, with both teams' defensive frailties pointing towards a 1-1 scoreline, but the lack of attacking conviction means a goalless stalemate or a late winner from a mistake are both plausible.
How Remo and Gremio Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Remo vs Gremio Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Remolast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Gremiolast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Remo's momentum is firmly negative, with five consecutive defeats and 10 goals conceded in that span. Gremio's recent trajectory is only marginally better: one point from four league games, and no away wins all season. Both teams are trending downwards, with little sign of an imminent turnaround.
Remo vs Gremio — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Concerns
- −5/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Remo vs Gremio Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Remo vs Gremio that most previews miss.
- 1Remo have conceded at least two goals in four of their last five matches, yet have scored in all but one.
- 2Gremio are the only team in the division without an away win, taking just four points from a possible 42 on the road.
- 3The only previous H2H ended 0-0, and both teams' last five matches have produced more goals after the interval (Remo: 4/5, Gremio: 4 first-half, 2 second-half).
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS: Yes
49%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Remo vs Gremio?
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The Case For This Remo vs Gremio Prediction
Remo's downward spiral continues with five consecutive defeats, leaving them marooned in 19th and desperate for any spark to halt their slide. Gremio, just two places above, have also lost momentum—winless in four league matches and still searching for their first away victory of the campaign. Both sides are staring at the relegation fight, but neither brings convincing form or confidence. Statistically, Remo's attack has shown only flickers (1.0 goals per last 5, 15 shots per game), but defensive frailty is the real story: 2.0 goals conceded per match, zero clean sheets, and a habit of late collapses. Gremio's away record is dire (0W, 4D, 10L, 8:22 goal difference), and their recent outings have seen them struggle to create clear chances (10.6 shots, 4.4 on target per last 5). Cards and fouls have spiked for both—Remo averaging 1.6 yellows and 0.4 reds, Gremio 3.6 yellows—with set pieces unlikely to swing the contest given low corner counts. With neither side able to impose themselves or keep the back door shut, the model expects a tense, error-strewn contest decided more by nerves than quality. The draw emerges as the most plausible outcome, with both teams likely to score but neither able to sustain pressure or protect a lead.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Gremio are winless in 14 away league matches this season (0W, 4D, 10L), scoring just 8 goals on the road.
Defence
- →Remo have lost five consecutive matches, conceding 10 goals and failing to keep a clean sheet in any of them.
- →Both teams average over 1 goal conceded per game in their last five matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
Where the Model Sees Value: Remo vs Gremio(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.35
Both Remo and Gremio arrive in poor form, with Remo on a five-match losing streak and Gremio winless in their last four league games. The underlying numbers (Remo 1.0 goals scored, 2.0 conceded per last 5; Gremio 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded) point to two fragile sides, and the reverse fixture ended 0-0. The model makes the draw the likeliest single outcome, with a 15% edge over market odds.
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More Serie A Predictions
🚩 Remo vs Gremio Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6 corners for Remo and 3.8 for Gremio, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 39%.
What History Says: Remo vs Gremio
The only previous meeting this season finished 0-0, reflecting the lack of attacking quality and confidence on both sides. With both teams' form having dipped further since, another close and low-scoring encounter is likely.
Remo vs Gremio Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Remo wins
1
Draws
0
Gremio wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Remo vs Gremio
The biggest value edge is on the draw at 3.20, where the model's 36% probability is notably higher than the market's implied 31%. Other markets, such as BTTS and home win, are close to or below fair value, making the draw the standout option for this fixture.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Remo vs Gremio
- ⚠️Remo's streak of losses could produce a reaction, but there is no statistical evidence of an imminent turnaround.
- ⚠️Gremio's only recent win came in the cup, not the league, and their away record is historically poor.
- ⚠️Both teams' discipline issues (high card counts) introduce volatility, especially late in the match.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Remo 1–1 GremioThe model calls this as a 1-1 draw, with both sides' lack of form and Gremio's woeful away record the decisive factors. Remo's five-match losing streak is matched only by Gremio's inability to win on the road, and both teams' defensive frailties make a clean sheet unlikely. The main risk is that one side's desperation finally breaks the deadlock, but the probability and value both favour the draw.
Remo vs Gremio: Common Questions
Who will win Remo vs Gremio?
The model gives Remo a 35% chance to win, Gremio a 29% chance, and the draw a 36% chance. Both sides are in poor form, but Gremio's winless away record and Remo's five straight defeats point towards a stalemate.
Will both teams score in Remo vs Gremio?
Both teams to score is rated at 56%, with Remo scoring in four of their last five and Gremio conceding regularly on the road. Defensive issues on both sides make BTTS more likely than not.
Can Remo end their losing streak against Gremio?
Remo have lost five straight but face a Gremio side winless away from home all season (0W, 4D, 10L). While Remo have a 35% win probability, the model sees a draw as the most likely outcome given both teams' struggles.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Remo vs Gremio: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 30 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.