Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Premier LeaguePremier League · Wales
high confidence
Trefelin

Trefelin

Full Time

0 - 4

AI predicted 1 - 2

Cambrian & Clydach

Cambrian & Clydach

🗓️ Tuesday, 15 Sept 2026 at 19:45 BST (venue time) · 18:45 UTC (your time)📍 Ynys Park, Cwmafan

Win Probability (1X2)

Trefelin 17%Draw 27%Cambrian & Clydach 56%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Cambrian & Clydach Win

Match Result

7/10

Cambrian & Clydach Cruise Past Trefelin with Emphatic 4-0 Away Win

Cambrian & Clydach delivered a commanding performance on the road, sweeping aside Trefelin 4-0 in a one-sided Premier League encounter. The visitors established their dominance early, opening the scoring in the 27th minute before adding three more in the second half to put the result beyond doubt. Trefelin struggled to gain a foothold throughout, unable to respond to Cambrian & Clydach's relentless attacking play. After a measured start, Cambrian & Clydach's breakthrough before the half-hour mark set the tone for the rest of the match. They returned from the break with renewed purpose, doubling their lead in the 58th minute and piling on further misery with late goals in the 74th and 79th minutes. Both sides saw a player booked, but the visitors' clinical finishing and control ensured there was never any doubt about the outcome.

🔥 AI Prediction Report

CERTIFIED W

Predicted

1 - 2

⚡

Actual

0 - 4

✅Result
✅BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results1/1 hit

1x2 — Cambrian & Clydach
❓
over_under_2_5 — Over 2.5
✅

Key Moments

27' — Goal

Cambrian & Clydach open the scoring, seizing early control.

58' — Goal

The visitors double their lead, putting Trefelin under immense pressure.

74' — Goal

Cambrian & Clydach add a third, effectively sealing the result.

79' — Goal

A fourth goal puts the icing on the cake for the visitors.

Unknown' — Yellow Card

Both teams receive a booking in an otherwise disciplined match.

Trefelin

Trefelin

3.5/10

Trefelin endured a torrid evening, conceding four goals without reply and rarely threatening to alter the course of the match. Unable to stem the tide of Cambrian & Clydach's attacks, the hosts looked second best in all departments and struggled to create meaningful chances. Their defensive frailties were exposed repeatedly, particularly after the interval as the visitors turned the screw. A solitary yellow card summed up a frustrating night for Trefelin, whose lack of attacking impetus and defensive resilience will be a concern moving forward.

Weaknesses

Defensive organizationLack of attacking threatStruggled to regain momentum after conceding
Cambrian & Clydach

Cambrian & Clydach

8.5/10

Cambrian & Clydach produced a ruthless display, dispatching Trefelin with four well-taken goals and maintaining control throughout the contest. Their ability to strike at key moments—first before halftime, then with three second-half goals—highlighted their clinical edge. The visitors managed the tempo effectively, rarely allowing Trefelin a way back into the match. A yellow card was the only blemish on an otherwise disciplined performance. Cambrian & Clydach's attacking fluidity and defensive solidity were both on show as they secured a statement away victory.

Key Players

Unknown (Scorers not specified): Scored in the 27th, 58th, 74th, and 79th minutes to seal the win

Strengths

Clinical finishingGame managementDefensive discipline

Weaknesses

Picked up a yellow card

Tactical Analysis

With detailed lineups and formations unavailable, Cambrian & Clydach's approach was clearly effective—pressing high, exploiting Trefelin's defensive vulnerabilities, and maintaining attacking width. Their ability to score at regular intervals suggests a well-drilled side capable of shifting gears and capitalizing on opposition lapses. The visitors' defensive discipline, marred only by a single booking, kept Trefelin at bay and allowed their attacking players to flourish. Trefelin, meanwhile, struggled to adapt, unable to find answers either in defense or attack. Their inability to respond after conceding the first goal left them chasing the game, and any tactical adjustments failed to stem the Cambrian & Clydach tide.

