SK Beveren vs Gent Predictions
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Gent
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Gent Win
@ 1.95(+5% edge)
Recommended Bets: SK Beveren vs Gent
SK Beveren vs Gent: Match Preview
SK Beveren enter this fixture sitting 15th, having lost four of their last five league matches and conceding 12 goals in that stretch. Their home record is more respectable (3 wins from 5), but recent form is poor, and they have shipped 23 goals in 11 matches overall. Gent arrive third in the table, just a point off the summit, with the league's stingiest defence (6 conceded in 11) and a solid away record (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss).
The statistical matchup is defined by Beveren's leaky defence (2.09 conceded per game) against Gent's controlled, low-risk approach. Gent concede just 0.8 goals per game away and have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 league outings. Beveren's matches are high event: 72.7% over 2.5 goals, 3 BTTS in last 5, and a recent 4-4 draw at Westerlo. Gent, by contrast, have seen under 2.5 in 6 of 11 and have not had a BTTS in their last 5 league games. Gent's attack is not prolific but efficient, averaging 1.82 goals per game.
The model expects Gent to control territory and tempo, limiting Beveren's output while generating enough quality to score multiple times. Beveren's set-piece threat (6 corners per game) could offer a route back if they fall behind, but Gent's defensive structure and away efficiency make them clear statistical favourites. The likeliest scenario is a narrow Gent win in a match with moderate scoring.
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Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 1.85
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
SK Beveren vs Gent Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind SK Beveren vs Gent that most previews miss.
- 1Beveren matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of 11 league games (72.7%), but Gent have kept 6 clean sheets this season (54.5%).
- 2Gent have not conceded in the first half in any of their last 5 league matches.
- 3Across the last 10 H2H meetings, Gent have scored at least 2 goals on 7 occasions.
Who do you think wins: SK Beveren vs Gent?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: SK Beveren vs Gent(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Gent Win@ 1.96
Gent have won 7 of the last 10 meetings and boast a 0.55 goals-conceded rate this season, while Beveren average just 1.18 goals scored and have lost 7 of 11 league matches.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 1.8
Beveren matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 72.7% of league games, and their home defence concedes at a rate of 1.0 per match, with Gent scoring 1.6 per away game.
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The Case For This SK Beveren vs Gent Prediction
Gent's defensive solidity and away efficiency set the statistical tone, while Beveren's high-concession rate and recent home form suggest vulnerability. The model projects a moderate goal environment, with Gent's superior shot and goal suppression rates likely to dictate the outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Gent have won 7 of the last 10 H2H meetings, including the last league clash at Beveren.
Defence
- →Gent average just 0.55 goals conceded per league match, best among the two.
Match Context
- →Beveren's home matches average 2.6 total goals, with a 72.7% over 2.5 rate.
🚩 SK Beveren vs Gent Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.6 corners for SK Beveren and 5 for Gent, for an expected total of 11.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (72%). Over 8.5: 82% · Over 10.5: 61%.
How SK Beveren and Gent Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
SK Beveren vs Gent Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
SK Beverenlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Gentlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Beveren have lost four of their last five league matches, conceding 12 goals in that stretch and showing defensive instability. Gent, meanwhile, have won three of their last five, including a 4-0 home win over Anderlecht, and sit just a point off the top with the league's best defensive record.
SK Beveren vs Gent — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 72.73% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
Strengths
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +54.55% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: SK Beveren vs Gent
Gent have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings and scoring at least twice in 6 of those. Beveren's only win in that run came in 2019, and Gent have taken the points on their last three league visits to Beveren's ground.
SK Beveren vs Gent Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
SK Beveren wins
2
Draws
7
Gent wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: SK Beveren vs Gent
The away win market offers a modest edge, with the model's 54% probability for Gent exceeding the bookmaker's implied 51.3% at 1.95 odds. There's also a small edge on 'BTTS: No' at 2.10, with Gent's defensive record suggesting a lower likelihood of both teams scoring than the market implies.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: SK Beveren vs Gent
- ⚠️Beveren's attack has shown flashes (1.8 goals per last 5), but the sample includes a 4-goal outlier.
- ⚠️Gent's recent away loss at Lommel and 0-0 in Europe hint at possible attacking inconsistency.
- ⚠️No major injury news, but lineups are unavailable at time of modelling.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
SK Beveren 1–2 GentGent's defensive record and recent head-to-head dominance point to a 2-1 away win, with their 0.55 goals-conceded rate the standout stat. The main risk is Beveren's tendency to produce high-scoring, chaotic games at home, which could see the match swing if Gent's attack underperforms.
SK Beveren vs Gent: Common Questions
Who will win SK Beveren vs Gent?
Gent are rated 54% likely to win, compared to 20% for Beveren and 26% for the draw, based on their league-best defensive record and 7 wins in the last 10 H2H meetings.
Will both teams score in SK Beveren vs Gent?
The model gives a 51% probability for both teams to score, reflecting Beveren's high BTTS rate (3 of last 5) but tempered by Gent's 3 clean sheets in their last 5 league matches.
Is over 2.5 goals a good bet for SK Beveren vs Gent?
There's a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals, supported by Beveren's 72.7% season rate for this market, though Gent's matches trend lower-scoring with a strong defensive record.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SK Beveren vs Gent: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.