Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
Stuttgart II
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Alemannia Aachen
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen: Match Preview
Stuttgart II arrive on a five-match unbeaten run in all competitions, collecting 11 points from their last five league outings and climbing to 7th in the table. Their attack has found rhythm, scoring at least once in every league game since mid-September, while their home record is less convincing (just one win in four). Aachen, 12th and three points back, are reeling from three consecutive defeats in which they've shipped 10 goals, though their underlying shot production remains strong.
The matchup is defined by leaky defences and proactive attacks: Stuttgart II's last five league games average four goals, with both teams scoring in four of those, and their home matches this season feature 4.5 goals per game. Aachen's away games are lower scoring (2.25 goals per game), but their overall defensive record is poor, conceding 1.78 per match. Both sides struggle for clean sheets, and Stuttgart II's set-piece threat is limited (0.8 corners per game last five), while Aachen generate more corners (5.2) but often lack end product.
The model expects an open contest with a high likelihood of both teams scoring and a moderate edge to the hosts, driven by Stuttgart II's recent attacking output and Aachen's defensive frailty. The likeliest scenario is a 2-1 or 2-2, with the home side's greater attacking consistency the key differentiator, but volatility in both defences means a wider range of outcomes is plausible.
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Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 1.45
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
63%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen that most previews miss.
- 1Stuttgart II's home games average 4.5 goals, the highest in the division among teams with at least four home fixtures.
- 2Alemannia Aachen have conceded two or more in four of their last five league matches, with an average xGA (expected goals against) of 2.1 per game in that span.
- 3All six historical H2H meetings have produced at least three goals, with an average total of 3.5 per match.
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The Case For This Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen Prediction
Stuttgart II's matches this season have produced 3.5 goals per game on average, with 70% finishing over 2.5 goals, while Aachen's rate is nearly identical at 2.89 goals per match and 66.7% over 2.5. Both sides concede at a rate above 1.7 per game, and Stuttgart II have scored in every league fixture since mid-September. Aachen, meanwhile, have failed to score in two of their last five but average 13.2 shots per match in that span, hinting at underlying attacking intent. The statistical shape points to a high-probability goal environment, with Stuttgart II's home attack (2 goals/game) facing an Aachen away defence conceding 1.25 per trip, and vice versa.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Stuttgart II average 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over their last five, with BTTS in 4 of those.
- →Alemannia Aachen have lost three straight, conceding 10 times in that span, but are generating 13.2 shots per game recently.
- →Both teams' season over 2.5 goal rates exceed 65%; neither side keeps clean sheets reliably (Stuttgart II 10%, Aachen 22%).
🚩 Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.6 corners for Stuttgart II and 5.4 for Alemannia Aachen, for an expected total of 9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 54% · Over 10.5: 29%.
How Stuttgart II and Alemannia Aachen Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Stuttgart IIlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Alemannia Aachenlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Stuttgart II have built momentum with a five-match unbeaten run, including two wins in their last two league games and 11 points from five. Their attack is in strong form, averaging over two goals per game recently. Aachen, by contrast, are on a three-match losing streak, conceding heavily, but continue to create chances at a high rate.
Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 70% of games this season
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
What History Says: Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen have the historical edge, winning four of the last six meetings and both previous trips to Stuttgart II by two-goal margins. However, every recent encounter has produced at least three goals, and Stuttgart II did win the last meeting away from home.
Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
2
Stuttgart II wins
0
Draws
4
Alemannia Aachen wins
Things to Watch: Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value or EV calculations included.
- ⚠️Recent lineups and injuries show no major absences, but lack of market data reduces confidence in value assessment.
- ⚠️Both teams have shown volatility in results, with Stuttgart II's home defence and Aachen's away attack both inconsistent.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Stuttgart II 2–1 Alemannia AachenThe model projects a 2-1 win for Stuttgart II, underpinned by their 2.2 goals per game average over the last five and Aachen's ongoing defensive issues (10 conceded in three). The main risk is that Aachen's high shot volume finally translates into a more clinical away display, or that Stuttgart II's home defensive lapses persist, leading to a higher-scoring draw.
Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen: Common Questions
Who will win Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen?
Stuttgart II are given a 41% chance of victory, with the draw at 30% and Aachen at 29%. The model leans slightly towards the hosts due to their recent attacking form and Aachen's defensive struggles.
Will both teams score in Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen?
There is a 60% probability of both teams scoring, supported by BTTS landing in four of Stuttgart II's last five and Aachen conceding in four of their last five league matches.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen?
The model estimates a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals, reflecting both teams' season-long rates above 65% and the high-scoring trend in their recent fixtures and head-to-head history.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.