Sabadell vs Tenerife Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Sabadell
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Tenerife
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Sabadell vs Tenerife: Match Preview
Sabadell enter this fixture in sixth place, unbeaten at home and boasting a WDDWL form string. Their defensive record is among the league's best, having conceded only three times in four home matches, and they've collected 16 points from nine games. Tenerife, sitting mid-table in 12th, have shown more volatility, with a DLDLW run and a negative goal difference, but their away matches have been notably more open, conceding 10 in four outings.
Statistically, this is a clash of Sabadell's defensive discipline against Tenerife's higher-scoring, less controlled away profile. Sabadell's matches average 1.89 total goals, with 44% clean sheets and only 33% over 2.5 goals. Tenerife's away games, by contrast, average four total goals per match (6 for, 10 against), but their overall scoring rate is only marginally higher than Sabadell's. Both sides have seen BTTS in three of their last five, and first-half goals have been more common than second-half, but neither attack is prolific.
The model projects a low-scoring, evenly matched contest, with Sabadell's home advantage offset by Tenerife's ability to create chances on the road. With both teams averaging just over a goal scored per game and Sabadell's defensive record at home, a 1-1 draw is the likeliest outcome, though a narrow home win is also plausible if Tenerife's defensive lapses persist.
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
BTTS: Yes
36%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Sabadell vs Tenerife Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Sabadell vs Tenerife that most previews miss.
- 1Sabadell's home matches average just 2.5 total goals, with only one clean sheet conceded.
- 2Tenerife's away games have seen 16 goals in four outings, the highest away goals against among top-half teams.
- 3Both teams have scored in exactly three of their last five matches, with first-half goals outnumbering second-half goals (4 vs 2) for both sides.
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The Case For This Sabadell vs Tenerife Prediction
Sabadell's defensive solidity at home is set against a Tenerife side whose away matches have produced more goals but also more vulnerabilities at the back. The underlying rates for both teams point to a low-scoring contest, with Sabadell's 0.78 goals conceded per game and Tenerife's 1.44 goals conceded per game away from home likely to balance out. With both sides averaging just over a goal scored per match, the model expects a tight, statistically balanced encounter.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average between 1.1 and 1.2 goals scored per game this season.
Defence
- →Sabadell have conceded just 3 goals in 4 home matches this season.
- →Tenerife's away defence has leaked 10 goals in 4 away games.
🚩 Sabadell vs Tenerife Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for Sabadell and 5.6 for Tenerife, for an expected total of 11.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (74%). Over 8.5: 83% · Over 10.5: 63%.
How Sabadell and Tenerife Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Sabadell vs Tenerife Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Sabadelllast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Tenerifelast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Sabadell are unbeaten in their last four and have only lost once all season, with a particularly strong home record (three wins, one draw, three goals conceded). Tenerife's recent form is mixed, with just one win in five and a heavy 0-5 away defeat highlighting their defensive issues on the road.
Sabadell vs Tenerife — Last 9 Matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
What History Says: Sabadell vs Tenerife
The two most recent meetings were split, each won by the away side, but both occurred over five years ago. With such a limited and dated head-to-head record, there's little to suggest a strong trend for this matchup.
Sabadell vs Tenerife Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
1
Sabadell wins
0
Draws
1
Tenerife wins
Things to Watch: Sabadell vs Tenerife
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are unavailable, so no value or bet recommendations can be made.
- ⚠️Only two recent head-to-head meetings, limiting H2H sample reliability.
- ⚠️Both teams have shown some volatility in recent results, especially Tenerife away.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Sabadell 1–1 TenerifeA 1-1 draw is the model's baseline, driven by Sabadell's defensive record at home (0.75 goals conceded per home match) and Tenerife's tendency for high-scoring, error-prone away performances (2.5 conceded per away game). The single strongest data point is Sabadell's unbeaten home run, but if Tenerife's attack finds early success, the match could tip towards a higher scoreline.
Sabadell vs Tenerife: Common Questions
Who will win Sabadell vs Tenerife?
The model gives Sabadell a 39% chance to win, Tenerife a 25% chance, and a draw 36%. Sabadell's unbeaten home record and Tenerife's defensive frailties away make a draw or narrow home win most likely.
Will both teams score in Sabadell vs Tenerife?
There's a 47% probability that both teams will score, based on each side averaging just over a goal per match and three BTTS results in their last five games. Sabadell's defensive strength at home slightly favours 'no', but Tenerife's open away matches keep the BTTS rate close to even.
Is over or under 2.5 goals more likely in Sabadell vs Tenerife?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 68%, with both teams' season matches seeing over 2.5 goals just 33% of the time. Sabadell's home defence and Tenerife's inconsistent attack point to a low-scoring contest.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Sabadell vs Tenerife: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 18 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.