Turning Point

Cambrian & Clydach's second goal in the 58th minute—doubling the lead and breaking Trefelin's resistance—proved decisive.

Man of the Match

Unknown (Cambrian & Clydach goalscorer(s))

Instrumental in scoring multiple goals to secure a dominant away victory.

Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach: Match Preview

Trefelin enter this fixture rooted near the foot of the table, winless after seven rounds and boasting the league's most porous defence (18 conceded). Their recent form string (DLDLL) reflects a side unable to build momentum, with two draws in their last three offering scant consolation. Cambrian & Clydach, by contrast, sit mid-table with nine points, having drawn their last two but showing a more balanced output in both attack and defence.

The statistical shape of the contest is clear: Trefelin's attack has produced just three goals in seven games (0.43 per match), and their home output is even lower (one goal in three). Cambrian & Clydach average 1.43 goals scored and conceded per game, with their matches going over 2.5 goals in 71% of cases. Trefelin's inability to keep a clean sheet (0% clean sheet rate) and Cambrian & Clydach's tendency to score in the second half (7 of their last 8 goals after the break) suggest the visitors will have opportunities, especially as Trefelin's discipline (multiple matches with 4+ yellows) could invite set-piece danger.

The model expects Cambrian & Clydach to control proceedings, leveraging their superior attacking rates against a Trefelin side that struggles to create or contain. While the visitors' away form is mixed, the underlying rates point to a 2-1 win for Cambrian & Clydach, with the likeliest alternative being a low-scoring draw if Trefelin can frustrate early.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Trefelin1.05

Expected goals · model says 1.05

Cambrian & Clydach1.90

Expected goals · model says 1.90

Win Probability
Trefelin 21% Draw 22% Cambrian & Clydach 57%

Over 2.5 Goals

57%

BTTS: Yes

55%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
17%
27%
56%
Trefelin 17%Draw 27%Cambrian & Clydach 56%
Both Teams to Score
49%
51%
Yes 49%No 51%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
58%
42%
Over 2.5 58%Under 2.5 42%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach that most previews miss.

  • 1Cambrian & Clydach's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 this season (71%).
  • 2Trefelin have scored just once in three home games and conceded seven at home.
  • 3Seven of the last ten H2H meetings have produced four or more goals.

Who do you think wins: Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach Prediction

This fixture pits a Trefelin side still searching for their first win of the campaign against a Cambrian & Clydach outfit sitting mid-table with a balanced record. Trefelin have struggled at both ends, scoring just three times in seven matches and conceding 18, while Cambrian & Clydach arrive off back-to-back draws but with a far healthier goal difference and nine points accrued. Statistically, the matchup is defined by Trefelin's blunt attack (0.43 goals per game) and leaky defence (2.57 conceded per match), which stands in stark contrast to Cambrian & Clydach's more robust output (1.43 scored, 1.43 conceded). The visitors' away record (6 goals in 4 games) and the high rate of over 2.5 goals in their matches (71%) suggest a contest likely to feature scoring chances, especially as Trefelin have managed just one goal at home all season. Set-piece and card data is limited, but Trefelin's recent discipline issues (multiple matches with 4+ yellows) could factor in a tight contest. The model expects Cambrian & Clydach's superior attacking rates and Trefelin's porous defence to dictate the flow, projecting a 2-1 away win. The main risk to this outcome is Cambrian & Clydach's inconsistency on the road (just one away win from four), but the underlying rates point to the visitors converting their chances against a struggling home backline.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Trefelin have scored only 0.43 goals per game and conceded 2.57 per game this season.
  • →Trefelin have failed to keep a clean sheet in any match this season.

Match Context

  • →Cambrian & Clydach's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 71% of fixtures.

