SV Wehen vs Hansa Rostock Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
SV Wehen
Full Time
0 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 2
Hansa Rostock
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 4(+12% edge)
Match Result
6.8/10Early Holten Strike and Late Drama: Hansa Rostock Edge 10-Man Wehen
Hansa Rostock claimed a hard-fought 1-0 away victory over SV Wehen at the BRITA-Arena, thanks to an early goal from Emil Holten in the 4th minute. Despite being reduced to ten men in the second half, Rostock held firm against a determined Wehen side that pushed for an equalizer but ultimately lacked the cutting edge in the final third. The match began at a frenetic pace, with Holten capitalizing on a defensive lapse to put the visitors ahead almost immediately. Wehen responded with increased intensity, but their efforts were stymied by Rostock's organized defense. The second half saw Rostock go down to ten men following a red card, inviting relentless pressure from the hosts. However, Wehen's inability to convert possession into clear chances proved costly as Rostock clung on for all three points.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
0 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
4' — Goal
Emil Holten scores for Hansa Rostock after capitalizing on a defensive lapse.
Second half' — Red card
Hansa Rostock reduced to ten men, shifting momentum in Wehen's favor.
Late second half' — Yellow cards
Both teams pick up bookings as tempers flare and the match grows tense.
SV Wehen
Wehen struggled to recover from conceding so early, and while they showed plenty of endeavor, they rarely threatened the Rostock goal with real menace. The hosts attempted to exploit their numerical advantage after Rostock's red card, pushing higher up the pitch and introducing fresh legs, but their final ball and composure in front of goal were lacking. Two yellow cards reflected their frustration as the match wore on. Despite dominating territory in the second half, Wehen's attack was too often blunted by Rostock's deep defensive line. Their 3-4-2-1 formation provided width and midfield control, but the lack of a clinical finisher was evident throughout.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Hansa Rostock
Rostock's early goal set the tone for a disciplined display, as they absorbed pressure and looked to hit Wehen on the counter. Emil Holten's clinical finish in the 4th minute proved decisive, and their 4-3-3 formation allowed them to stay compact defensively, especially after being reduced to ten men. The visitors' resilience was tested after the red card, but they defended with determination and organization, limiting Wehen to few clear opportunities. Their ability to manage the game's tempo and frustrate the home side was key to securing all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Wehen lined up in a 3-4-2-1, seeking to control the midfield and utilize wingbacks for width. After conceding early, they pushed their wingbacks higher and committed more men forward, especially after Rostock's red card. However, their attacks often broke down in the final third due to Rostock's compact low block. Rostock's 4-3-3 provided early width and attacking impetus, but after the sending off, they reverted to a more conservative shape. Their midfield dropped deeper, and the wide forwards tracked back, effectively forming a 4-4-1. This disciplined approach frustrated Wehen and allowed Rostock to preserve their slender lead.
Turning Point
The red card to Hansa Rostock in the second half, which forced them to defend deep and allowed Wehen to dominate possession, but ultimately Wehen could not capitalize.
Man of the Match
Emil Holten
His early goal proved decisive, and his work rate set the tone for Rostock's resilient display.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.80
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS: Yes
40%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
SV Wehen vs Hansa Rostock Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: SV Wehen vs Hansa Rostock?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: SV Wehen vs Hansa Rostock(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 4
Model probability for BTTS 'yes' (0.37) is substantially higher than the implied probability from odds (0.25), and both teams have shown goal potential in recent matches and H2H history.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 4
Season over 2.5 goal % is 48% for Wehen and 62% for Rostock; model probability (0.36) is above the implied probability (0.25), suggesting value.
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More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This SV Wehen vs Hansa Rostock Prediction
Hansa Rostock visit SV Wehen in a clash between two teams in the upper half of the 3. Liga. Wehen are strong at home (10W in 14), but Rostock are one of the league's best away sides (6W, 6D, 2L). Recent form slightly favors Rostock, who have scored freely and come off a 5-1 win. Wehen have been solid but less prolific, and their recent matches have trended lower scoring. H2H is balanced but recent meetings have often seen at least two goals. Expect a tight contest with Rostock's attack likely to edge it.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Hansa Rostock have scored 2.2 goals per game in their last 5, Wehen just 1.0.
Defence
- →Both teams have a clean sheet rate of 34%, but both have also failed to score in 2 of their last 5.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Wehen's home record is strong (10W/14), but Rostock's away record is also excellent (only 2 losses).
- →Recent H2H: last meeting was 3-0 Rostock; overall H2H is close (5-4 to Wehen).
- →League standings: Both teams are in the promotion race, with Rostock 5th and Wehen 8th.
- →Bookmaker odds heavily favor Rostock, but model sees draw as plausible.
🚩 SV Wehen vs Hansa Rostock Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 7 corners for SV Wehen and 5.8 for Hansa Rostock, for an expected total of 12.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (82%). Over 8.5: 89% · Over 10.5: 73%.
How SV Wehen and Hansa Rostock Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
SV Wehen vs Hansa Rostock Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
SV Wehenlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Hansa Rostocklast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
SV Wehen vs Hansa Rostock — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.8 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
What History Says: SV Wehen vs Hansa Rostock
SV Wehen vs Hansa Rostock Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
SV Wehen wins
1
Draws
4
Hansa Rostock wins
Things to Watch: SV Wehen vs Hansa Rostock
- ⚠️Missing detailed shots/corners/fouls data for recent matches reduces confidence in set piece and discipline markets.
- ⚠️Some averages (shots, corners, cards) are based on incomplete data.
- ⚠️Recent form for both teams includes some low-scoring matches, increasing variance in goal markets.
- ⚠️Predicted probabilities are model-based and not guarantees; always consider market movement and late team news.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SV Wehen vs Hansa Rostock: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 March 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.