Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
National LeagueNational League · England
medium confidence
Wealdstone

Wealdstone

Full Time

0 - 6

AI predicted 1 - 2

Yeovil Town

Yeovil Town

🗓️ Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 15:00 BST (venue time) · 14:00 UTC (your time)📍 Grosvenor Vale, London

Win Probability (1X2)

Wealdstone 24%Draw 32%Yeovil Town 44%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Yeovil Town Win

Match Result

8.5/10

Yeovil Town Run Riot with 6-0 Rout as Wealdstone See Red Twice

Yeovil Town produced a ruthless attacking display at Grosvenor Vale, dismantling Wealdstone 6-0 in a one-sided National League encounter. The visitors took the lead in the 29th minute and never looked back, piling on five more goals as Wealdstone imploded, finishing the match with just nine men after two red cards. The contest was effectively over when Yeovil netted twice in quick succession midway through the second half, capitalizing on their numerical advantage. Wealdstone, who also picked up a yellow card, struggled to cope with the relentless pressure and were ultimately powerless to prevent Yeovil's emphatic victory.

💪 AI Prediction Report

DECENT HIT

Predicted

1 - 2

⚡

Actual

0 - 6

✅Result
❌BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results2/3 hit

1x2 — Away
✅
Over/Under 2.5 — Over
✅
BTTS — Yes
❌

Key Moments

29' — Goal

Yeovil Town open the scoring, setting the tone for the rout.

64' — Goal

Yeovil double their lead, breaking Wealdstone's resistance.

70' — Goal

Yeovil make it 3-0, as Wealdstone's discipline starts to unravel.

71' — Goal

Yeovil strike again instantly, capitalizing on Wealdstone's disarray.

84' — Goal

Yeovil add a fifth, with Wealdstone down to nine men.

90' — Goal

Yeovil cap off a dominant display with a sixth goal at the death.

Unknown' — Red Card

Wealdstone reduced to ten men after a sending off.

Unknown' — Red Card

Wealdstone see a second red card, finishing with nine players.

Unknown' — Yellow Card

Wealdstone pick up a yellow card as frustrations mount.

Unknown' — Yellow Card

Yeovil Town receive their only yellow card of the match.

Wealdstone

Wealdstone

2/10

Wealdstone endured a torrid afternoon, failing to register a goal and finishing with two players sent off. The hosts never recovered from conceding the opener, and their discipline deteriorated as the match wore on. A solitary yellow card was soon overshadowed by two reds, leaving them hopelessly exposed against Yeovil's onslaught.

Weaknesses

Poor discipline (two red cards, one yellow)Defensive frailty (conceded six goals)Unable to respond after falling behind
Yeovil Town

Yeovil Town

9.5/10

Yeovil Town were clinical and merciless, scoring six goals away from home and exploiting every weakness in the Wealdstone ranks. Their attacking play was relentless, with goals coming in waves, particularly after the hosts were reduced to nine men. The visitors maintained composure and discipline, picking up just one yellow card in a dominant performance.

Key Players

Yeovil Town Attackers: Shared six goals across the team, relentless finishing

Strengths

Clinical finishingMaintained discipline (only one yellow card)Took full advantage of numerical superiority

Weaknesses

None apparent in this match

Tactical Analysis

With lineups unavailable, the tactical story was defined by discipline and ruthlessness. Yeovil Town maintained their attacking shape throughout, pressing high and exploiting the spaces left by Wealdstone, especially after the hosts went down to nine men. The visitors' ability to keep their composure and maintain pressure led to a flurry of second-half goals. Wealdstone's tactical approach unraveled after the first red card, forcing them into damage limitation mode. The lack of numbers and defensive organization allowed Yeovil to overrun them, particularly in wide areas and during transitions. Set pieces and open play alike proved fruitful for the visitors, who were relentless until the final whistle.

Turning Point

The first red card for Wealdstone, which left them undermanned and opened the floodgates for Yeovil's second-half barrage.

Man of the Match

Yeovil Town Attackers

Collectively scored six goals and maintained relentless pressure throughout the match.

Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town: Match Preview

Wealdstone return to Grosvenor Vale sitting 17th, having picked up just one win from five at home and conceding nine in the process. Their recent form is mixed (DWLLW), though a 4-0 win over Gateshead stands out as an outlier in an otherwise leaky defensive run. Yeovil Town, sixth in the table, are unbeaten in four of their last five and have suffered only two defeats all season, with a robust away record (2W, 2D, 1L) and a +1 away goal difference.

The matchup is shaped by Yeovil’s attacking edge: they average 1.82 goals per game (7 scored in 5 away), while Wealdstone concede 1.8 per home fixture. Both teams’ matches clear the 2.5 goal line in over half their games, and BTTS has landed in 70% of their last 10 combined. Yeovil’s attack is particularly effective after half-time (5 second-half goals in last 5), while Wealdstone’s home defence has managed just one clean sheet in five.

Given these rates, the model expects Yeovil to create the better chances and edge a contest that should see goals at both ends. The likeliest scenario is a 2-1 away win, with Yeovil’s superior attacking metrics and Wealdstone’s defensive frailties at home the key drivers. The main risk is Wealdstone’s occasional attacking spikes, but the rates favour the visitors.

