Villarreal vs Levante Predictions
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Levante
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
7.6/10Villarreal Outclass Levante in 3-1 Home Triumph at Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal delivered a commanding performance at Estadio de la Cerámica, dispatching Levante 3-1 in a match defined by their dominance in possession and attacking intent. The hosts controlled the tempo from the outset, registering 62% possession and firing 21 shots, seven of which tested Levante goalkeeper Mathew Ryan. After a cagey opening, Villarreal broke the deadlock in the 41st minute, only for Levante to respond instantly with a goal of their own a minute later, setting up an intriguing second half. However, Villarreal's quality shone through after the break. They restored their lead in the 54th minute and, despite Levante's attempts to claw back into the contest, sealed the points with a late third goal in the 86th minute. Levante struggled to create meaningful chances, managing just one shot on target, and were largely second-best throughout the afternoon.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
3 - 1
Key Moments
41' — Goal
Villarreal open the scoring after sustained pressure, breaking Levante’s resistance.
42' — Goal
Levante respond immediately, leveling the scores with their only shot on target.
54' — Goal
Villarreal restore their lead early in the second half, capitalizing on their dominance.
86' — Goal
Villarreal seal the victory with a late third goal, ending any hopes of a Levante comeback.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Both sides pick up bookings in a competitive midfield battle.
Villarreal
Villarreal were in control for most of the match, dictating play with 62% possession and a relentless attacking approach that yielded 21 shots. Their midfield diamond formation provided both stability and creativity, allowing them to transition smoothly from defense to attack. The hosts responded well to Levante’s brief equalizer, showing resilience and tactical discipline to regain and extend their lead. Defensively, Villarreal were largely untroubled, conceding just one shot on target. Their ability to press high and recover the ball quickly limited Levante’s opportunities, while their wide play and set-piece threat kept the visitors on the back foot.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Levante
Levante struggled to impose themselves, spending much of the match chasing the ball and defending deep. Their 4-3-3 formation failed to yield attacking fluency, as they managed only six shots and just one on target. While they showed spirit to equalize immediately after falling behind, they were unable to build on that momentum and rarely threatened Villarreal's goal thereafter. Defensively, Levante were overrun in wide areas and struggled to contain Villarreal’s midfield runners. Their passing was often rushed under pressure, and they failed to make the most of the few set-piece opportunities they had.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Villarreal’s 4-1-2-1-2 diamond formation allowed them to control central areas and overload Levante’s midfield. Their full-backs provided width, stretching Levante’s 4-3-3 and creating space for runners from midfield. The hosts pressed aggressively, forcing Levante into mistakes and regaining possession high up the pitch. Set pieces were a particular strength, with Villarreal winning seven corners and threatening from dead-ball situations. Levante’s 4-3-3 setup was intended to provide balance but instead left them outnumbered in the center and vulnerable to Villarreal’s pressing. Their wingers were forced deep, limiting attacking support for Iván Romero. Substitutions did little to alter the tactical landscape, as Villarreal maintained their grip on the match.
Turning Point
Villarreal’s second goal in the 54th minute, which restored their lead and shifted momentum decisively in their favor.
Man of the Match
Alberto Moleiro
Pulled the strings in midfield, driving Villarreal’s attacks and providing creativity throughout.
Villarreal vs Levante: Match Preview
Villarreal enter this fixture under pressure, winless in four league matches (LLDD) and leaking goals at a rate of 2.0 per game. Their only home outing was a 2-3 defeat, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet this season. Levante, by contrast, sit four places higher in the table with five points, but their away record is notably blunt: three matches, no goals scored, and three conceded.
Statistically, this match is shaped by Villarreal's attacking activity versus Levante's defensive structure. Villarreal average 14.8 shots and 6 on target per game over their last five, but their conversion rate has been poor and they have failed to translate possession (58.6%) into results. Levante's away matches are low-event affairs, with just 9 shots and 2.8 on target per game, and a clean sheet rate of 50%. Both sides have seen under 2.5 goals in half their league games, and Levante's matches away from home average just 1 goal per 90.
Given these rates, the model projects a low-scoring, evenly matched contest. Villarreal's defensive issues are offset by Levante's toothless away attack, while neither side's underlying numbers support a high-scoring outcome. A 1-1 draw is the modal result, with the balance of probabilities narrowly favouring under 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS: Yes
51%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Villarreal vs Levante Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Villarreal vs Levante that most previews miss.
- 1Levante have failed to score in all three away league matches this season, with a combined away xG under 1.5.
- 2Villarreal's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of league games, but their last two have both finished with exactly two goals.
- 3The last five head-to-heads at Villarreal have produced four home wins and an average of 3.2 total goals.
Who do you think wins: Villarreal vs Levante?
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The Case For This Villarreal vs Levante Prediction
Villarreal's defensive frailty has defined their early season, conceding two goals per game and sitting winless after four rounds. Levante have been more robust at the back, especially away, but have yet to score a single away goal in the league. The underlying rates point to a low-scoring contest, with both sides averaging under 1.5 goals scored per game and Levante's away matches producing just three total goals in three outings. The likeliest outcome is a tight, attritional draw, with neither attack showing enough to tilt the balance decisively.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average 1.5 or fewer goals scored per game in La Liga so far.
Defence
- →Villarreal's season clean sheet rate is 0% and they concede 2.0 goals per game.
Match Context
- →Levante have not scored in any of their three away league matches this season.
🚩 Villarreal vs Levante Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.4 corners for Villarreal and 4 for Levante, for an expected total of 10.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 71% · Over 10.5: 46%.
How Villarreal and Levante Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Villarreal vs Levante Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Villarreallast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Levantelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Villarreal are winless in their last five competitive matches, losing three straight before drawing two, and have conceded at least twice in four of those games. Levante have been steadier, with one win, two draws, and a single defeat in their last four league outings, but their attack has been non-existent away from home.
Villarreal vs Levante — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 59% avg
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Villarreal vs Levante
Villarreal have a strong recent record against Levante, winning six of the last ten meetings and scoring five goals in two of the last three home games. However, the last competitive meeting saw Villarreal win 1-0, and Levante have rarely threatened in recent visits.
Villarreal vs Levante Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
Villarreal wins
2
Draws
2
Levante wins
Things to Watch: Villarreal vs Levante
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value or edge calculations can be made.
- ⚠️Small sample size (4 league matches each) limits confidence in season-long rates.
- ⚠️Levante's 5-goal home outburst may distort their overall attack numbers.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Villarreal 1–1 LevanteA 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome, driven by Levante's inability to score away from home and Villarreal's defensive vulnerability. The single strongest data point is Levante's zero away goals in three league matches. The biggest risk to this projection is Villarreal's tendency for high-scoring, chaotic games at home, which could swing the match towards a more open result if early goals arrive.
Villarreal vs Levante: Common Questions
Who will win Villarreal vs Levante?
The model gives Villarreal a 37% chance of winning, Levante a 27% chance, and a draw is the most likely at 36%. Both teams have struggled to impose themselves, so a stalemate is slightly favoured.
Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Levante?
There is a 54% probability that both teams will score. Villarreal have scored in four of their last five, but Levante have failed to score in all three away league matches, so BTTS is only a marginal favourite.
Is over or under 2.5 goals more likely in Villarreal vs Levante?
Under 2.5 goals is rated at 52% probability, with both teams averaging 1.5 or fewer goals scored per game and Levante's away matches being particularly low-scoring.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Villarreal vs Levante: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 13 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.