Wealdstone vs Worthing Predictions
FA Cup · England
Wealdstone
Full Time
3 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Worthing
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Worthing Win
Match Result
7.5/10Wealdstone Blitz Worthing with Second-Half Surge in FA Cup Triumph
Wealdstone delivered a commanding second-half performance to dispatch Worthing 3-0 at St Georges Stadium and book their place in the next round of the FA Cup. After a goalless first half, the hosts found another gear after the break, netting three times in a devastating nine-minute spell that left their visitors shell-shocked. Worthing, who had matched Wealdstone for much of the opening hour, ultimately had no answer to the home side's clinical finishing and intensity. The match was a tale of two halves: a cagey, tightly contested opening 45 minutes gave way to a dominant Wealdstone display after the interval. The Stones struck in the 55th, 58th, and 64th minutes, turning a tense cup tie into a rout. Worthing's discipline faltered as frustration grew, picking up three yellow cards to Wealdstone's two, but the hosts remained composed to see out a convincing win.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
3 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
55' — Goal
Wealdstone open the scoring, breaking the deadlock after a tense first half.
58' — Goal
Wealdstone double their lead just three minutes later, seizing full momentum.
64' — Goal
A third goal for Wealdstone all but seals the tie, capping a devastating nine-minute spell.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Worthing pick up three yellows, while Wealdstone collect two, reflecting the match's physical edge.
Wealdstone
Wealdstone came alive after the break, producing a ruthless attacking display that saw them score three goals in quick succession. Their ability to shift gears in the second half was decisive, as they capitalized on their chances and maintained composure despite a physical contest. Defensively, they held firm throughout, never allowing Worthing a route back into the match.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Worthing
Worthing held their own in a tight first half, but were undone by a whirlwind spell from the hosts early in the second period. Unable to recover from conceding three quick goals, their frustrations boiled over, resulting in three yellow cards. Despite their efforts, they struggled to create clear opportunities and ultimately faded as Wealdstone took control.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With lineups and formations unavailable, the match's flow suggests Wealdstone made effective halftime adjustments, increasing their attacking impetus and pressing higher up the pitch. Their ability to overload Worthing's defensive lines after the break was key, as they exploited gaps and finished clinically. Worthing, meanwhile, appeared to lose their defensive shape after the first goal, and their attempts to chase the game left them exposed at the back. The flurry of cards indicates a physical battle in midfield, with both sides fighting for control but Wealdstone ultimately asserting dominance.
Turning Point
Wealdstone's opener in the 55th minute shattered the deadlock and sparked a relentless spell that Worthing could not withstand.
Man of the Match
Wealdstone Second-Half Attack
A devastating nine-minute spell produced three goals and decided the tie.
Wealdstone vs Worthing: Match Preview
Worthing arrive at this cup tie riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in their last five matches (WDWWW) and having notched up impressive away wins at Gateshead and Hartlepool. Their attack has been sharp, averaging 1.8 goals per game in this stretch, while their defence has conceded just four times. Wealdstone, meanwhile, have struggled to string results together, losing three of their last five and only keeping one clean sheet in that period. With both sides lacking league table context, the recent trajectory is the clearest guide to current strength.
Statistically, Worthing’s attack has been more reliable, with goals coming early—five first-half strikes in their last five matches—while Wealdstone have tended to concede first and struggle to recover. Both teams have a BTTS trend (3/5 for Wealdstone, 4/5 for Worthing), suggesting defensive vulnerabilities remain on both sides. The only recent head-to-head saw Wealdstone edge a 1-0 win away, but Worthing’s subsequent run hints at a team on the rise.
The model expects Worthing’s momentum to carry them through, predicting a 2-1 away win. Their consistent scoring, especially away from home, and Wealdstone’s inability to shut out opponents tip the balance. However, cup ties can be unpredictable, and Wealdstone’s home advantage—though unquantified—could still play a role if they rediscover their defensive discipline.
