Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra Predictions
Premier League · Egypt
Al Ittihad
Full Time
1 - 3
AI predicted 1 - 1
Ceramica Cleopatra
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
7.2/10Ceramica Cleopatra Outclass Al Ittihad with Clinical Second-Half Display
Ceramica Cleopatra produced a commanding performance at Borg El Arab Stadium, defeating Al Ittihad 3-1 in a match defined by their dominance in possession and incisive attacking play. Despite a determined effort from the hosts, Ceramica Cleopatra's control of the ball and sharpness in front of goal proved decisive, with three goals coming at pivotal moments to seal the victory. The visitors broke the deadlock on the stroke of halftime before extending their lead early in the second half. Al Ittihad briefly threatened a comeback with a goal in the 77th minute, but Ceramica Cleopatra responded almost immediately to extinguish any hopes of a turnaround. With 65% possession and six shots on target, the away side's superiority was clear throughout.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 3
Key Moments
45' — Goal
Ceramica Cleopatra open the scoring just before halftime, seizing the momentum.
64' — Goal
The visitors double their lead, putting Al Ittihad on the back foot.
77' — Goal
Hossam Hassan pulls one back for Al Ittihad, giving the hosts hope.
79' — Goal
Ceramica Cleopatra respond instantly, restoring their two-goal cushion and sealing the result.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Al Ittihad pick up two bookings, while Ceramica Cleopatra receive one, reflecting the competitive edge.
Al Ittihad
Al Ittihad struggled to impose themselves, spending much of the match chasing the ball and limited to just 35% possession. Their attacking efforts were sporadic, managing only two shots on target from seven attempts. A late goal gave the home fans brief hope, but defensive lapses and a lack of midfield control left them exposed to Ceramica Cleopatra's counter-punches. Despite their resilience and a spirited push late on, Al Ittihad's inability to control the midfield or create consistent chances ultimately cost them.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Ceramica Cleopatra
Ceramica Cleopatra delivered a composed and clinical performance, dictating the tempo with 65% possession and a clear edge in attacking output. Their midfield controlled proceedings, and the front line capitalized on key moments to score three well-timed goals. The visitors' ability to respond swiftly after conceding underlined their composure and tactical discipline. Solid at the back and creative going forward, Ceramica Cleopatra managed the game expertly, rarely allowing Al Ittihad any sustained pressure.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both teams lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, but Ceramica Cleopatra's midfield pairing provided far greater control, facilitating sustained possession and dictating the rhythm. Their use of width and quick ball circulation stretched Al Ittihad, who struggled to press effectively and often found themselves chasing shadows. The visitors' transitions from defense to attack were swift and decisive, particularly evident in their second and third goals. Al Ittihad, by contrast, were forced deep for much of the match, relying on sporadic counter-attacks and set pieces. Their lone striker, Hossam Hassan, was isolated for large stretches, with limited support from midfield. Substitutions failed to alter the tactical balance, as Ceramica Cleopatra maintained their structure and composure.
Turning Point
Ceramica Cleopatra's immediate response to Al Ittihad's goal in the 79th minute, which killed off the hosts' momentum and secured the win.
Man of the Match
Sodiq Awujoola
Instrumental in midfield, controlling possession and driving Ceramica Cleopatra's attacking play.
Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra: Match Preview
Al Ittihad enter the new campaign off a five-match run yielding two wins, two draws, and a single defeat, conceding just three goals in that stretch. Ceramica Cleopatra's form is less convincing—one win, two draws, and two losses, with only four goals scored—but their defensive record is nearly as solid, also conceding four times. With both sides starting from scratch in the table, the pressure is on to establish early momentum, especially for Ceramica Cleopatra, who finished last season near the foot of the standings.
The underlying numbers point to a contest defined by defensive structure and limited attacking output. Al Ittihad's last five matches produced an average of just 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, while Ceramica Cleopatra managed 0.8 for and 0.8 against. Both teams average under four shots on target per match, and neither side has shown a consistent set-piece threat—corners per game sit at 3.4 apiece. Discipline could be a subplot: Al Ittihad have averaged 2.6 yellow cards per game, Ceramica Cleopatra 1.4, hinting at a stop-start rhythm.
Given these rates, the model projects a low-scoring draw as the likeliest outcome. The 1-1 scoreline leads the distribution, with the probability of a goalless first half above 50%. Unless one side finds a spark in transition or capitalises on a rare defensive lapse, the margins are likely to remain fine throughout.
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Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
BTTS: Yes
34%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra that most previews miss.
- 1Al Ittihad's last five matches have averaged just 1.8 total goals per game, well below league norms.
- 2Ceramica Cleopatra scored only once in the second half across their last five outings, with three of their four goals coming before the interval.
- 3Only one of the last ten head-to-head meetings produced more than three goals, with six finishing under 1.5.
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The Case For This Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as a low-scoring, closely-fought contest. Both sides finished last season with modest attacking outputs—Al Ittihad averaged 1.2 goals from 9.4 shots per game in their last five, Ceramica Cleopatra just 0.8 goals from 8 shots—and both have shown defensive discipline, conceding under a goal per match on average. The most probable outcome is a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline the modal result, reflecting the narrow margins and lack of clear attacking superiority on either side.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams failed to score in two of their last five matches.
- →Head-to-head is balanced: four draws in the last ten meetings, with neither side consistently dominant.
Defence
- →Al Ittihad have kept three clean sheets in their last five, Ceramica Cleopatra just one.
🚩 Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.4 corners for Al Ittihad and 5 for Ceramica Cleopatra, for an expected total of 8.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 46% · Over 10.5: 23%.
How Al Ittihad and Ceramica Cleopatra Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al Ittihadlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ceramica Cleopatralast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al Ittihad closed last season with a solid run, picking up two wins and two draws from their final five, conceding just three times and keeping three clean sheets. Ceramica Cleopatra's form was more mixed—one win, two draws, and two defeats—with only four goals scored and a single clean sheet, suggesting a side struggling for attacking fluency.
Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
- +Dominant in possession — 60% avg
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra
The last ten meetings between these sides have been tightly contested, with four draws and only two matches seeing more than two goals. Al Ittihad have a slight edge at home, but Ceramica Cleopatra have taken points in Alexandria before, and the most common outcome has been a draw.
Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Al Ittihad wins
4
Draws
4
Ceramica Cleopatra wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so value assessment is not possible. Model probabilities point to a slight lean towards the draw and under 2.5 goals as the most likely outcomes, but without market prices, no edge can be quantified.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra
- ⚠️No season-long home/away data available for 2026/27; all rates based on last five matches only.
- ⚠️Opening fixture—possible squad changes or tactical shifts not reflected in historical data.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds supplied; value and bet recommendations are withheld.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Al Ittihad 1–1 Ceramica CleopatraA 1-1 draw is the statistical baseline, underpinned by both sides' sub-1.0 goals conceded per game and a head-to-head history heavy on stalemates. The biggest risk to this projection is an early goal forcing the game open, but the underlying shot and chance creation rates suggest a tight, low-event contest.
Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra: Common Questions
Who will win Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra?
The model gives Al Ittihad a 36% chance of victory, Ceramica Cleopatra 27%, and the draw 37%. The most probable outcome is a draw, reflecting both teams' limited attacking output and strong recent defensive records.
Will both teams score in Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra?
Both teams to score is rated at 44%, with 56% for 'no'. This is based on both sides failing to score in two of their last five matches and their combined average of just two goals per game.
Is this likely to be a high-scoring match?
Over 2.5 goals is given a probability of just 29%, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have trended low-scoring, and only one of their last ten head-to-heads has gone over 3.5 goals.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 21 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.