Yeovil Town vs Worthing Predictions

Yeovil Town PredictionsWorthing PredictionsNational LeagueH2H Stats
Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
National LeagueNational League · England
high confidence
Yeovil Town

Yeovil Town

AI Predicted Score

2 - 2

Worthing

Worthing

🗓️ Tuesday, 29 Sept 2026 at 19:45 BST (venue time) · 18:45 UTC (your time)📍 Huish Park, Yeovil

Win Probability (1X2)

Yeovil Town 36%Draw 30%Worthing 34%

Best Value Pick

BTTS: Yes

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Recommended Bets: Yeovil Town vs Worthing

BTTS: Yes
8/10
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
7/10

Yeovil Town vs Worthing: Match Preview

Yeovil Town and Worthing meet at Huish Park separated by just a point in the National League table, both sitting in the upper mid-table after nine rounds. Yeovil have alternated between high-scoring wins and defensive lapses, coming off a 4-1 home victory over Solihull Moors but having conceded four at home to AFC Fylde just a week earlier. Worthing arrive with momentum from back-to-back wins, including a 3-1 away result at Hartlepool, and have matched Yeovil's four wins so far.

The statistical profile points to a match shaped by attacking intent and defensive vulnerability. Yeovil's home record (12 scored, 8 conceded in 5) and Worthing's away output (10 scored, 8 conceded in 4) both suggest an above-average goal environment. Both teams average over 2 goals scored and around 1.6 conceded per match, and neither has kept more than one clean sheet in their last five. The BTTS rate is 100% for Yeovil and 80% for Worthing over that span, while over 2.5 goals has landed in two-thirds of Yeovil's and nearly four-fifths of Worthing's league games.

Given these rates, the model expects both sides to find the net and for the contest to remain open throughout. The most probable outcome is a draw with multiple goals—2-2 is the modal scoreline—driven by the near parity in attack and defence, the high frequency of BTTS, and the lack of a dominant trend in the small H2H sample. Margins are slim, and the likeliest deviation would come from one side tightening up defensively for the first time in weeks.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Yeovil Town1.65

Expected goals · model says 1.65

Worthing1.60

Expected goals · model says 1.60

Win Probability
Yeovil Town 39% Draw 23% Worthing 37%

Over 2.5 Goals

63%

BTTS: Yes

64%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Yeovil Town vs Worthing Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
36%
30%
34%
Yeovil Town 36%Draw 30%Worthing 34%
Both Teams to Score
72%
28%
Yes 72%No 28%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
66%
34%
Over 2.5 66%Under 2.5 34%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Yeovil Town vs Worthing that most previews miss.

  • 1Yeovil's last five matches have all seen both teams score, with an average of 4.4 total goals per game.
  • 2Worthing's away games average 4.5 goals, the highest away total among teams in the top half of the table.
  • 3Across both teams' last ten combined league matches, only one clean sheet has been kept.

Who do you think wins: Yeovil Town vs Worthing?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Yeovil Town vs Worthing Prediction

Statistically, this fixture projects as a high-scoring, competitive contest between two attack-minded sides with leaky defences. Both Yeovil Town and Worthing have scored and conceded at a near-identical rate—Yeovil at 2.00 for, 1.56 against per game; Worthing at 1.89 for, 1.67 against—while their home and away splits reinforce the expectation of goals. Recent form and league position suggest little to separate them, with Yeovil seventh and Worthing just one point back in eleventh.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Yeovil have seen both teams score in all of their last five matches.

Defence

  • →Neither side has kept more than one clean sheet in their last five.

Match Context

  • →Worthing's away games average 4.5 total goals (10 for, 8 against in 4 matches).

How Yeovil Town and Worthing Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Yeovil Town vs Worthing Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Yeovil TownYeovil Townlast 5 matches
L. McCormicksub/out
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

S. SpasovXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

J. Powellsub/out
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

R. JonesXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. DaviesXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Obengsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

WorthingWorthinglast 5 matches
R. Coleman De-Graftsub/out
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

J. Marquezsub/out
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

R. AguiarXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

D. HutchinsonXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

C. Adjetey-BrewXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Yeovil Town's recent form is mixed, with a 2-2-1 record in their last five but every match featuring goals at both ends (11 scored, 11 conceded). Worthing come in with slightly better momentum, unbeaten in three and having scored eight across their last three outings, though defensive frailties remain evident.

Yeovil Town vs Worthing — Last 9 Matches

Yeovil TownYeovil TownLast 9 results
W4-1
D1-1
L1-4
L2-3
W3-2
W2-1
W3-0
D1-1
D1-1
Wvs Solihull Moors4-1
D@ Aldershot Town1-1
Lvs AFC Fylde1-4
L@ Southend2-3
Wvs Tamworth3-2
W@ Barrow2-1
Wvs Gateshead3-0
Dvs Carlisle1-1
D@ Scunthorpe1-1

Strengths

  • +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season

Concerns

  • −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
WorthingWorthingLast 9 results
W3-1
W1-0
D2-2
D2-2
L2-3
L2-3
W1-0
L1-2
W3-2
W@ Hartlepool3-1
Wvs AFC Hornchurch1-0
Dvs Barrow2-2
D@ AFC Fylde2-2
Lvs Boreham Wood2-3
L@ Tamworth2-3
Wvs Wealdstone1-0
Lvs Forest Green1-2
W@ Carlisle3-2

Strengths

  • +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 77.78% of games this season

What History Says: Yeovil Town vs Worthing

The two most recent meetings have produced away wins for each side, both with three or more goals. No clear dominance is established, but the pattern supports the expectation of goals and an open contest.

Yeovil Town vs Worthing Head-to-Head History

Last 2 meetings between these sides

1

Yeovil Town wins

0

Draws

1

Worthing wins

50%0% draws50%
6 Apr 24Yeovil Town vs Worthing1-3
21 Oct 23Worthing vs Yeovil Town1-2

Things to Watch: Yeovil Town vs Worthing

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️No shots, possession, or set-piece data for recent matches; corners and cards estimates are based on league averages.
  • ⚠️Small sample size on direct head-to-head (just two meetings, last in 2024).

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Yeovil Town 2–2 Worthing

The model projects a 2-2 draw, anchored by both teams' high-scoring tendencies and weak recent defensive records—Yeovil and Worthing each average over 1.5 goals conceded per game and have seen BTTS in almost every recent fixture. The biggest risk to this outcome is if either side departs from their usual openness and manages to keep a rare clean sheet.

Yeovil Town vs Worthing: Common Questions

Who will win Yeovil Town vs Worthing?

The model rates this as an extremely close contest: Yeovil have a 36% chance of winning, Worthing 34%, and the draw 30%. Both sides are in similar form and have nearly identical scoring and concession rates.

Will both teams score in Yeovil Town vs Worthing?

Yes is rated at 72% probability, with both teams having scored in all of Yeovil's last five and four of Worthing's last five matches. Defensive clean sheets have been rare for both sides.

How likely is over 2.5 goals in Yeovil Town vs Worthing?

Over 2.5 goals is given a 66% probability, based on Yeovil's 67% and Worthing's 78% season rates for this market and their high-scoring recent games.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Yeovil Town vs Worthing: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 22 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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