AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
AD Ceuta FC
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Castellón
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Castellón
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS: Yes
53%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or Castellón
Castellón are in strong form (WWDWW), have not failed to score in their last 5, and are 4th in the table with a solid away record. Ceuta are winless in 5 (DDDLD) and have struggled for goals, failing to score in 3 of their last 5. The draw is also frequent in H2H. X2 covers both likely outcomes.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have over 50% over 2.5 rates this season. Castellón average 2.6 goals scored in their last 5, and H2H history shows high-scoring games (3-3, 2-2, 1-3).
Read more ↓
More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón Prediction
Castellón travel to Ceuta in strong form and with promotion ambitions, while Ceuta are winless in five and have struggled for goals recently. Castellón's attack has been prolific, and they have not failed to score in their last five. Ceuta's home record is decent, but their recent form and defensive vulnerabilities suggest Castellón are more likely to take points. H2H history also points to open, high-scoring games.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Ceuta have a strong home record (11W/3D/4L) but recent form is poor.
Attack
- →Castellón's last 5: WWDWW, 2.6 goals scored per game, no failed to score.
- →Ceuta's last 5: DDDLD, only 0.6 goals scored per game, 3 failed to score.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Castellón are 4th, Ceuta 12th; away side have more motivation for promotion.
- →All 3 recent H2H meetings have seen both teams score and 3+ goals.
🚩 AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.5 corners for AD Ceuta FC and 5.5 for Castellón, for an expected total of 9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 54% · Over 10.5: 29%.
How AD Ceuta FC and Castellón Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
AD Ceuta FClast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Castellónlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón
AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
0
AD Ceuta FC wins
2
Draws
1
Castellón wins
Things to Watch: AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value edge calculation.
- ⚠️Some match stats missing for last 5 games (especially for Castellón), reducing confidence in set piece/corner/card projections.
- ⚠️Ceuta's home form is strong overall, which could make the match closer than form suggests.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 2 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.