SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
SV Wehen
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: Match Preview
SV Wehen approach this fixture from 14th in the table but with momentum on their side, having won three of their last five league matches and posting back-to-back victories over Ingolstadt and Alemannia Aachen. Grossaspach, sitting 18th, are winless in five and have conceded five goals in their most recent away defeat, underlining defensive issues. Both teams are under pressure to climb away from the relegation zone, but Wehen's current streak gives them a narrow edge in confidence.
Statistically, the rates point to a game with scoring chances for both. Wehen's attack has found rhythm—averaging 2.2 goals across their last five—while Grossaspach's defence has conceded 2.2 per match in the same window and has yet to keep a clean sheet in that span. Grossaspach's away record is poor (5 goals scored, 8 conceded in 4), but they have scored in every league game since mid-September. Both sides show a tendency for second-half goals: Wehen have netted six after the break in their last five, while Grossaspach have scored five of their last six league goals in the second half.
The model expects Wehen's home attack to set the tempo, with Grossaspach's porous defence likely to be breached early. However, both teams' defensive numbers suggest Grossaspach will create enough to get on the scoresheet themselves. The most probable scenario is a 2-1 home win, but the underlying rates make a high-scoring draw a plausible alternative if Wehen's defence falters.
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Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach that most previews miss.
- 1SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have seen both teams score in each of their last five league matches, with an average of 3.4 total goals per game in that span.
- 2Wehen's home matches average 2.6 goals per game this season, but they have conceded eight in five home fixtures—a rate of 1.6 per home match.
- 3Grossaspach have scored just once before half-time in their last five, while Wehen have scored four first-half goals over the same period.
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The Case For This SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Prediction
Both sides enter this fixture with negative goal differences and defensive vulnerabilities, but SV Wehen's recent upturn—three wins in their last five—contrasts with Grossaspach's run of five games without a win. The underlying rates point to a moderately high-scoring environment: Wehen average 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game this season, while Grossaspach concede 1.78 per match and have yet to win away. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in more than 44% of their matches, and BTTS has landed in all of Grossaspach's last five league outings. The matchup tilts on Wehen's improved attacking output—2.2 goals per game over their last five—against a Grossaspach defence averaging 2.2 conceded in the same span. Grossaspach's away record (5 goals scored, 8 conceded in 4 matches) mirrors Wehen's home defensive frailty (8 conceded in 5), suggesting both sides will find the net. First-half scoring has been limited for Grossaspach (just 1 first-half goal in their last 5), but Wehen have struck four times before the break in that window, hinting at early home pressure. The model expects Wehen's superior shot volume and recent form to edge a match where both sides' defensive records keep the door open for goals. The likeliest outcome is a 2-1 home win, with the distribution of rates making a draw or a 2-2 also plausible if Grossaspach's attack capitalises on Wehen's lapses.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →SV Wehen average 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per league match.
- →Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in the majority of their games: Wehen 33% clean sheets, Grossaspach 22%.
Match Context
- →SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have not won away this season (0W, 2D, 2L; 5 GF, 8 GA).
🚩 SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for SV Wehen and 3.8 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, for an expected total of 8.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 46% · Over 10.5: 23%.
How SV Wehen and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
SV Wehenlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspachlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wehen have found form with three wins in their last five, scoring nine goals in that stretch and keeping two clean sheets. Grossaspach, by contrast, are on a five-game winless run, conceding 11 goals in their last five and failing to keep a single clean sheet. Both sides have scored in every recent league outing, but Wehen's momentum is more positive.
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — Last 9 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
SV Wehen have historically dominated this matchup, winning six of the last ten meetings and losing just twice. The last five matches at Wehen's ground have produced three home wins and only one Grossaspach victory, with several high-scoring encounters including a 5-0 in 2017. However, the most recent H2H dates back several years, so current form is a stronger guide.
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
SV Wehen wins
2
Draws
2
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach wins
Things to Watch: SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges and recommended bets are omitted.
- ⚠️Recent friendlies are excluded from rate calculations to avoid distorting competitive form.
- ⚠️Lineups for this match are unknown; late injuries or rotations could impact the predicted goal environment.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
SV Wehen 2–1 SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachThe model projects a 2-1 win for SV Wehen, driven by their recent attacking surge (2.2 goals per game in the last five) and Grossaspach's ongoing defensive frailty. The greatest risk to this outcome is Wehen's inconsistent home form—just one win in five at the BRITA-Arena—and Grossaspach's knack for scoring late, which could tilt the result towards a draw.
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: Common Questions
Who will win SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
SV Wehen are favoured with a 45% probability of victory, compared to 23% for Grossaspach and 32% for the draw. The model leans towards a narrow home win based on recent attacking form and Grossaspach's away struggles.
Will both teams score in SV Wehen vs Grossaspach?
The probability for both teams to score is 63%, supported by Grossaspach's record of BTTS in each of their last five league matches and Wehen's defensive record of just 33% clean sheets.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
There's a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals, as both teams average more than 1.5 goals conceded per game and have combined for over 2.5 goals in more than half their recent matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Resources
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SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results