Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp Predictions
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Antwerp
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Antwerp Win
@ 3.1(+24% edge)
Recommended Bets: Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp
Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp: Match Preview
Both Zulte Waregem and Antwerp enter this fixture level on points (11 from 11 matches), but their recent trajectories diverge. Zulte Waregem are on a three-game losing streak in the league, conceding 11 goals in that span, while Antwerp have at least found the net in every one of their last five and recently put three past Charleroi. Both teams are closer to the relegation zone than the top half, so the stakes are high for momentum and survival.
Statistically, this is a high-goal environment. Antwerp's matches average 3.82 total goals, with 82% finishing over 2.5, while Zulte Waregem's average sits at 3.36 with 64% over 2.5. Zulte's home defence has been breached eight times in five games, and Antwerp's away record is even more fragile, conceding 11 in five. Both sides combine for over 20 shots per match, but neither is efficient defensively, and clean sheets are rare (Zulte 27%, Antwerp 18%). Cards are likely, with Antwerp averaging 2.4 yellows per game in their last five.
The model expects Antwerp's more reliable attack to edge a match with multiple goals. Zulte's lack of attacking punch and poor recent form weigh against them, while Antwerp's ability to score in every recent outing gives them the edge. The likeliest scenario is a 2-1 away win, but the wide distribution of possible outcomes makes the over 2.5 goals market attractive.
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Expected goals · model says 1.45
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp that most previews miss.
- 1Antwerp's away matches average 2.2 goals conceded per game, with only one clean sheet in five attempts.
- 2Zulte Waregem have failed to score in two of their last five, but Antwerp have scored in all of their last five.
- 3Nine of the last ten H2H meetings have produced a winner, with only one draw.
Who do you think wins: Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Antwerp Win@ 3.13
Antwerp's away win probability (40%) exceeds the implied probability from odds of 3.10 (32%), supported by their superior attacking rate (1.64 goals per game) and Zulte Waregem's defensive frailty (2.6 conceded per last 5).
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 1.7
Both teams are in the league's top quartile for over 2.5 goals (Zulte Waregem 63.6%, Antwerp 81.8%), with a combined season average of 3.36 goals per game.
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More Jupiler Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp Prediction
Two of the league's most porous defences meet at Elindus Arena, with Zulte Waregem conceding 20 goals in 11 matches (1.82 per game) and Antwerp even leakier at 24 (2.18 per game). Both sides are stuck on 11 points and sit adjacent in the bottom half, but Antwerp's attack (1.64 goals per game) has outperformed Zulte's (1.18), and the visitors are less prone to blanks, having scored in every one of their last five. The statistical shape of this fixture points to goals. Antwerp's matches have cleared 2.5 goals in 82% of outings, Zulte Waregem's in 64%. Both teams have struggled for clean sheets—Zulte at 27%, Antwerp just 18%—and neither side has shown a consistent ability to control games, with Zulte averaging only 32% possession over their last five and Antwerp conceding 15 fouls per away match. Cards are likely given both sides' recent discipline, with Antwerp averaging 2.4 yellows per game in their last five. The model expects Antwerp's more consistent attack to edge a high-variance match, with the likeliest scoreline a 2-1 away win. Zulte's home record (2W, 3L, 8:8 goal difference) is unremarkable, while Antwerp's away defence (11 conceded in 5) leaves the door open for the hosts to contribute. The distribution is wide, but the away side's higher attacking floor and the overall goal environment tip the probabilities their way.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Antwerp average 1.64 goals scored per game, Zulte Waregem just 1.18.
Defence
- →Zulte Waregem have lost their last three league matches, conceding 11 goals in that stretch.
Match Context
- →Antwerp's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of 11 games this season.
🚩 Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Zulte Waregem and 4.4 for Antwerp, for an expected total of 8.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 46% · Over 10.5: 23%.
How Zulte Waregem and Antwerp Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Zulte Waregemlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Antwerplast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Zulte Waregem are on a downward spiral with three straight league defeats, conceding 11 goals in that stretch. Antwerp, while also inconsistent, have at least found the net in every one of their last five and recently beat Charleroi 3-0. Both sides have identical records (3W, 2D, 6L), but Antwerp's attack is trending stronger.
Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 81.82% of games this season
What History Says: Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp
Antwerp have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning six of the last ten meetings, though Zulte Waregem have taken two of the last three at home. Only one of the last ten encounters ended in a draw, suggesting a decisive outcome is likely. The scoreline has often been close, with four matches finishing 2-1 either way.
Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Zulte Waregem wins
0
Draws
6
Antwerp wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp
Antwerp's win odds (3.10) imply just a 32% chance, but the model estimates their probability at 40%, creating a substantial value edge. Over 2.5 goals is also marginal value, with a 62% model probability against 59% implied by the odds. The away win offers the clearest statistical edge.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp
- ⚠️Both teams are inconsistent and have negative goal differences, so variance is high.
- ⚠️Recent form for both sides is poor, and neither has a clear home/away edge.
- ⚠️No key injuries reported, but starting lineups are not confirmed.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Zulte Waregem 1–2 AntwerpThe data points toward a 2-1 Antwerp win, driven by their superior attacking rate (1.64 goals per game) and Zulte Waregem's defensive collapse (2.6 conceded per last five). The main risk is Antwerp's away defensive record, which could allow Zulte to keep pace or force a draw if they take their chances.
Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp: Common Questions
Who will win Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp?
The model gives Antwerp a 40% chance of victory, Zulte Waregem 31%, and the draw 29%. Antwerp's more consistent attack and Zulte's recent defensive struggles tip the edge to the visitors.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp?
There's a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals, as Antwerp's matches have gone over that line in 82% of league games, and Zulte Waregem's in 64%.
Will both teams score in Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp?
Both teams to score is rated at 58%, with Antwerp scoring in all of their last five and Zulte Waregem conceding in four of their last five.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.