Yeovil Town vs Worthing Predictions
National League · England
Yeovil Town
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 2
Worthing
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Match Result
6/10Stalemate at Huish Park as Yeovil Town and Worthing Share the Spoils
Yeovil Town and Worthing played out a 1-1 draw at Huish Park in a closely contested National League encounter. Worthing struck first in the 28th minute, putting the home side on the back foot before the interval. However, Yeovil responded swiftly after the break, leveling the scores in the 47th minute to set up a tense second half. Despite both sides pushing for a winner, neither could find the decisive breakthrough. The match was characterized by phases of momentum for each team, but ultimately defensive discipline and a lack of clinical finishing saw the points shared.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 2
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
28' — Goal
Worthing take the lead with the opening goal.
47' — Goal
Yeovil Town equalize shortly after halftime.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Yeovil Town receive the only booking of the match, reflecting their combative approach.
Yeovil Town
Yeovil Town showed resilience after conceding first, responding with an early second-half goal to restore parity. Their ability to regroup at halftime and come out with renewed energy was evident, as they pressed for a winner but were unable to capitalize further. A yellow card highlighted their combative approach, but overall, they maintained composure and organization. While Yeovil generated enough pressure to trouble Worthing, a lack of cutting edge in the final third prevented them from claiming all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Worthing
Worthing started brightly, capitalizing on their early momentum to take the lead in the 28th minute. Their defensive organization was tested after the break, as Yeovil came out firing and quickly leveled the score. Despite this setback, Worthing held firm and managed to keep the hosts at bay for the remainder of the match. While Worthing avoided disciplinary trouble and showed flashes of attacking intent, they ultimately could not convert their early advantage into a victory.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both lineups and formations unavailable, tactical nuances were inferred from the flow of the match. Worthing's early goal suggests an assertive approach in the first half, while Yeovil's immediate response after the break points to effective halftime adjustments and increased attacking impetus. The single yellow card for Yeovil hints at a physical edge, possibly used to disrupt Worthing's rhythm. Both teams appeared well-organized defensively, as the match settled into a midfield battle after the equalizer. Neither side could assert sustained dominance, and the lack of further goals suggests a cautious approach in the latter stages, with both managers likely content to avoid defeat.
Turning Point
Yeovil Town's equalizer in the 47th minute shifted momentum and ensured the hosts avoided defeat.
Man of the Match
Yeovil Town Goal Scorer
Scored the crucial equalizer and inspired Yeovil's second-half resurgence.
Yeovil Town vs Worthing: Match Preview
Yeovil Town and Worthing meet at Huish Park separated by just a point in the National League table, both sitting in the upper mid-table after nine rounds. Yeovil have alternated between high-scoring wins and defensive lapses, coming off a 4-1 home victory over Solihull Moors but having conceded four at home to AFC Fylde just a week earlier. Worthing arrive with momentum from back-to-back wins, including a 3-1 away result at Hartlepool, and have matched Yeovil's four wins so far.
The statistical profile points to a match shaped by attacking intent and defensive vulnerability. Yeovil's home record (12 scored, 8 conceded in 5) and Worthing's away output (10 scored, 8 conceded in 4) both suggest an above-average goal environment. Both teams average over 2 goals scored and around 1.6 conceded per match, and neither has kept more than one clean sheet in their last five. The BTTS rate is 100% for Yeovil and 80% for Worthing over that span, while over 2.5 goals has landed in two-thirds of Yeovil's and nearly four-fifths of Worthing's league games.
Given these rates, the model expects both sides to find the net and for the contest to remain open throughout. The most probable outcome is a draw with multiple goals—2-2 is the modal scoreline—driven by the near parity in attack and defence, the high frequency of BTTS, and the lack of a dominant trend in the small H2H sample. Margins are slim, and the likeliest deviation would come from one side tightening up defensively for the first time in weeks.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS: Yes
64%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Yeovil Town vs Worthing Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Yeovil Town vs Worthing that most previews miss.
- 1Yeovil's last five matches have all seen both teams score, with an average of 4.4 total goals per game.
- 2Worthing's away games average 4.5 goals, the highest away total among teams in the top half of the table.
- 3Across both teams' last ten combined league matches, only one clean sheet has been kept.
Who do you think wins: Yeovil Town vs Worthing?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Yeovil Town vs Worthing(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes
Both sides have scored in all of Yeovil's and four of Worthing's last five matches, and neither defence has kept more than one clean sheet in that span; season BTTS rates are high (Yeovil 100% in last 5, Worthing 80%).
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Yeovil's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 67% of games, Worthing's in 78%, with both averaging nearly 2 goals scored and 1.6+ conceded per game.
Read more ↓
More National League Predictions
The Case For This Yeovil Town vs Worthing Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as a high-scoring, competitive contest between two attack-minded sides with leaky defences. Both Yeovil Town and Worthing have scored and conceded at a near-identical rate—Yeovil at 2.00 for, 1.56 against per game; Worthing at 1.89 for, 1.67 against—while their home and away splits reinforce the expectation of goals. Recent form and league position suggest little to separate them, with Yeovil seventh and Worthing just one point back in eleventh.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Yeovil have seen both teams score in all of their last five matches.
Defence
- →Neither side has kept more than one clean sheet in their last five.
Match Context
- →Worthing's away games average 4.5 total goals (10 for, 8 against in 4 matches).
How Yeovil Town and Worthing Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Yeovil Town vs Worthing Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Yeovil Townlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Worthinglast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Yeovil Town's recent form is mixed, with a 2-2-1 record in their last five but every match featuring goals at both ends (11 scored, 11 conceded). Worthing come in with slightly better momentum, unbeaten in three and having scored eight across their last three outings, though defensive frailties remain evident.
Yeovil Town vs Worthing — Last 9 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 77.78% of games this season
What History Says: Yeovil Town vs Worthing
The two most recent meetings have produced away wins for each side, both with three or more goals. No clear dominance is established, but the pattern supports the expectation of goals and an open contest.
Yeovil Town vs Worthing Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
1
Yeovil Town wins
0
Draws
1
Worthing wins
Things to Watch: Yeovil Town vs Worthing
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set-piece data for recent matches; corners and cards estimates are based on league averages.
- ⚠️Small sample size on direct head-to-head (just two meetings, last in 2024).
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Yeovil Town 2–2 WorthingThe model projects a 2-2 draw, anchored by both teams' high-scoring tendencies and weak recent defensive records—Yeovil and Worthing each average over 1.5 goals conceded per game and have seen BTTS in almost every recent fixture. The biggest risk to this outcome is if either side departs from their usual openness and manages to keep a rare clean sheet.
Yeovil Town vs Worthing: Common Questions
Who will win Yeovil Town vs Worthing?
The model rates this as an extremely close contest: Yeovil have a 36% chance of winning, Worthing 34%, and the draw 30%. Both sides are in similar form and have nearly identical scoring and concession rates.
Will both teams score in Yeovil Town vs Worthing?
Yes is rated at 72% probability, with both teams having scored in all of Yeovil's last five and four of Worthing's last five matches. Defensive clean sheets have been rare for both sides.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in Yeovil Town vs Worthing?
Over 2.5 goals is given a 66% probability, based on Yeovil's 67% and Worthing's 78% season rates for this market and their high-scoring recent games.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Yeovil Town vs Worthing: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 22 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.