SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
SV Wehen
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Match Result
5.5/10Stalemate in Regensburg: Defenses Rule as Jahn and Wehen Share the Spoils
SSV Jahn Regensburg and SV Wehen played out a goalless draw at the Arena Regensburg, with both sides struggling to break down resilient defenses in a match that ultimately lacked a cutting edge. Despite each team enjoying an even share of possession (50% apiece), clear chances were at a premium, and both goalkeepers were rarely called into serious action, with each side registering just a single shot on target. The match was characterized by disciplined organization and tactical caution, as neither team wanted to risk conceding. Regensburg, lining up in a 5-3-2, looked to stay compact at the back, while Wehen’s 4-1-4-1 formation aimed to control midfield but found little joy in the final third. With both teams collecting two yellow cards and neither able to capitalize on their limited opportunities, the contest ended as it began: all square.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
19' — Yellow Card
L. Mühl (Regensburg) receives a yellow for a tactical foul, setting the tone for a physical contest.
34' — Yellow Card
F. Hübner (Wehen) booked after a late challenge, as both teams show defensive commitment.
56' — Shot on Target
Regensburg register their only shot on target, easily saved by Stritzel.
71' — Shot on Target
Wehen finally test Hermann, but the Regensburg keeper is equal to the effort.
82' — Yellow Card
R. Paula (Wehen) cautioned as frustrations grow late on.
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Regensburg set up with a defensive 5-3-2 formation, prioritizing solidity at the back and looking to frustrate SV Wehen’s attacking efforts. The hosts managed only 8 shots, with just one testing the opposition goalkeeper, reflecting a lack of attacking impetus. While their defensive line, marshaled by Leopold Wurm and L. Mühl, remained organized and limited Wehen’s quality chances, Regensburg struggled to transition effectively into attack and rarely threatened to break the deadlock. The midfield trio worked hard to maintain parity in possession, but the front two of Hermes and Boujellab were largely isolated, unable to convert the team’s four corners into meaningful opportunities.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
SV Wehen
SV Wehen adopted a 4-1-4-1 setup, seeking to control the midfield and probe for openings. They managed 12 shots overall, but like their hosts, could only muster a single effort on target. The midfield, led by M. Brandt and R. Paula, saw plenty of the ball and worked to stretch Regensburg’s backline, but the lone striker, M. Flotho, found little space to operate against a packed defense. Defensively, Wehen were solid, conceding only four corners and matching Regensburg’s physicality, as reflected in their two yellow cards. Ultimately, their inability to convert possession into clear-cut chances left them frustrated and without a breakthrough.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Regensburg’s choice of a 5-3-2 formation underscored their intent to prioritize defensive solidity, with wing-backs dropping deep to form a compact back five. This made it difficult for Wehen’s midfield-heavy 4-1-4-1 to find space between the lines, forcing them to circulate possession without penetration. The hosts’ midfield trio focused on screening the defense and pressing selectively, but struggled to supply their forwards, who were often left isolated. Wehen, meanwhile, attempted to assert control through numbers in midfield, but lacked runners in behind and width to stretch Regensburg’s defense. Both sides’ reluctance to commit numbers forward led to a congested midfield battle, and set pieces—Regensburg’s four corners to Wehen’s two—offered little threat. Substitutions, if any, did not significantly alter the tactical balance, and the match played out as a chess match with neither side able to find a decisive move.
Turning Point
The match’s turning point was arguably the 71st minute, when Wehen’s only shot on target was comfortably saved by Hermann—symbolic of a contest where both sides lacked the quality to seize the initiative.
Man of the Match
Leopold Wurm
Led Regensburg’s defense with authority, ensuring a clean sheet in a match where defensive discipline was paramount.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen: Match Preview
Regensburg and Wehen come into this fixture level on points, occupying 18th and 19th in the 3. Liga, each with just a single win from their opening seven matches. Regensburg's recent league form reads DLDLL, and they remain winless at home this season, while Wehen have lost four of their last seven and have the division's lowest scoring rate. Both sides are desperate for momentum, but neither has found a formula for consistent points.