How Wealdstone and Worthing Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wealdstone vs Worthing Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Wealdstonelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Worthinglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Worthing are in the midst of a purple patch, unbeaten in five (WDWWW) and scoring at a rate of 1.8 goals per game, with away wins at Gateshead and Hartlepool underlining their current strength. Wealdstone, by contrast, have been inconsistent, losing three of their last five and conceding in four of those outings. The momentum is firmly with the visitors heading into this tie.
Wealdstone vs Worthing — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +100% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Wealdstone vs Worthing Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Wealdstone vs Worthing that most previews miss.
- 1Worthing have scored in the first half in each of their last five matches, totalling five first-half goals.
- 2Wealdstone have failed to score in just one of their last five, but have conceded in four of those outings.
- 3Both teams have seen BTTS land in 7 of their combined last 10 matches, underlining the attacking threat on both sides.
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Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Wealdstone vs Worthing Prediction
Worthing’s surge in form has put them in the driving seat for this FA Cup tie, with four wins and a draw in their last five, including two away victories. Wealdstone, by contrast, have stumbled through a patchy run, picking up just one win and suffering three defeats in the same stretch. The visitors’ attacking vibrancy and defensive discipline have set them apart in recent weeks.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Worthing’s five-match unbeaten streak (WDWWW) with 9 goals scored and just 4 conceded.
- →Wealdstone have lost three of their last five, managing only one clean sheet.
Match Context
- →Both teams have scored in 70% of their combined last 10 matches, indicating a high BTTS probability.
Where the Model Sees Value: Wealdstone vs Worthing(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Worthing Win
Worthing arrive with a five-match unbeaten run (WDWWW) and have averaged 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.8, whereas Wealdstone have lost three of their last five and conceded in four of those outings. The away side’s momentum, especially on their travels, is the defining factor.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Both teams have scored in 3 of Wealdstone’s last 5 and 4 of Worthing’s last 5, with both sides showing a tendency to concede despite their recent runs. The attacking output on both sides suggests BTTS is more likely than not.
Read more ↓
More FA Cup Predictions
What History Says: Wealdstone vs Worthing
The only recent meeting saw Wealdstone win 1-0 away at Worthing, but that result came before Worthing’s current run of form. With such a limited head-to-head sample, the broader form trajectory is a more reliable indicator for this cup clash.
Wealdstone vs Worthing Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
1
Wealdstone wins
0
Draws
1
Worthing wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Wealdstone vs Worthing
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so value calculations cannot be performed. In a typical market, the model’s strong lean towards Worthing—driven by recent form—would likely offer value if the market underestimates their momentum. BTTS also appears slightly more probable than a coin flip, and could represent value if priced above 1.70.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Wealdstone vs Worthing
- ⚠️No season-long home/away splits or league standings are available, limiting context for cup motivation and home advantage.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds are present, so value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Set-piece and discipline data are missing, reducing confidence in cards and corners predictions.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Wealdstone 1–2 WorthingThe model favours Worthing to extend their unbeaten run with a 2-1 victory, driven primarily by their recent scoring form and defensive solidity. The single strongest data point is Worthing’s 1.8 goals per game over their last five, compared to Wealdstone’s 1.2 conceded. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Wealdstone’s home advantage—absent from the data—proves decisive, or if Worthing’s streak masks underlying defensive lapses.
Wealdstone vs Worthing: Common Questions
Who will win Wealdstone vs Worthing?
Worthing are modelled as 48% likely winners, with Wealdstone at 23% and the draw at 29%. Worthing's recent five-match unbeaten run and superior goal difference in that spell give them the edge.
Will both teams score in Wealdstone vs Worthing?
There is a 58% probability of both teams scoring, supported by BTTS landing in 3 of Wealdstone's last 5 and 4 of Worthing's last 5 matches. Both sides have shown attacking consistency but defensive frailty.
Can Worthing’s unbeaten run continue in the FA Cup?
The model gives Worthing a 77% chance to avoid defeat (win or draw) in this tie, reflecting their momentum and attacking output. However, the unpredictability of cup football and Wealdstone’s home setting add a layer of risk.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wealdstone vs Worthing: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.