Smouha SC vs AL Masry Predictions
Premier League · Egypt
Smouha SC
Full Time
0 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 1
AL Masry
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.7/10Early Temine Strike Lifts AL Masry to Hard-Fought Win Over Smouha
AL Masry snatched a vital 1-0 away victory against Smouha SC at the Suez Stadium, thanks to a lightning-fast goal from M. Temine in just the second minute. The visitors weathered sustained pressure for the remainder of the match, as Smouha controlled 55% of possession and fired 10 shots, but ultimately failed to break down a resolute AL Masry defense. Despite Smouha's territorial dominance and a handful of promising chances, AL Masry's defensive discipline and physical approach (committing 23 fouls and collecting three yellow cards) kept the hosts at bay. The early goal set the tone for a tense encounter, with both sides battling fiercely and tempers occasionally flaring, but the visitors' early advantage proved decisive.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
0 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
2' — Goal
M. Temine scores for AL Masry, finishing a swift move to give the visitors an early 1-0 lead.
22' — Yellow Card
S. Reda (Smouha SC) booked for a tactical foul as Smouha pressed for an equalizer.
38' — Yellow Card
B. El Mohamady (AL Masry) shown yellow for a late challenge, highlighting AL Masry's physical approach.
52' — Yellow Card
S. Amadi (Smouha SC) cautioned after a midfield tussle.
67' — Yellow Card
A. Mahmoud (AL Masry) receives a booking for dissent.
74' — Yellow Card
K. El Ghandour (Smouha SC) booked as frustrations mount for the home side.
Smouha SC
Smouha SC started sluggishly, conceding almost immediately, but soon took control of possession and dictated much of the play. Their 55% share of the ball and five shots on target reflected their attacking intent, yet a lack of clinical finishing and composure in the final third proved costly. The hosts matched AL Masry's physicality, picking up three yellow cards themselves, but their efforts to find an equalizer were repeatedly thwarted by a compact and organized opposition defense. Tactically, Smouha's 4-2-3-1 formation provided width and numbers in midfield, but they struggled to carve out clear-cut chances, with Juhayna leading the line but unable to find the net. Ultimately, their inability to respond to the early setback left them empty-handed.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
AL Masry
AL Masry made a dream start, with M. Temine capitalizing on an early opportunity to put his side ahead in the second minute. After seizing the lead, they shifted into a more defensive posture, ceding possession but defending with determination and organization. Their physical approach, reflected in 23 fouls and three yellow cards, disrupted Smouha's rhythm and limited the hosts to just five shots on target despite 10 total attempts. The 4-1-3-2 formation allowed AL Masry to maintain a solid shape, with the midfield providing both defensive cover and occasional counter-attacking threat. The back line, marshaled by B. El Mohamady and K. Sobhi, stood firm under pressure, ensuring Temine's early goal was enough to secure all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Smouha SC lined up in a 4-2-3-1, seeking to dominate the midfield and utilize width through their attacking trio behind Juhayna. Their approach focused on sustained possession and probing passes, but AL Masry's compact 4-1-3-2 shape limited space between the lines and forced Smouha into less threatening areas. As the game wore on, Smouha pushed higher, but AL Masry's disciplined banks of four and one provided a formidable barrier. AL Masry's tactical switch after their early goal was evident, as they dropped deeper and prioritized defensive solidity over attacking ambition. Their willingness to commit fouls disrupted Smouha's rhythm, and their defensive line, led by B. El Mohamady, dealt well with crosses and shots from distance. The lack of significant formation changes or impactful substitutions suggested both managers trusted their initial setups, with AL Masry content to defend their slender lead.
Turning Point
M. Temine's goal in the 2nd minute, which allowed AL Masry to dictate the game's tempo and focus on defensive organization.
Man of the Match
M. Temine
His early goal proved decisive and his tireless work up front set the tone for AL Masry's victory.
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Expected goals · model says 0.90
Expected goals · model says 0.75
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
BTTS: Yes
31%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Smouha SC vs AL Masry Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Smouha SC vs AL Masry?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Smouha SC vs AL Masry(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Smouha SC or Draw
Smouha SC are at home and have a solid home record, while AL Masry have drawn 6 of 11 away. Both teams have similar form and defensive stats, making a home win or draw likely.
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Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams have low scoring averages and a high draw rate in H2H and season stats. 1-1 is the most probable single scoreline.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have under 2.5 goal rates below 50% (Smouha 27%, AL Masry 45%), and recent H2H matches are often low scoring.
More Premier League Predictions
The Case For This Smouha SC vs AL Masry Prediction
This is a tightly matched mid-table clash between Smouha SC and AL Masry, both with similar points and defensive records. Smouha's home form is solid, but their recent run is mixed, while AL Masry have drawn many away games and also show inconsistent form. Both sides struggle to score freely, and their head-to-head history is dominated by low-scoring draws or narrow wins. Expect a cautious, competitive match likely to be decided by fine margins.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent form is mixed for both: Smouha (LLWWL), AL Masry (DLDWD)
Attack
- →H2H: 3 draws in last 6, generally low scoring
- →Both teams average around 1 goal scored per game
Defence
- →Smouha SC's home record: 5W 3D 3L, only 7 goals conceded in 11 home games
- →AL Masry's away record: 2W 6D 3L, 10 goals scored and 11 conceded in 11 away
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either side
Tactical Angle
- →Low set piece and corners averages
Match Context
- →Both teams have a high draw rate (Smouha: 7/22, AL Masry: 9/22)
🚩 Smouha SC vs AL Masry Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for Smouha SC and 5 for AL Masry, for an expected total of 9.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 62% · Over 10.5: 36%.
How Smouha SC and AL Masry Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Smouha SC vs AL Masry Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Smouha SClast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
AL Masrylast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Smouha SC vs AL Masry — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Smouha SC vs AL Masry
Smouha SC vs AL Masry Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Smouha SC wins
3
Draws
4
AL Masry wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Smouha SC vs AL Masry
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Smouha SC vs AL Masry
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available for value analysis
- ⚠️Some match and player stats missing for recent games
- ⚠️Recent lineups suggest some rotation, but no major injuries
- ⚠️Both teams can be unpredictable in attack
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Smouha SC vs AL Masry: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 20 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.