Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt Predictions
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
Full Time
0 - 3
AI predicted 1 - 3
Bodo/Glimt
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 2.1(+16% edge)
Match Result
7.5/10Bodo/Glimt Cruise Past Sandefjord with Dominant 3-0 Away Win
Bodo/Glimt asserted their dominance at Jotun Arena with a commanding 3-0 victory over Sandefjord, controlling proceedings from the opening whistle to the final moments. The visitors stunned the hosts with a goal in the very first minute, setting the tone for a match in which they enjoyed 65% possession and peppered the Sandefjord goal with 12 shots, six of them on target. Sandefjord, meanwhile, struggled to find any attacking rhythm, managing just a single shot on target throughout the 90 minutes. Despite a spirited defensive effort from the home side, Bodo/Glimt's relentless pressure paid off with two late goals in the 90th minute, sealing a comprehensive win. Sandefjord’s discipline wavered under the onslaught, picking up three yellow cards as they tried in vain to stem the tide. In contrast, Bodo/Glimt’s control and efficiency exemplified why they are among the league’s most feared sides.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 3
Actual
0 - 3
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
1' — Goal
Bodo/Glimt open the scoring in the very first minute, immediately seizing control.
35' — Yellow Card
Sandefjord pick up their first booking as frustration grows.
60' — Yellow Card
Another Sandefjord player goes into the book for a late challenge.
75' — Yellow Card
Sandefjord’s third yellow card as they struggle to contain Bodo/Glimt’s attack.
90' — Goal
Bodo/Glimt double their lead with a late strike to put the game beyond Sandefjord.
90' — Goal
Bodo/Glimt add a third in stoppage time, capping a dominant performance.
Sandefjord
Sandefjord were on the back foot from the outset, conceding within the first minute and never truly recovering. Their 4-1-4-1 setup was designed to provide defensive stability, but the midfield was overrun and the attack isolated, resulting in only seven shots with just one troubling the Bodo/Glimt goalkeeper. The hosts’ frustration was evident in their 11 fouls and three yellow cards, as they struggled to cope with the visitors’ pace and movement. Despite moments of resilience, Sandefjord rarely threatened to get back into the game, and their lack of attacking impetus left them vulnerable to Bodo/Glimt’s late surge.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt delivered a professional away performance, immediately taking control with a goal in the opening minute and dictating the tempo throughout. Their 4-4-2 formation provided balance and width, allowing them to dominate possession (65%) and create numerous chances, culminating in 12 shots with half hitting the target. The midfield, marshaled by Patrick Berg, ensured Sandefjord were rarely allowed to settle, while the forwards capitalized on defensive lapses to secure two late goals and put the result beyond doubt. Disciplined and composed, Bodo/Glimt avoided any bookings and managed the game expertly, demonstrating why they are a force in the Eliteserien.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Sandefjord’s 4-1-4-1 formation was intended to provide a solid defensive base, but it left their lone striker isolated and the midfield unable to compete with Bodo/Glimt’s numerical superiority and movement. The away side’s 4-4-2 allowed them to stretch the play, exploit the flanks, and maintain pressure high up the pitch. Bodo/Glimt’s pressing forced errors and turnovers, while their wide midfielders provided consistent service to the front two. Set pieces were another area of Bodo/Glimt’s ascendancy, with six corners to Sandefjord’s two, keeping the hosts penned in their own half for long stretches. Tactical substitutions by Sandefjord failed to shift the momentum, as Bodo/Glimt’s structure and discipline remained intact throughout.
Turning Point
The opening goal in the first minute gave Bodo/Glimt immediate control and forced Sandefjord onto the back foot for the rest of the match.
Man of the Match
Patrick Berg
Dictated the tempo from midfield, orchestrated attacks, and ensured Bodo/Glimt’s dominance in possession.
Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt: Match Preview
Sandefjord return to Jotun Arena desperate to halt a worrying slide, having gone five league games without a win and collecting just three points in that span. Their recent home form is little better, with only two wins from six and a negative goal difference. Bodo/Glimt, meanwhile, arrive in full flight: four straight wins in all competitions, including a pair of clinical away performances, have propelled them right into the title race and left them brimming with confidence.
This fixture pits the league’s form side against one of its most vulnerable defences. Sandefjord have conceded two or more in four of their last five, and their average of 2.0 goals against per game in that stretch is a glaring weakness. Bodo/Glimt’s attack is humming, with 13 goals in their last five and a habit of striking late—seven of those goals coming after half-time. Both teams have consistently featured in high-scoring contests, with Sandefjord’s last five all seeing both sides score and an average of 3.2 goals per match. Set pieces could also play a role, as Bodo/Glimt are averaging over 4 corners per game recently and racked up 12 last time out.
The model expects Bodo/Glimt’s momentum to carry them through, with their attack likely to exploit Sandefjord’s defensive lapses. While the hosts have shown they can find the net, their inability to keep opponents out is likely to prove decisive. A high-tempo, open game is forecast, with the visitors’ superior quality and confidence tipping the balance their way.
