Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye Predictions
Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 2
Henan Jianye
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Henan Jianye
Match Result
7/10Late Henan Jianye Equalizer Denies Wuhan Three Towns in Dramatic Finish
Wuhan Three Towns and Henan Jianye played out a tense 1-1 draw at the Wuhan Sports Centre, with the hosts left to rue a late lapse in concentration. Wuhan took the lead early in the second half, only for Henan Jianye to snatch a dramatic equalizer in the 90th minute, ensuring the spoils were shared. The match was fiercely contested, with Wuhan Three Towns picking up three yellow cards and a red, while Henan Jianye received two bookings. Despite Wuhan's numerical disadvantage late on, they nearly held on for all three points, but Henan's persistence paid off at the death.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
52' — Goal
Wuhan Three Towns take the lead with a well-timed goal early in the second half.
Red Card (minute unknown)' — Red Card
Wuhan Three Towns reduced to ten men, putting them under late pressure.
90' — Goal
Henan Jianye equalize in the dying moments, breaking Wuhan hearts.
Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns showed discipline and organization for much of the match, taking the lead in the 52nd minute and managing the tempo well despite a combative atmosphere. However, their aggressive approach saw them collect three yellow cards and a red, and ultimately, they could not withstand Henan Jianye's late pressure. The red card proved costly, as Wuhan were forced to defend deep in the closing stages, eventually conceding the equalizer in stoppage time.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Henan Jianye
Henan Jianye showed resilience and determination, battling back from a goal down to earn a valuable point on the road. Despite trailing for much of the second half, they maintained their composure and capitalized on Wuhan's numerical disadvantage, scoring a crucial equalizer in the 90th minute. Their discipline was better than their hosts, with only two yellow cards, and their late surge highlighted their fighting spirit.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both teams' formations unavailable, the match was characterized by physical battles and defensive discipline. Wuhan Three Towns appeared to adopt a pragmatic approach after taking the lead, focusing on maintaining their shape and frustrating Henan Jianye. The hosts' aggressive tackling led to disciplinary issues, culminating in a red card that forced a tactical retreat. Henan Jianye, meanwhile, grew into the game, especially after Wuhan went down to ten men. Their willingness to push forward late on paid dividends as they exploited the extra space and pressure to force the equalizer. Set pieces and late surges into the box were key to their comeback.
Turning Point
The red card for Wuhan Three Towns shifted the momentum decisively, allowing Henan Jianye to press forward and eventually score the late equalizer.
Man of the Match
Unnamed Henan Jianye Goalscorer
Kept his composure to score the crucial 90th-minute equalizer and salvage a point for his side.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Henan Jianye Win
Henan Jianye have a stronger away record and better recent form than Wuhan Three Towns, who are winless in their last five and struggling defensively. Henan have also performed well in recent H2H away matches.
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Double Chance: Draw or Henan Jianye
With Wuhan Three Towns' poor home results and Henan's superior away form, the probability of Henan avoiding defeat is high.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have over 2.5 goals in more than half their league matches and recent H2H meetings are often high-scoring.
More Super League Predictions
The Case For This Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye Prediction
Wuhan Three Towns enter this fixture on a long winless run, with defensive frailties and a low clean sheet rate, while Henan Jianye, despite recent losses, have shown more resilience and are stronger away from home. Both teams have a tendency for games with multiple goals, and the historical head-to-head suggests an open encounter. Henan have the edge in form and confidence, making them slight favourites to take points on the road.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Wuhan Three Towns have not won in their last five matches (LDDDD), conceding 1.8 goals per game.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Henan Jianye have a solid away record (3W, 2D, 4L) and are higher in the table.
- →Both teams have high over 2.5 goal percentages (Wuhan 56%, Henan 59%).
- →Head-to-head meetings tend to be open, with 7 of the last 9 featuring 3+ goals.
🚩 Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.1 corners for Wuhan Three Towns and 6.3 for Henan Jianye, for an expected total of 11.5. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (71%). Over 8.5: 81% · Over 10.5: 60%.
How Wuhan Three Towns and Henan Jianye Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Wuhan Three Townslast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Henan Jianyelast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wuhan Three Towns are struggling, winless in their last five (LDDDD), and have conceded nearly two goals per game in that span. Henan Jianye have also hit a rough patch with back-to-back league losses, but picked up an away FA Cup win and have shown more overall consistency, especially away from home.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 18 shots/game
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 55% avg
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
What History Says: Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye
Head-to-head history is competitive, with Wuhan Three Towns slightly ahead overall, but Henan Jianye have proven capable of winning away in Wuhan. Recent matches between the sides have been high-scoring and often see both teams on the scoresheet.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Wuhan Three Towns wins
3
Draws
2
Henan Jianye wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye
No bookmaker odds are available, so value cannot be directly assessed. However, model probabilities suggest the market may underrate Henan's away strength and the likelihood of a high-scoring game, indicating potential value on X2 and over 2.5 goals if odds are competitive.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds were available at time of analysis, so value edges and expected values cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Lineups for this match are not available yet, so late changes could impact the outcome.
- ⚠️Wuhan's home record is inconsistent, which adds uncertainty to the prediction.
- ⚠️Henan's recent form has dipped, with two straight losses before this match.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 4 July 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.