Tomislav vs Posušje Predictions

Tomislav
AI Predicted Score
2 - 0

Posušje
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Tomislav Win
Tomislav vs Posušje: Match Preview
Tomislav approach this friendly buoyed by a sharp upturn in attacking form, having scored 10 goals in their last four matches and notching two clean sheets at home. Their recent 4-0 and 3-0 home wins indicate a side with growing confidence and a clear sense of momentum, especially after a summer that began with a heavy defeat but quickly turned around. For Posušje, the story is the opposite: a four-match losing streak, just one goal scored in five, and a worrying inability to convert possession into chances or results. With their last away outing ending in a 1-0 defeat and little sign of an attacking spark, the visitors arrive in need of a reset.
The statistical matchup tilts heavily towards the hosts. Tomislav's last five show an average of 2.2 goals scored per game, while Posušje have averaged just 0.2 and failed to score in four of those fixtures. Tomislav also tend to start quickly, with four first-half goals recently, while Posušje have not found the net before the break in any of their last five. Defensively, Tomislav have kept two clean sheets in their last three at home, whereas Posušje's back line has conceded at least once in every recent match and kept just one clean sheet in nine games. The lack of detailed set-piece or discipline data means those factors are less likely to swing the contest.
Given these trajectories, the model expects Tomislav to assert themselves early, leveraging their attacking momentum and home advantage. Unless Posušje can break their scoring drought and shore up defensively, Tomislav are well placed to keep their run going. The likeliest scenario is a home win built on early pressure and a disciplined defensive effort, with Posušje struggling to create clear chances.
How Tomislav and Posušje Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Tomislav vs Posušje Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Tomislav arrive in strong form, winning two of their last three and scoring 10 times in their last four matches, including a 4-0 and 3-0 home victory. Posušje, by contrast, are on a four-match losing streak, scoring only once in their last five and failing to find the net in four of those. The home side's momentum is in stark contrast to the away team's ongoing struggles.
Tomislav vs Posušje — Last 9 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.2 goals/game
Tomislav vs Posušje Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Tomislav vs Posušje that most previews miss.
- 1Tomislav have scored first in four of their last five matches, with three goals before the 30th minute.
- 2Posušje have failed to score in the first half in each of their last five games.
- 3Tomislav's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in four of their last five, averaging four total goals per game.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS: Yes
53%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Tomislav vs Posušje Prediction
Tomislav enter this friendly with a surge in attacking confidence, having netted 10 times in their last four competitive outings and recording two clean sheets in that span. Their recent 4-0 home win and a 3-0 victory highlight a side that has found its rhythm, especially in front of their own fans. In contrast, Posušje are mired in a four-match losing streak, having scored just once in their last five matches and failing to find the net in four of those. The away side's struggles in front of goal are compounded by a leaky defence that has conceded at least once in every recent outing. Statistically, Tomislav's attack is averaging 2.2 goals per game over their last five, while Posušje's blunt forward line has mustered just 0.2 per match in the same period. The home side also show a tendency to start quickly, with four first-half goals in their last five, while Posušje have not scored before the break in that stretch. Defensively, Tomislav's two clean sheets in their last three at home contrast sharply with Posušje's 1.4 goals conceded per game recently, and a season record of just one clean sheet in nine matches. Set-piece and discipline data is limited, but neither side has shown a particular tendency for cards or corners in the available stats. Given the trajectories, the model expects Tomislav's momentum to carry them to a controlled win, likely built on an early breakthrough and a disciplined defensive display. Posušje's lack of attacking threat and ongoing confidence issues make it difficult to see them mounting a comeback if they fall behind. Unless Tomislav regress sharply from their recent form, the home side look poised to capitalise on their momentum.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Posušje are on a four-match losing streak, failing to score in four of those games.
Attack
- →Tomislav's attack is averaging 2.2 goals per game over the last five, while Posušje's is at 0.2.
Defence
- →Tomislav have scored 10 goals in their last four matches, including two home clean sheets.
Where the Model Sees Value: Tomislav vs Posušje(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Tomislav Win
Tomislav have scored 10 goals in their last four competitive matches and kept two clean sheets, while Posušje have failed to score in four of their last five and are on a four-match losing streak. The momentum is clearly with the home side.
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BTTS: No
Posušje have failed to score in four of their last five, and Tomislav kept clean sheets in two of their last three at home. The away side's attack is misfiring badly.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Tomislav's last five matches average four goals per game (scored 11, conceded 9), and their matches have gone over 2.5 in four of the last five.
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What History Says: Tomislav vs Posušje
The only previous meeting between these sides finished 1-1 in the Cup, suggesting a balanced contest historically. However, with both teams' recent form diverging sharply, that result is less instructive for the current matchup.
Tomislav vs Posušje Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Tomislav wins
1
Draws
0
Posušje wins
Things to Watch: Tomislav vs Posušje
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value calculations and expected value are not provided.
- ⚠️Limited data on shots, possession, corners, and cards restricts depth of tactical analysis.
- ⚠️Friendlies can feature experimental lineups and variable motivation, increasing unpredictability.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Tomislav 2–0 PosušjeThe model projects a 2-0 win for Tomislav, with the single strongest data point being Posušje's four-match losing streak and just one goal scored in their last five. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Tomislav's recent attacking surge proves unsustainable in a friendly setting, or if Posušje finally snap their scoring drought against the run of form.
Tomislav vs Posušje: Common Questions
Who will win Tomislav vs Posušje?
Tomislav are rated 48% likely to win, with the draw at 32% and Posušje just 20%. The home side's recent form—10 goals in four matches and two clean sheets—contrasts sharply with Posušje's four straight losses and just one goal scored in five.
Will both teams score in Tomislav vs Posušje?
The model gives just a 28% chance of both teams scoring, as Posušje have failed to score in four of their last five, while Tomislav have kept two clean sheets in their last three at home.
Can Tomislav's attacking run continue?
Tomislav have averaged 2.2 goals per game over their last five and scored at least three in three of their last four. With Posušje conceding 1.4 per game recently and struggling to keep clean sheets, the data supports Tomislav's attack staying productive.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Tomislav vs Posušje: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.