How Sandefjord and Bodo/Glimt Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Sandefjordlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Bodo/Glimtlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Sandefjord are stuck in a rut, failing to win any of their last five league matches (LDLDL) and conceding at least twice in four of those. Bodo/Glimt, in stark contrast, are surging with four consecutive wins and just two goals conceded in that run. The visitors’ recent form is among the hottest in the league, while the hosts are trending firmly downward.
Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.0 conceded/game
- +5 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt that most previews miss.
- 1Sandefjord’s last five league matches have all seen both teams score, with an average of 3.2 total goals per game.
- 2Bodo/Glimt have scored at least twice in four of their last five competitive matches, conceding just three goals in that span.
- 3This fixture has produced over 2.5 goals in each of the last four meetings, with Bodo/Glimt winning three of those.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 2.40
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-2 · 0-2 · 1-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt?
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The Case For This Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction
Sandefjord limp into this clash with momentum firmly against them, having failed to win in their last five league matches (form string: LDLDL) and conceding at least two goals in four of those. Bodo/Glimt, by contrast, are riding a four-match competitive winning streak and have not lost since late May, their attack firing at 2.6 goals per game over the last five and their defence giving up just 0.6 per match in that same spell. The tactical contrast is stark: Sandefjord’s attack has managed to find the net in every one of their last five, but their leaky back line (10 conceded in that span) faces a Bodo/Glimt side that has scored multiple goals in four of their last five. The visitors’ threat is especially pronounced after the interval, with seven of their last 13 goals coming in the second half. Sandefjord’s matches have been consistently open, with both teams scoring in all of their last five and an average of 3.2 total goals per game. Given these trajectories, the model expects Bodo/Glimt to assert control early and stretch the game as Sandefjord chase. The away side’s superior shot creation and set-piece threat (12 corners last time out) should tell, but Sandefjord’s knack for grabbing a goal keeps BTTS and overs in play. The likeliest outcome is a high-scoring away win, with the visitors’ current form simply overwhelming the hosts’ defensive frailties.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Bodo/Glimt are on a four-match winning streak in all competitions, scoring 13 and conceding just 2 in that run.
- →Sandefjord have not kept a clean sheet in their last five, conceding 2.0 goals per game over that stretch.
Match Context
- →Both teams have scored in each of Sandefjord's last five league matches.
Where the Model Sees Value: Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 2.1
Sandefjord have scored in all of their last five despite poor results, while Bodo/Glimt have only kept one clean sheet away in their last five league and friendly outings. The hosts' attack is outperforming their overall form and BTTS has landed in all five of their most recent matches.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Bodo/Glimt Win@ 1.6
Bodo/Glimt arrive on a four-match winning streak and have averaged 2.6 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded in their last five, while Sandefjord are winless in five and conceding two per game in that stretch. The away side's momentum is decisive against a side trending downward.
Read more ↓
More Eliteserien Predictions
🚩 Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.5 corners for Sandefjord and 5 for Bodo/Glimt, for an expected total of 9.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 61% · Over 10.5: 35%.
What History Says: Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning seven of the last ten meetings and three of the last four at Sandefjord. High-scoring games are common, with the last four encounters all producing at least three goals. Sandefjord’s only recent success came in July 2024, but the overall trend is heavily in the visitors’ favour.
Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Sandefjord wins
1
Draws
8
Bodo/Glimt wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt
The biggest value edge lies with both teams to score, where the model’s 55% probability is notably higher than the implied odds of 2.10. There’s also a modest edge backing Bodo/Glimt to win outright, given the visitors’ current momentum and Sandefjord’s defensive frailties. Several markets lack odds, so value may shift as bookmakers update their prices.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt
- ⚠️Sandefjord’s ability to score in every recent match suggests some resilience despite poor results.
- ⚠️Bodo/Glimt’s last five includes two friendlies, which may slightly inflate their attacking numbers.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds were available for several markets, so value calculations may shift once prices are published.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Sandefjord 1–3 Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt’s four-match winning streak and 2.6 goals per game average in their last five make them clear favourites to take all three points in Sandefjord, with a predicted scoreline of 3-1. The single strongest data point is Sandefjord’s run of five straight matches without a clean sheet, which looks set to continue against the league’s most in-form attack. The main risk is the hosts’ knack for scoring even in defeat—if Bodo/Glimt’s focus wavers, a late Sandefjord goal could keep things closer than expected.
Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt: Common Questions
Who will win Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt?
The model gives Bodo/Glimt a 66% chance of victory, reflecting their four-match winning streak and 2.6 goals per game average in recent weeks. Sandefjord are winless in five and have struggled defensively, so the away side are strong favourites.
Will both teams score in Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt?
There’s a 55% probability for both teams to score, as Sandefjord have found the net in each of their last five despite poor results, and BTTS has landed in all of those games.
Can Sandefjord end their winless run?
It’s unlikely based on current momentum: Sandefjord have just a 12% chance of victory according to the model, while Bodo/Glimt are in the midst of a four-game winning streak and have dominated the head-to-head in recent years.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 July 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.