Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan Predictions
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
Full Time
2 - 4
AI predicted 1 - 2
Beijing Guoan
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Beijing Guoan Win
Match Result
8/10Beijing Guoan Blitz Past Tianjin Teda in Six-Goal Thriller
Beijing Guoan produced a clinical attacking display to defeat Tianjin Teda 4-2 at the TEDA Football Stadium, seizing control with a devastating first-half performance and holding off a late rally from the hosts. The visitors struck twice before halftime, with goals in the 16th and 45th minutes, and then ruthlessly extended their lead with further strikes in the 49th and 53rd minutes, effectively putting the contest beyond reach. Tianjin Teda, set up in a defensive 5-3-2 formation, struggled to contain Guoan's incisive forward play, but mounted a spirited response late on. Goals in the 70th and 87th minutes gave the home crowd hope, yet the deficit proved insurmountable. Despite enjoying a slight edge in possession (51%) and firing 19 shots (8 on target), Teda were ultimately undone by Guoan’s ruthlessness in front of goal and efficient counter-attacking.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
2 - 4
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
16' — Goal
Zhang Yuning opens the scoring for Beijing Guoan, capitalizing on early pressure.
45' — Goal
Guoan double their lead just before halftime, seizing control of the contest.
49' — Goal
A quick restart sees Guoan extend their lead to 3-0, punishing Teda’s slow start to the second half.
53' — Goal
Guoan make it 4-0, effectively sealing the result with another incisive attack.
70' — Goal
Tianjin Teda pull one back, sparking hope of a late comeback.
87' — Goal
Alberto Quiles scores Teda’s second, but it proves only a consolation.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Beijing Guoan pick up the game’s only booking, reflecting a disciplined but combative display.
Tianjin Teda
Tianjin Teda started cautiously in a 5-3-2, but defensive frailties were exposed by Beijing Guoan’s sharp movement and clinical finishing. Falling behind early, Teda struggled to assert themselves, conceding four goals by the 53rd minute. Their attack improved in the final 20 minutes, as they pressed higher and found goals in the 70th and 87th minutes, but the comeback was too little, too late. Despite registering 19 shots and 8 on target, Teda lacked the composure and cutting edge needed to match Guoan’s efficiency. Their late surge showed character, but defensive lapses and a lack of control in midfield left them with too much ground to make up.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan delivered a masterclass in attacking efficiency, punishing Tianjin Teda with four goals in a 37-minute spell spanning both halves. Their 4-4-2 setup allowed for quick transitions and effective use of the flanks, while their front two consistently troubled the Teda backline. Guoan were clinical, converting 6 shots on target from 9 attempts, and showed composure in managing the game after building a commanding lead. A slight dip in intensity allowed Teda to pull two goals back late on, but Guoan’s early dominance and tactical discipline ensured the three points. The midfield’s balance and the forwards’ movement were key to their success.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Tianjin Teda’s 5-3-2 formation was designed for defensive solidity, but the wing-backs struggled to contain Guoan’s width and the back three were often exposed by the visitors’ quick transitions. Teda’s midfield trio found themselves outnumbered in crucial moments, unable to stem the tide of Guoan’s counter-attacks. The hosts only began to threaten once they pushed more men forward late on, but this left them even more vulnerable at the back. Beijing Guoan’s 4-4-2 was highly effective, with the midfield providing both defensive cover and creative impetus. Their forwards, Zhang Yuning and Fabio Abreu, stretched the Teda defense with intelligent runs, while the wingers exploited space vacated by Teda’s advancing wing-backs. Guoan’s ability to strike quickly after winning possession was the tactical hallmark of their performance.
Turning Point
Guoan’s quickfire double after halftime (49' and 53') killed off any realistic hope of a Teda comeback, putting the result beyond doubt.
Man of the Match
Zhang Yuning
Led the line superbly, opened the scoring, and set the tone for Guoan’s dominant attacking display.
Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan: Match Preview
Tianjin Teda arrive at the Olympic Sports Center Stadium with renewed confidence after stringing together four straight league wins, a run that has propelled them away from the drop zone and injected belief into their campaign. Their recent surge has been built on late goals and a newfound defensive solidity, with three clean sheets in their last five and a knack for decisive moments—five of their last eight goals have come after the 75th minute. Beijing Guoan, meanwhile, are firmly in the title race, unbeaten in five and boasting the division’s most balanced attack, with 38 goals in 21 matches and a front line firing on all cylinders.
This contest is likely to be decided by the battle between Teda’s improved but still occasionally fragile defence and Guoan’s multi-faceted attack. While Teda’s home record is middling (three wins from ten), their recent defensive numbers—just 0.6 goals conceded per game in the last five—are encouraging. Guoan, however, have scored in every away match this season and average 2.2 goals per game over their last five. Both sides tend to do their best work after half-time, and with both teams averaging over 12 shots per match recently, chances should come at both ends. Discipline may play a part, but neither side has been especially reckless, with both averaging under two yellow cards per game.
The model expects Beijing Guoan’s attacking variety and sustained momentum to be decisive, though Teda’s recent run means they should not be underestimated. With both teams in the habit of scoring and conceding, a 2-1 away win is the likeliest outcome, but a high-scoring draw is also a plausible scenario if Teda’s late-game magic continues.