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Wealdstone1.20

Expected goals · model says 1.20

Yeovil Town1.60

Expected goals · model says 1.60

Win Probability
Wealdstone 29% Draw 25% Yeovil Town 47%

Over 2.5 Goals

53%

BTTS: Yes

56%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
24%
32%
44%
Wealdstone 24%Draw 32%Yeovil Town 44%
Both Teams to Score
54%
46%
Yes 54%No 46%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
56%
44%
Over 2.5 56%Under 2.5 44%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town that most previews miss.

  • 1Wealdstone have conceded at least once in four of five home games, with a home clean sheet rate of just 20%.
  • 2Yeovil Town’s away matches average 2.6 total goals, but they have scored in every away fixture so far.
  • 3Six of the last ten H2H meetings have produced under 2.5 goals, but both teams’ current over 2.5 rates are above 54%.

Who do you think wins: Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More National League Predictions

The Case For This Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town Prediction

Statistical rates point to Yeovil Town as the more consistent side, especially on the road, while Wealdstone’s home defensive record remains a liability. The goal environment is above league average, with both teams involved in frequent BTTS and over 2.5 outcomes. Expect Yeovil’s attacking efficiency to tilt a competitive match their way.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Yeovil Town average 1.82 goals scored per game this season, compared to Wealdstone’s 1.45.

Defence

  • →Wealdstone have won just once at home in five attempts, conceding 1.8 goals per home match.

Match Context

  • →Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 54.55% of their league fixtures.

How Wealdstone and Yeovil Town Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

WealdstoneWealdstonelast 5 matches
O. Olomola
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

R. Maher
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

F. Okenabirhie
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

L. Norris
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Wells-Morrison
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Cook
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Yeovil TownYeovil Townlast 5 matches
J. Powell
7 goals in 5
100%

In exceptional form

B. McGavin
4 goals in 5
80%

In exceptional form

J. Daly
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

R. Jones
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

M. Obeng
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. Spasov
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Wealdstone have alternated between heavy defeats and strong attacking displays, with a form line of DWLLW and a recent 4-0 home win offset by defensive lapses. Yeovil Town have lost just once in their last five (DWWDL), maintaining a steady points pace and scoring in every away match this season.

Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town — Last 10 Matches

WealdstoneWealdstoneLast 10 results
L0-6
L1-2
D1-1
W4-0
L1-2
L0-1
W3-1
L1-4
W2-0
D1-1
Lvs Yeovil Town0-6
L@ Barrow1-2
D@ Forest Green1-1
Wvs Gateshead4-0
L@ Tamworth1-2
Lvs FC Halifax Town0-1
W@ Boston United3-1
Lvs Kidderminster Harriers1-4
W@ Sutton Utd2-0
Dvs Carlisle1-1

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
  • −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
Yeovil TownYeovil TownLast 10 results
W6-0
W6-0
D1-1
W1-0
W4-1
D1-1
L1-4
L2-3
W3-2
W2-1
W@ Wealdstone6-0
Wvs Boston United6-0
Dvs Worthing1-1
W@ Kidderminster Harriers1-0
Wvs Solihull Moors4-1
D@ Aldershot Town1-1
Lvs AFC Fylde1-4
L@ Southend2-3
Wvs Tamworth3-2
W@ Barrow2-1

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
  • +Prolific attack — 3.6 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town

The last ten meetings are evenly split, but Yeovil Town have won their last two visits to Wealdstone without conceding. However, overall H2H trends lean low-scoring, with four 0-0 or 0-2 results in the last six, though current form suggests a more open contest.

Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

3

Wealdstone wins

3

Draws

4

Yeovil Town wins

30%30% draws40%
10 Oct 26Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town0-6
25 Mar 26Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town0-2
4 Nov 25Yeovil Town vs Wealdstone0-2
15 Feb 25Yeovil Town vs Wealdstone1-2
19 Oct 24Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town0-3
31 Jan 23Yeovil Town vs Wealdstone0-0

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town

Without bookmaker odds, value analysis is not possible for this fixture. However, the model’s strongest conviction is on Yeovil Town’s win probability and the over 2.5 goals rate, both of which exceed the implied average for this level of fixture.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Wealdstone Win2.9024.0%-10.5%
Drawvalue3.5032.0%+3.4%
Yeovil Town Win2.1544.0%-2.5%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.7356.0%-1.8%
Under 2.52.0844.0%-4.1%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yes1.6254.0%-7.7%
No2.2046.0%+0.5%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.50EV +0.120
Both Teams Score: No @ 2.20EV +0.012

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value analysis cannot be completed.
  • ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data for recent matches limits granularity.
  • ⚠️Both teams have shown volatility in recent results; single-match variance is high.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Wealdstone 1–2 Yeovil Town

Yeovil Town’s attacking rate (1.82 goals per game) and Wealdstone’s poor home defensive record (1.8 conceded per home match) point to a narrow away win, most likely 2-1. The strongest data point is Yeovil’s consistent scoring output, especially on the road. The main risk is Wealdstone’s ability to spike offensively at home, as seen in their recent 4-0 win, which could disrupt the expected pattern.

Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town: Common Questions

Who will win Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town?

The model gives Yeovil Town a 44% chance of victory, with Wealdstone at 24% and a draw at 32%. Yeovil’s superior season record and away form give them the edge, but the draw is a significant risk.

Will both teams score in Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town?

There is a 54% probability of both teams scoring. Both sides have seen BTTS land in at least 60% of their last five matches, and clean sheets have been rare for either team recently.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town?

The probability for over 2.5 goals is 56%. Both teams have seen over 2.5 in 54.55% of their league games, and their combined average goals per match is above 3.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 3 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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