How Trefelin and Cambrian & Clydach Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

TrefelinTrefelinlast 5 matches
L. Phillips
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

C. Saunders
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

L. Caramella-Gerrard
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydachlast 5 matches
L. Eason
5 goals in 5
100%

In exceptional form

A. John
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

H. Bright
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

D. Edwards
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Trefelin's form is dire, with no wins in seven and a goal difference of -15; their last five show two draws and three defeats, conceding 12 in that span. Cambrian & Clydach have steadied after a slow start, taking five points from their last three and scoring at least twice in each of their last two games.

Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach — Last 9 Matches

TrefelinTrefelinLast 9 results
L0-4
L0-1
D1-1
L1-2
D1-1
L0-2
L0-6
L0-4
L0-2
Lvs Cambrian & Clydach0-4
Lvs Penybont0-1
D@ Holywell1-1
L@ Haverfordwest County AFC1-2
Dvs Ammanford AFC1-1
Lvs Caernarfon Town0-2
L@ GAP Connah S Quay FC0-6
Lvs Llandudno0-4
L@ Colwyn Bay0-2

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
  • −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & ClydachLast 9 results
W4-0
W2-1
D2-2
D2-2
L0-3
W3-0
W1-0
D1-1
L1-2
W@ Trefelin4-0
Wvs Holywell2-1
D@ Cardiff MET2-2
Dvs Penybont2-2
L@ GAP Connah S Quay FC0-3
W@ Haverfordwest County AFC3-0
Wvs Flint Town United1-0
Dvs Briton Ferry1-1
L@ Barry Town1-2

Strengths

  • +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 77.78% of games this season

What History Says: Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach

The head-to-head record is even (4 wins each, 2 draws in the last ten), but Cambrian & Clydach have enjoyed recent success away to Trefelin, including a 4-0 win in March. High-scoring encounters are common, with seven of the last ten featuring four or more goals.

Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

4

Trefelin wins

1

Draws

5

Cambrian & Clydach wins

40%10% draws50%
15 Sept 26Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach0-4
17 Mar 26Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach0-4
10 Oct 25Cambrian & Clydach vs Trefelin0-2
28 Feb 25Cambrian & Clydach vs Trefelin1-3
2 Nov 24Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach5-2
20 Apr 24Cambrian & Clydach vs Trefelin0-0

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach

With no bookmaker odds available, value cannot be explicitly calculated. However, the model's strong away win probability (56%) and high over 2.5 goals rate (58%) would typically warrant close attention if market prices implied lower probabilities.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Trefelin Win3.9017.0%-8.6%
Draw3.9027.0%+1.4%
Cambrian & Clydach Win1.6756.0%-3.9%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.6758.0%-1.9%
Under 2.52.1542.0%-4.5%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yes1.6749.0%-10.9%
Novalue2.1051.0%+3.4%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.90EV +0.053
Both Teams Score: No @ 2.10EV +0.071

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be quantified.
  • ⚠️Lack of shot, possession, and set-piece data reduces confidence in secondary market predictions.
  • ⚠️Cambrian & Clydach's away record is not dominant (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses).

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Trefelin 1–2 Cambrian & Clydach

The model projects a 2-1 away win for Cambrian & Clydach, underpinned by Trefelin's league-worst defensive rate (2.57 goals conceded per game) and the visitors' consistent attacking output. The biggest threat to this outcome is Cambrian & Clydach's patchy away form, but the statistical gap between the sides is significant.

Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach: Common Questions

Who will win Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach?

Cambrian & Clydach are favoured with a 56% probability of victory, compared to 17% for Trefelin and 27% for the draw. This is driven by the visitors' superior scoring rate and Trefelin's defensive frailty.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach?

There is a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals, supported by Cambrian & Clydach's 71% over 2.5 rate this season and Trefelin's high concession average.

Will both teams score in Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach?

The model gives a near-even split: 49% for both teams to score, 51% for at least one side to keep a clean sheet. Trefelin's attack is weak, but Cambrian & Clydach concede 1.43 per game, so a narrow BTTS edge to 'no'.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 9 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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