How Tianjin Teda and Beijing Guoan Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Tianjin Tedalast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Beijing Guoanlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
In exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Tianjin Teda enter this match in their best form of the season, having won four straight and conceded just three goals in that run. Beijing Guoan are also on a strong trajectory, unbeaten in five league matches and having scored 11 times in that span. Both sides are playing with confidence, but Guoan's consistency and attacking output are slightly superior.
Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan that most previews miss.
- 1Tianjin Teda have scored eight of their last ten goals after half-time, highlighting a strong second-half surge.
- 2Beijing Guoan have seen both teams score in four of their last five league matches, with a total of 13 goals in that span.
- 3The last three H2H meetings have averaged 4.7 goals per game, with both teams scoring in each.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan?
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The Case For This Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan Prediction
Tianjin Teda come into this clash riding a wave of four straight league victories, a run that has transformed their season and lifted them out of the relegation mire. That surge has seen them average two goals per game while conceding just three times in five matches, and their late-game heroics—five of their last eight goals have come after the 75th minute—have become a defining feature. Beijing Guoan, meanwhile, sit comfortably in the top three and have found their own rhythm, unbeaten in five (WWDWD) and fresh from a 4-0 dismantling of Sichuan Jiuniu. Their attack, led by Zhang Yuning and Fabio Abreu, has been relentless, with 38 goals in 21 matches and 2.2 per game over their last five. The tactical battle here will likely hinge on Tianjin Teda’s ability to contain Beijing’s multi-pronged attack. While Teda’s defence has improved—three clean sheets in their last five—their season-long home record remains patchy (15 goals conceded in 10). Beijing Guoan’s away form (14 goals scored in 9) is solid, and their recent games have seen both teams score in four of five. Statistically, both sides are more productive after the break: Teda have scored eight of their last ten after half-time, while Guoan split their eleven recent goals almost evenly between halves. Set pieces may play a role, with Teda averaging 4.6 corners per game in their last five, but Beijing’s discipline (just 1.4 yellows per game recently) could limit cheap opportunities. The model expects Beijing Guoan’s superior attacking depth and recent momentum to edge a high-tempo encounter. While Teda’s form surge is real, their underlying shot and possession numbers (just 47.2% possession, 3.6 shots on target per game) suggest their run may be slightly outpacing performance. Guoan’s greater consistency and ability to score in multiple ways tip the balance, but with both sides in scoring form, a 2-1 away win—with goals at both ends—looks the likeliest outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Beijing Guoan are unbeaten in five (WWDWD), scoring 11 goals and failing to score only once in their last 10 Super League games.
Defence
- →Tianjin Teda have won four consecutive league matches, scoring 10 and conceding just 3 in that run.
Match Context
- →Both teams have scored in four of Beijing Guoan's last five league matches.
Where the Model Sees Value: Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Beijing Guoan Win
Beijing Guoan have lost just once in their last eight league matches and average 2.2 goals per game over their last five, while Tianjin Teda's home record is a modest three wins in ten and they have conceded in four of their last five at home. The visitors' momentum and attacking depth give them the edge.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams have scored in four of Beijing Guoan's last five league matches and Tianjin Teda have found the net in four straight, with both sides averaging at least two goals scored per game over that span.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides' recent matches have trended over: Tianjin Teda have seen at least three goals in four of their last five, while Beijing Guoan's last two have produced a combined nine goals.
Read more ↓
More Super League Predictions
🚩 Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.6 corners for Tianjin Teda and 3.8 for Beijing Guoan, for an expected total of 9.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% · Over 10.5: 34%.
What History Says: Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan hold the historical advantage, with four wins to Tianjin Teda's two in the last ten meetings. Recent encounters have been high-scoring, with the last three producing 14 goals and both teams scoring in each. The April meeting saw Teda win 4-2 away, suggesting goals are likely again.
Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Tianjin Teda wins
4
Draws
5
Beijing Guoan wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan
With no bookmaker odds available, it's not possible to identify value edges for this fixture. However, the model's probabilities suggest that away win and both teams to score would be the first places to look for value, given Beijing Guoan's attacking form and the high BTTS rate in recent matches.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value angles and expected value calculations are not possible.
- ⚠️Both teams are in strong form, increasing the unpredictability of the result.
- ⚠️Tianjin Teda's recent upturn may not be fully sustainable given their modest shot and possession numbers.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Tianjin Teda 1–2 Beijing GuoanThe model projects a 2-1 victory for Beijing Guoan, with their recent attacking output—2.2 goals per game over the last five—and unbeaten five-match streak the standout factors. The main risk is Tianjin Teda’s late-game scoring habit, which could turn the tide if Guoan fail to capitalise on their early chances.
Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan: Common Questions
Who will win Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan?
Beijing Guoan are favoured with a 45% probability of victory, compared to 25% for Tianjin Teda and 30% for the draw. Guoan's recent unbeaten run and attacking depth give them the edge, but Teda's current four-match winning streak makes this a competitive fixture.
Will both teams score in Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan?
There is a 62% probability that both teams will score, supported by the fact that both sides have scored in four of Beijing Guoan's last five matches and Tianjin Teda have netted in four consecutive games.
Can Tianjin Teda's winning streak continue against Beijing Guoan?
Tianjin Teda have won four in a row, but the model gives them only a 25% chance of victory here. Their recent results have outpaced underlying stats, and Beijing Guoan's stronger attack and league position make extending the streak difficult.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 8 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.