The matchup is defined by Regensburg's leaky defence—conceding 2.43 goals per game overall and shipping 5 in 3 home games—against a Wehen attack that has managed just 5 goals in 7 matches. Regensburg average 1.86 goals scored per game, but this is heavily skewed by a single five-goal away outburst; at home, they have managed just 2 goals in 3 games. Wehen's away defence is marginally better than their home record but still concedes 1.67 per game on the road. Both teams show a moderate BTTS rate (Regensburg 4/5, Wehen 3/5 in last five), but neither keeps clean sheets with regularity.
Given the lack of firepower and the tendency for both sides to concede, the model expects a cautious, attritional match with limited clear chances. The most likely outcome is a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline the statistical mode, as both sides are more likely to cancel each other out than to find a breakthrough. The goal environment projects as moderate, with under 2.5 goals slightly favoured.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS: Yes
50%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen that most previews miss.
- 1Regensburg have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their 7 league matches this season.
- 2Wehen's matches average just 2.14 total goals, the lowest in the league among teams with 7+ games played.
- 3Across the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Regensburg have won 6 times, including 3 of the last 4 at home.
Who do you think wins: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides average under 2 goals scored per game and have drawn 2 of their last 5 league matches, with neither attack showing sustained cutting edge and both conceding at a similar rate.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Wehen have seen under 2.5 goals in 57% of their league matches and Regensburg's home games average just 2.33 goals, suggesting a moderate goal environment.
Read more ↓
More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen Prediction
This is a low-table clash between two sides struggling for results and output, with Regensburg's defensive frailty offset by Wehen's lack of attacking punch. The statistical shape points to a game with few clear chances and a high likelihood of a draw, as neither side has shown the consistency to force the issue.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Regensburg have failed to win any of their 3 home league matches, scoring just 2 goals at Jahnstadion Regensburg.
- →Wehen average only 0.71 goals scored per league game this season, the lowest in the division.
Match Context
- →Both teams have drawn 2 of their last 5 league matches, with a combined 7 points from 14 matches.
🚩 SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for SSV Jahn Regensburg and 5.4 for SV Wehen, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 39%.
How SSV Jahn Regensburg and SV Wehen Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
SSV Jahn Regensburglast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
SV Wehenlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Regensburg are winless in their last five league matches (DLDLL) and have not managed a home victory all season, with just 2 goals scored at Jahnstadion Regensburg. Wehen have also struggled, losing two straight and winning only once in seven league outings, with the weakest attack in the division.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
What History Says: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen
Regensburg have had the better of recent encounters, winning 6 of the last 10 and unbeaten at home against Wehen in that span. However, three of the last five meetings have been draws or settled by a single goal, reflecting the narrow margins typical in this fixture.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
SSV Jahn Regensburg wins
4
Draws
1
SV Wehen wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen
With no bookmaker odds available, value assessment is not possible for this fixture. The model's probabilities suggest the market should price the draw as the most likely result, with under 2.5 goals also slightly favoured given both teams' attacking struggles.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value analysis is limited.
- ⚠️Recent friendlies may distort form but have limited predictive value.
- ⚠️Both teams' defensive records are poor, which could lead to a higher-scoring match if early goals occur.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–1 SV WehenThe model projects a 1-1 draw, with both teams' low attacking output and poor defensive records offsetting each other. Regensburg's inability to win at home and Wehen's lack of goals make a stalemate the likeliest result. The main risk is that Regensburg's defensive lapses or an early goal could open the game up, pushing it over the goal line.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen: Common Questions
Who will win SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen?
The model gives Regensburg a 33% chance of victory and Wehen a 30% chance, with the draw slightly favoured at 37%. Both teams are struggling for form and goals, making a draw the most probable outcome.
Will both teams score in Regensburg vs Wehen?
There's a 54% probability that both teams will score, as Regensburg have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 and Wehen in 3 of their last 5, but both sides' attacks are inconsistent.
Is under 2.5 goals likely in this match?
Under 2.5 goals is marginally favoured at 52% probability, with Wehen's matches averaging just 2.14 total goals and Regensburg's home games averaging 2.33.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.