Tadley Calleva vs Dartford Predictions
FA Cup · England
Tadley Calleva
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Dartford
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Dartford Win
Recommended Bets: Tadley Calleva vs Dartford
Tadley Calleva vs Dartford: Match Preview
Tadley Calleva enter this FA Cup tie buoyed by a three-match winning streak, having dispatched Bishop's Cleeve and Laverstock & Ford in recent rounds. Their form string of 'WWWLW' reflects a side on the rise, but this run has largely come against lower-tier opposition, and their defensive record—one goal conceded per match over the last five—suggests they remain vulnerable against higher-calibre attacks. Dartford, meanwhile, arrive in even hotter form, unbeaten in five and riding a four-game winning streak that has seen them net 12 goals and keep three clean sheets. Their recent 4-2 win over Hayes & Yeading United underlines both their attacking potency and their ability to handle knockout pressure.
Tactically, this matchup pits Tadley Calleva's steady but unspectacular defence against a Dartford side averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last five. Dartford have shown a knack for striking early, with three first-half goals in that span, and have failed to score only once in their last ten competitive fixtures. Tadley Calleva's attack has been effective at home, but their defensive numbers—particularly against sides with pace and movement—raise questions about their ability to contain Dartford's multi-pronged threat. With both teams' recent cup ties tending towards high-scoring affairs, the over 2.5 goals market looks well supported by the data.
The model expects Dartford's superior momentum and attacking depth to prove decisive, projecting a 2-1 away win. Tadley Calleva's recent run gives them hope, but the underlying numbers favour Dartford, especially given their ability to keep clean sheets and score on the road. The main caveat is the lack of direct head-to-head or league context, which injects a degree of risk into the forecast if Tadley's home form is underappreciated or Dartford's streak is overvalued.
How Tadley Calleva and Dartford Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Tadley Calleva vs Dartford Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Tadley Callevalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Dartfordlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Dartford are in the midst of a remarkable run, unbeaten in five and victorious in their last four, with a 2.4 goals-per-game average and three clean sheets. Tadley Calleva have also found form, stringing together three consecutive wins, but their defensive numbers are less convincing, having conceded in three of those matches. Momentum is clearly with Dartford, whose recent results suggest a side hitting peak performance at just the right time.
Tadley Calleva vs Dartford — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Tadley Calleva vs Dartford Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Tadley Calleva vs Dartford that most previews miss.
- 1Dartford have won four on the bounce, scoring at least twice in each of their last three matches.
- 2Tadley Calleva have conceded in three of their last five, despite winning all three.
- 3Dartford have opened the scoring before the 30th minute in two of their last three away games.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Tadley Calleva vs Dartford Prediction
Momentum is the defining theme as Tadley Calleva and Dartford clash in the FA Cup, with both sides riding multi-game unbeaten streaks. Tadley Calleva have stitched together three straight wins, including a resilient 1-0 away victory at Bishop's Cleeve, but Dartford's recent form is even more emphatic: four consecutive wins, 12 goals scored, and three clean sheets in their last five outings. Both teams have shown they can find the net, but Dartford's step up in opposition and consistency on the road mark them out as the side with the stronger upward trajectory. Statistically, Dartford's attack has been the sharper of the two, averaging 2.4 goals per game over their last five and spreading their scoring threat across both halves (three first-half, two second-half goals in recent matches). Tadley Calleva have been less prolific but still effective, averaging 1.8 goals per game, though they've also conceded at a rate of 1.0 per match in that span. Defensive solidity could be a concern for the hosts, especially given Dartford's ability to score early and control matches from the front. With both teams' most recent cup ties producing over 2.5 goals, the data points to a contest where attacking momentum may trump defensive caution. The model expects Dartford's superior firepower and current four-match winning streak to tilt the balance, forecasting a 2-1 away win. Tadley Calleva's recent run has been impressive, but the underlying numbers suggest Dartford's form is more sustainable, particularly given their ability to keep clean sheets and score multiple goals away from home. However, Tadley's home resilience and cup pedigree mean an upset can't be entirely discounted if Dartford's attack stutters.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Dartford are unbeaten in their last five, with four straight wins and a 2.4 goals-per-game average.
Defence
- →Tadley Calleva have won three in a row but have conceded in three of their last five matches.
- →Dartford have kept three clean sheets in their last five, while Tadley Calleva have managed two.
Where the Model Sees Value: Tadley Calleva vs Dartford(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Dartford Win
Dartford arrive on a four-match winning streak, averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last five and keeping three clean sheets, while Tadley Calleva's run, though impressive, has come against weaker opposition and their defensive numbers (1.0 conceded per match last five) are less convincing.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have shown attacking intent recently (Tadley Calleva 1.8, Dartford 2.4 goals per game last five), and three of their last five combined matches have gone over 2.5 goals.
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More FA Cup Predictions
Things to Watch: Tadley Calleva vs Dartford
- ⚠️No head-to-head or league standings data is available, increasing uncertainty about the true gap between the sides.
- ⚠️Absence of shots, possession, and set-piece data limits the ability to assess underlying performance.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are not available, so value calculations cannot be completed.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Tadley Calleva 1–2 DartfordThe model calls a 2-1 win for Dartford, with their four-match winning streak and 2.4 goals-per-game average the standout factors. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Tadley Calleva's home advantage and cup resilience allow them to frustrate Dartford's attack or capitalise on set pieces, particularly given the lack of granular data on either side's defensive structure.
Tadley Calleva vs Dartford: Common Questions
Who will win Tadley Calleva vs Dartford?
Dartford are rated 45% likely to win, compared to 24% for Tadley Calleva and 31% for the draw. Dartford's four-match winning streak and 2.4 goals per game in their last five give them the edge, but Tadley's home form and recent run mean an upset can't be ruled out.
Will Dartford's winning streak continue?
The model gives Dartford a 76% chance of avoiding defeat (double chance X2) and a 45% chance of winning outright, based on their current four-game winning streak and three clean sheets in their last five matches.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in this match?
There's a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals, with both teams averaging over 1.8 goals per game in their last five and recent cup ties tending to be high scoring.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Tadley Calleva vs Dartford: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.