Saint Etienne vs Nice Predictions
Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Nice
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Nice
Match Result
5/10Saint Etienne and Nice Play Out Goalless Stalemate in Tense Ligue 1 Finale
Saint Etienne and Nice closed their Ligue 1 campaigns with a tense 0-0 draw at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, in a match that promised much but ultimately delivered little in the way of attacking fireworks. Both sides adopted similar 4-2-3-1 formations and matched each other for intensity and discipline, but neither could find the cutting edge required to break the deadlock. Despite Nice enjoying a slight edge in possession (55%) and both teams registering six corners apiece, neither goalkeeper was forced into a save, with both teams failing to register a single shot on target from a combined 11 attempts. The match was characterized by midfield battles and defensive solidity, with clear-cut chances at a premium. Saint Etienne's attacking quartet struggled to carve open the Nice backline, while the visitors, for all their control of the ball, were unable to translate their dominance into meaningful opportunities. The result leaves both teams reflecting on missed chances, but credit must go to the defensive units on both sides for keeping things tight.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
22' — Yellow Card
Saint Etienne's only yellow card of the match, reflecting the combative nature in midfield.
45' — Halftime
Both sides went into the break deadlocked, with neither able to create a clear chance.
90' — Full Time
The referee's whistle confirmed a goalless draw after a match of few opportunities.
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne showed plenty of endeavour and matched Nice for much of the contest, but ultimately lacked the creativity and precision in the final third to test the opposition goalkeeper. Their 45% possession and seven total shots failed to yield a single effort on target, underlining their struggles to break down a well-organized Nice defence. Defensively, however, the hosts were solid, restricting Nice to just four shots and keeping their own penalty area largely untroubled.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Nice
Nice controlled more of the ball (55% possession) and looked the more composed side in midfield, but their attacking play was similarly blunted by a resolute Saint Etienne defence. Despite the technical quality in their midfield and attacking lines, Nice managed just four shots, none of which troubled the goalkeeper. Their defensive unit, led by A. Mendy and J. Bah, was rarely threatened, ensuring a clean sheet to end the season.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both teams lined up in 4-2-3-1 formations, prioritizing structure and defensive balance. Saint Etienne focused on maintaining a compact shape, with Kante and Gadegbeku screening the back four and limiting space for Nice's creative players. Nice, meanwhile, sought to control possession and probe down the flanks, but their attempts to stretch the play were largely contained by disciplined full-back play from Pedro and Appiah. Set pieces offered little threat, with both teams registering six corners but failing to capitalize. The lack of shots on target from either side highlights the effectiveness of both defensive units and the lack of risk-taking in the final third.
Turning Point
The match never truly found a decisive moment, but the inability of either side to register a shot on target in the opening hour set the tone for a stalemate.
Man of the Match
A. Mendy
Led the Nice defence with authority, ensuring Saint Etienne never found a way through and epitomizing the game's defensive focus.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.90
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS: Yes
43%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Saint Etienne vs Nice Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Saint Etienne vs Nice?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Saint Etienne vs Nice(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or Nice
Nice have a stronger H2H record, better recent form, and Saint Etienne are newly promoted with patchy results. The model gives a high probability for Nice or Draw.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams average under 2 goals scored per game in their last 5, and recent H2H meetings often feature 2-3 goals or less. Model probability for under is significant.
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Match Result: Away (Nice) Win
Nice have dominated Saint Etienne in recent years and are more proven at Ligue 1 level, while Saint Etienne's step up in class is a concern.
More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This Saint Etienne vs Nice Prediction
Saint Etienne return to Ligue 1 after a mixed run in Ligue 2, facing a Nice side that has shown defensive solidity and a strong H2H record. While Saint Etienne have attacking potential at home, Nice's experience and consistency at the top level give them a slight edge. Expect a competitive match, with Nice likely to control proceedings and Saint Etienne looking to make a statement on their return.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Nice are unbeaten in 8 of the last 10 H2H meetings (6 wins, 2 draws).
Defence
- →Saint Etienne averaged 1.6 goals scored and conceded in their last 5, but against Ligue 2 opposition.
- →Nice have conceded just 0.8 goals per game in their last 5, with 2 clean sheets.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either side.
Match Context
- →Saint Etienne's last 5: WLLLW; Nice's last 5: DLDDW.
- →Saint Etienne's home advantage is offset by their inexperience at this level.
🚩 Saint Etienne vs Nice Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.3 corners for Saint Etienne and 4.8 for Nice, for an expected total of 10.1. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (55%). Over 8.5: 68% · Over 10.5: 43%.
How Saint Etienne and Nice Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Saint Etienne vs Nice Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Saint Etiennelast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Nicelast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Saint Etienne's recent form is inconsistent, with 3 losses in their last 5 but a thumping 5-0 win in their most recent match, suggesting potential for goals but also defensive frailty. Nice have been tough to beat, drawing 3 of their last 5 and losing only once, showing a more stable if unspectacular run-in.
Saint Etienne vs Nice — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +100% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: Saint Etienne vs Nice
The head-to-head record is heavily in Nice's favor, including a remarkable 8-0 win and several comfortable victories. Saint Etienne have struggled to contain Nice's attack in recent years, and Nice have often found the net multiple times in this fixture.
Saint Etienne vs Nice Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Saint Etienne wins
2
Draws
6
Nice wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Saint Etienne vs Nice
With no bookmaker odds available, it's not possible to identify explicit value edges. However, model probabilities suggest that backing Nice or Draw (X2) and Under 2.5 Goals would be the most statistically sound approaches based on recent form and H2H trends.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Saint Etienne vs Nice
- ⚠️No current season Ligue 1 data for Saint Etienne; Ligue 2 stats may not translate.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be computed.
- ⚠️Small sample size for both teams' recent matches.
- ⚠️Lineups unavailable; late injuries or rotations could impact predictions.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Saint Etienne vs Nice: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 18 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.