Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town Predictions
National League · England
Wealdstone
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Yeovil Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Yeovil Town Win
Recommended Bets: Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town
Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town: Match Preview
Wealdstone return to Grosvenor Vale sitting 17th, having picked up just one win from five at home and conceding nine in the process. Their recent form is mixed (DWLLW), though a 4-0 win over Gateshead stands out as an outlier in an otherwise leaky defensive run. Yeovil Town, sixth in the table, are unbeaten in four of their last five and have suffered only two defeats all season, with a robust away record (2W, 2D, 1L) and a +1 away goal difference.
The matchup is shaped by Yeovil’s attacking edge: they average 1.82 goals per game (7 scored in 5 away), while Wealdstone concede 1.8 per home fixture. Both teams’ matches clear the 2.5 goal line in over half their games, and BTTS has landed in 70% of their last 10 combined. Yeovil’s attack is particularly effective after half-time (5 second-half goals in last 5), while Wealdstone’s home defence has managed just one clean sheet in five.
Given these rates, the model expects Yeovil to create the better chances and edge a contest that should see goals at both ends. The likeliest scenario is a 2-1 away win, with Yeovil’s superior attacking metrics and Wealdstone’s defensive frailties at home the key drivers. The main risk is Wealdstone’s occasional attacking spikes, but the rates favour the visitors.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town that most previews miss.
- 1Wealdstone have conceded at least once in four of five home games, with a home clean sheet rate of just 20%.
- 2Yeovil Town’s away matches average 2.6 total goals, but they have scored in every away fixture so far.
- 3Six of the last ten H2H meetings have produced under 2.5 goals, but both teams’ current over 2.5 rates are above 54%.
Who do you think wins: Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Yeovil Town Win
Yeovil Town have a superior season record (1.82 goals scored per game, 0.45 points per game more than Wealdstone) and a solid away record (2W, 2D, 1L), while Wealdstone have struggled at home (1W, 1D, 3L, 1.8 goals conceded per home game).
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 54.55% of matches this season, and their combined average goals per game sits at 3.18, suggesting a higher-than-average goal environment.
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BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 3 of Wealdstone’s last 5 and 4 of Yeovil’s last 5, with both sides showing attacking output but only a single clean sheet apiece in that span.
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More National League Predictions
The Case For This Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town Prediction
Statistical rates point to Yeovil Town as the more consistent side, especially on the road, while Wealdstone’s home defensive record remains a liability. The goal environment is above league average, with both teams involved in frequent BTTS and over 2.5 outcomes. Expect Yeovil’s attacking efficiency to tilt a competitive match their way.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Yeovil Town average 1.82 goals scored per game this season, compared to Wealdstone’s 1.45.
Defence
- →Wealdstone have won just once at home in five attempts, conceding 1.8 goals per home match.
Match Context
- →Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 54.55% of their league fixtures.
How Wealdstone and Yeovil Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Wealdstonelast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Yeovil Townlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wealdstone have alternated between heavy defeats and strong attacking displays, with a form line of DWLLW and a recent 4-0 home win offset by defensive lapses. Yeovil Town have lost just once in their last five (DWWDL), maintaining a steady points pace and scoring in every away match this season.
Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town
The last ten meetings are evenly split, but Yeovil Town have won their last two visits to Wealdstone without conceding. However, overall H2H trends lean low-scoring, with four 0-0 or 0-2 results in the last six, though current form suggests a more open contest.
Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Wealdstone wins
4
Draws
3
Yeovil Town wins
Things to Watch: Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value analysis cannot be completed.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data for recent matches limits granularity.
- ⚠️Both teams have shown volatility in recent results; single-match variance is high.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Wealdstone 1–2 Yeovil TownYeovil Town’s attacking rate (1.82 goals per game) and Wealdstone’s poor home defensive record (1.8 conceded per home match) point to a narrow away win, most likely 2-1. The strongest data point is Yeovil’s consistent scoring output, especially on the road. The main risk is Wealdstone’s ability to spike offensively at home, as seen in their recent 4-0 win, which could disrupt the expected pattern.
Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town: Common Questions
Who will win Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town?
The model gives Yeovil Town a 44% chance of victory, with Wealdstone at 24% and a draw at 32%. Yeovil’s superior season record and away form give them the edge, but the draw is a significant risk.
Will both teams score in Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town?
There is a 54% probability of both teams scoring. Both sides have seen BTTS land in at least 60% of their last five matches, and clean sheets have been rare for either team recently.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 56%. Both teams have seen over 2.5 in 54.55% of their league games, and their combined average goals per match is above 3.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.